Western KY .TODAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Central KY .TODAY...Warmer, sunny. Highs around 70. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Eastern KY .TODAY...Areas of frost with patchy valley fog early. Sunny, warmer with highs in the upper 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

900 AM EDT FRI MAR 29 2024
NORTHEAST KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LEXINGTON      SUNNY     47  33  58 SW13      30.11R                  
COVINGTON      MOSUNNY   47  32  56 W8        30.07R                  
FRANKFORT      SUNNY     48  34  58 SW9       30.10R                  


.

Fri Mar 29 03:59:20 EDT 2024

Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-
Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-
Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-
Franklin-Scott KY-Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-
Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY-
Larue-Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-
Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-
Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
359 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024 /259 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Indiana, south
central Indiana, east central Kentucky, north central Kentucky,
northwest Kentucky, and south central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible this 
weekend. A couple of storms could be strong north of Interstate 64
on Sunday. The main threat Sunday would be some large hail and
lightning.  

Storm chances increase late Monday and through Tuesday. 
Strong to severe storms will be possible Monday night and continuing
into Tuesday. It appears the most concentrated period of strong to
severe storms would be on Monday night. 

Confidence is low due to the complexity of the incoming systems 
and the exact timing of various features, so stay tuned to the 
forecast as it is updated over the next few days.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible Sunday and especially Monday
afternoon through Tuesday. 



Fri Mar 29 09:05:46 EDT 2024
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Current Watches/Warnings/Statements:
No Special/Severe Weather Information has been posted for Kentucky



Synopsis...
Updated Thursday Evening, December 9, 2021

Severe weather on the table

It has been a rather active weather pattern to start December. Through the 8th, the state has averaged 1.39 inches. Attention now turns to another round of showers and storms tomorrow and Saturday. Altogether, another half to 1.5 inches will be on the table. Coverage will start tomorrow scattered in nature. Highs will jump into the 60s across much of the area behind breezy southerly winds. Shower/storm coverage and intensity then increases tomorrow night and into Saturday morning. A line of storms is expected with damaging winds as the main threat, but tornadoes also very much possible. Heavy rain also presents a flooding threat, especially for low lying areas. Now is the time to get animals out of those spots. Bottom line, this will present an overnight threat, so please have a way to get warning (highly suggest a NOAA Weather Radio).

After a brief cool down for the latter half of the weekend, temperatures go on the uphill climb next week. Outlooks hint the warm air will hang around the area through the third full week of December. Any additional rain chances look to hold off until late workweek.


Hazardous Weather Outlook:WEST... Fri Mar 29 04:23:01 EDT 2024 Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 322 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024 /422 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Fire danger will heighten this afternoon, mainly for western Kentucky from the Land Between the Lakes eastward, where relative humidity values drop into the 20s percentile amidst very dry conditions. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday A chance of storms returns to the forecast late this weekend into early next week. The best chance for stronger storms is with a cold front's approach and passage late Monday through Tuesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters should stay tuned to the latest forecasts and updates.


Hazardous Weather Outlook:CENTRAL... Fri Mar 29 03:59:20 EDT 2024 Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Dubois-Crawford-Perry- Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio- Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby- Franklin-Scott KY-Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette- Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY- Larue-Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green- Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe- Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-Clinton- 359 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024 /259 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Indiana, south central Indiana, east central Kentucky, north central Kentucky, northwest Kentucky, and south central Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible this weekend. A couple of storms could be strong north of Interstate 64 on Sunday. The main threat Sunday would be some large hail and lightning. Storm chances increase late Monday and through Tuesday. Strong to severe storms will be possible Monday night and continuing into Tuesday. It appears the most concentrated period of strong to severe storms would be on Monday night. Confidence is low due to the complexity of the incoming systems and the exact timing of various features, so stay tuned to the forecast as it is updated over the next few days. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is possible Sunday and especially Monday afternoon through Tuesday.


Hazardous Weather Outlook:EAST... Fri Mar 29 05:07:27 EDT 2024 Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle- Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan- Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott- Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike- Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson 507 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. The combination of low relative humidity and gusty west southwest to west winds will allow for a heightened risk of wildfires this afternoon. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Thunderstorms will be possible at times from Sunday afternoon through Tuesday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.


...Stay up-to-date with your County Precision Ag, Lawn, and Garden
Weather Forecast... Short Term Forecast for the Commonwealth: Western KY .TODAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Central KY .TODAY...Warmer, sunny. Highs around 70. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Eastern KY .TODAY...Areas of frost with patchy valley fog early. Sunny, warmer with highs in the upper 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Synopsis...
Updated Thursday Evening, December 9, 2021

Severe weather on the table

It has been a rather active weather pattern to start December. Through the 8th, the state has averaged 1.39 inches. Attention now turns to another round of showers and storms tomorrow and Saturday. Altogether, another half to 1.5 inches will be on the table. Coverage will start tomorrow scattered in nature. Highs will jump into the 60s across much of the area behind breezy southerly winds. Shower/storm coverage and intensity then increases tomorrow night and into Saturday morning. A line of storms is expected with damaging winds as the main threat, but tornadoes also very much possible. Heavy rain also presents a flooding threat, especially for low lying areas. Now is the time to get animals out of those spots. Bottom line, this will present an overnight threat, so please have a way to get warning (highly suggest a NOAA Weather Radio).

After a brief cool down for the latter half of the weekend, temperatures go on the uphill climb next week. Outlooks hint the warm air will hang around the area through the third full week of December. Any additional rain chances look to hold off until late workweek.



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Error Openning File: [ /ldmdata/discussions/AWUS83.KLMK ]

 



957 
AWUS83 KJKL 070910
RWSJKL

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-080915-

Regional Weather Summary
National Weather Service Jackson KY
510 AM EDT Thu Jul 7 2022

08Z sfc analysis shows a wavy frontal boundary just to the north
of the JKL CWA placing the area firmly in the warm sector of a
larger weather pattern. This has made for another warm and muggy 
night with a few nocturnal storms ongoing just south of the
Tennessee border. The thicker clouds over the area last evening 
have thinned and cleared to the point that abundant sfc moisture 
in place has manifested in areas of fog with a few dense patches
noted - primarily on the ridgetops. Otherwise, temperatures (and 
dewpoints) are fairly uniform across the area in the upper 60s and
lower 70s, amid light winds. 

The models are in good agreement aloft through the short term 
portion of the forecast. They all depict the persistent mid level
ridge holding on for one more day before yielding to increasing
shortwave troughing to the north and shifting its core westward.
Even today, this ridge is insufficiently strong to keep energy
from dropping through northeast parts of the CWA likely helping to
spawn renewed convection through the area later today. 5h heights
then further decline aloft on Friday when a fairly strong impulse 
moves into the Ohio Valley - brushing by to the northeast during
that afternoon. Given the small model spread through the short
term did not deviate far from the blended NBM solution aside from
incorporating some mesoscale specifics from the CAMs consensus 
into the evening part of the forecast. 

Sensible weather will feature our warm, humid, and often stormy
period of weather continuing through the end of the work week.
Strong, and potentially severe, storms will probably develop later
this afternoon mainly over the Cumberland Valley. The storms will
be fueled by high levels of CAPE over the area and ample moisture.
Additionally, the DCAPE will be near 1000 j/kg over eastern
Kentucky this afternoon prompting a potential for damaging wind 
gusts while very high PW air supports the threat of excessive 
rainfall - especially where any cell training sets up. The 
instability will fade into the evening and with it the threat for 
severe weather by thunderstorm chances, diminished, remain. Strong
storm then likely return on Friday with a continued threat for 
heavy rainfall and slightly better upper level support. 

Temperatures will be quite warm again today and Friday with high 
humidities pushing heat indices toward 100 degrees, though the 
convection expectations make this far from a certainty for many 
places. Again tonight we can anticipate muggy and warm conditions 
with areas of fog developing and favoring the spots that see the 
best rain today. An SPS has been issued for the potential of high 
heat indices across the area this afternoon, as well. 

The main adjustments to the NBM starting point were to incorporate 
some enhanced details into the PoPs from the CAMs consensus into 
the evening - favoring the Cumberland Valley with the highest
values. 

$$

GREIF


 


Error Openning File: [ /ldmdata/discussions/AWUS83.KPAH ]

 


311 
FXUS63 KLMK 291043
AFDLMK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
643 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Relative humidity falling into the 20-30% range this afternoon 
  with winds occasionally gusting 20-25 mph, mostly sunny skies, and 
  highs around 70 will lead to increased fire danger.

* Stormy pattern setting up for late Sunday through Tuesday night. 
  Most likely timing for strong/severe storms would be in the Monday 
  night-Tuesday time frame.  Confidence in storm evolution and 
  timing remains lower than average.

* Colder blustery weather arrives by Wednesday with the potential 
  for some wintry weather across portions of the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 300 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

Circulation around high pressure over the Southeast will bring WSW 
breezes to the region today, gusting to 20-25 mph at times with just 
some scattered high clouds. Very dry air in the lowest few thousand 
feet of the atmosphere and deep mixing this afternoon will lead to 
low surface dew points with relative humidity dipping into the 20-
30% range for many. High temperatures will be around 70. 

Low pressure crossing the Midwest tonight will end up around Chicago 
by sunrise Saturday. A low level jet from the Red River to the upper 
Ohio Valley will feed moisture into the system. Showers and 
thunderstorms are expected to break out in central and northern 
Illinois this evening and move eastward tonight. While the bulk of 
the rain will stay to our north, some new convection may develop 
southwestward into the jet overnight. Will hold on to 20-40% PoPs 
north of I-64 after midnight for the possibility of scattered 
showers and perhaps a rumble or two of thunder. Low temperatures 
tonight will be around 50.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 300 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

Saturday thru Friday...

Well...the medium and extended period is quite active, with timing 
complexities for several distinct waves approaching the Ohio Valley. 

Sat... 

Wandering quasi stationary front should be juxtapositioned between I 
64 and BG Parkway. Keeping low PoPs north of the parkways (20% 
mainly in S IN). Lots of cloud debris north of the front and much 
clearer south, so should see 5-8 degree spread of highs from NE 
Bluegrass (65-70 F) to downstate near TN border (73-78 F). 

Sat night...

Llvl winds increase in WAA pattern and should see an increase in 
precip north of the Parkways as the night moves along. Theta-e 
advection will be the driver, with 30-40% PoPs along BG/Wrn KY 
Parkways nwd. Should see a temp split with llvl ssw flow of 5-10 mph 
from far S KY (near 60 F), to NE Bluegrass over to Jefferson Co IN 
(low 50s).  

Easter Sunday and Night...

The surface frontal boundary will really move north as a warm front 
bringing the entire CWA in the warm sector during the afternoon. One 
of the keys on Sunday is if we can get some clearing. Ensemble 
members showing a big spread on temps, with cloud cover being the 
key ingredient. If we can get some clearing temps could rise into 
upper 70s, maybe 80F down by BWG, but if clouds stay ensconced over 
the CWA, temps will be in low 70s.  

Depending on the amount of clearing, model soundings show rather 
steep low-level lapse rates, bulk shear values increasing through 
the day, but a decent inversion from 850-800 mb. Going drier on Sun 
with overall trend a drier Easter aftn. 

The pesky frontal boundary will be along the I-70 corridor (CMH-IND-
HUF) and will be the focus for convection.  Will be keeping low 
chance PoPs mainly north of I 64. Lows will remain quite warm in the 
broad southwest flow (low 60s). This would be the first time SDF 
hits 60 dew point this year (LEX, LOU, and BWG already have).  

Mon...

A strong western trough (low 551 dm) will dig out of AZ/CA and move 
across the US Rockies. With the region well within the warm sector 
(some clouds), the CWA should be relatively quiet in the morning.

There does not appear to be a distinct trigger or strong forcing, 
but with plenty of sfc heating (warm sector). Highs look to warm 
into mid-upper 70s again in the sswly llvl flow. Coupled with sfc 
heating comes increase in llvl moisture, with sfc dew points 
climbing into the lower 60s Mon aftn. This leads to the expectation 
of Isol to Sct PM convection developing. 

During the afternoon, should see instability increase (MUCAPE 500 
J/kg, 0-6km bulk shear of 30-35 kts, 700-500 mb lapse rates of 7.5 
C/km and a low WBZ around 10K would support some hail potential. SPC 
15% on Monday over the MO Valley and into PAH area seems warranted 
with combo of modest instability and favorable wind profiles for 
organized convection.  

Mon Night and Tue...

This is the Main Event of the forecast...as a potent cold front 
moves into the area. Synoptically, the left exit region of a 120+ kt 
jet will be over the southern Plains. Flow from 500-250 mb is very 
divergent. So we have plenty of upper level forcing, and coupled 
with WAA pattern and 40 kt wsw llvl jet at 850 mb. This all 
translates to deep layer shear with sfc-6 km in the 50 kt range. 
Model soundings do show hodographs that become more elongated with 
curvature Mon night as sfc winds become more backed. 

Temps will be falling into the 60s and dew points in the upper 50s.  

The new ECM still has differences with the new GFS frontal timing 
and position of the sfc low. If the front pushes through overnight, 
the widespread nature of this event is diminished and may be more of 
a locally heavy rain event with some wind gusts.  If it moves 
through during daytime Tuesday, that is very problematic given the 
thermodynamic and kinematic profiles for severe convection with all 
hazards in play. QPF values look to be 1 to 1.5", but this is 
predicated on the timing and movement of the front.  

So the overall confidence in impactful weather is relatively high. 
However, the timing of the frontal boundary through the region along 
with the unknown evolution of the mesoscale features at this time 
range results in a lower confidence on the severity of the 
convection. Our thinking right now is the best threat is west of I 
65 Mon night 9 pm to 4 am, and east of US 127 Tue 10 am to 4 pm. 
This bears our utmost vigilance.  

Wed-Fri...

Well...the weather theme is Cold Air Advection!  The troposphere, 
especially the low levels, undergoes significant CAA, with mercury 
readings taking the Nestea Plunge. The depth of the cold air may 
result in some wintry mixed precipitation across the region on Wed 
into Wed night. Sfc low deepens to 982 mb over Toronto and trough 
brings deep llvl cold temps well into Ohio Valley.  LLVL 1000-850 mb 
thicknesses and soundings support RASN or SN, especially across the 
LEX/Bluegrass region. 850 mb temps were 12-14C on Mon and on Wed 
will be -2 to -4 C. Major change ahead! 

Pressure gradient from 992 mb, deepening low over Windy City at 18Z, 
WNW winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph. Bring a jacket and 
maybe some gloves Wed. Highs Wednesday will likely be blo all 
guidance, 48-53 looks like a good bet. Despite lows in the 33-37 
range Thu morning, winds of 10-15 mph should keep frost off the 
table.  

Highs Thursday look to warm back into the upper 50s to near 60. Nice 
warm up on Friday into the mid 60s.  

Weather Tidbit...

Mar 29 1974...An F2 tornado in Lawrenceburg KY (Anderson Co),injured 
2, F2 tornado struck Hardin Co injured 8, another F2 hurt 1 person 
in Russell Co as it destroyed 2 trailers and a barn just north of 
Jamestown. Anderson, Russell, and Hardin Co would ALL be struck by 
more twisters 5 days later during the Super Outbreak on April 3 
1974.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 643 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

High pressure will be centered over AL/GA/FL today, providing the 
TAF sites WSW winds gusting to around 20kt. A generally dry 
atmosphere will keep skies mostly clear other than some scattered 
high clouds.

Tonight low pressure will advance from MCI to MKE, with surface 
breezes coming in from the south ahead of this feature. LLWS could 
be an issue late tonight, though surface winds may increase enough 
to prevent criteria from being met. For now will include it at HNB 
and BWG, but will continue to address this in future forecast 
packages.

A few showers may approach HNB/SDF late tonight into tomorrow 
morning, but chances are low enough to keep out of the TAFs for now.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM...JDG
AVIATION...13


NWS Discussions for: JKL, Paducah

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Kentucky
Based on observations at 900am EDT, Friday March 29, 2024

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 51 degrees west, near 47 degrees central, and near 47 degrees east. Current sky conditions are sunny west, sunny central, and sunny east. In the west, relative humidity is near 56%, and the dew point is near 36 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 58%, and the dew point is near 33 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 49%, and the dew point is near 29 degrees. Current drying conditions are fair west, fair central, and good east. Winds are variable at 3 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the southwest at 13 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are variable at 5 mph east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category west, no stress category central, and no stress category east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 52 degrees at Louisville International. The lowest temperature is 41 degrees at London. Click here for the entire list of ag. weather observations across Kentucky.

Updated Thursday Evening, December 9, 2021

Severe weather on the table

It has been a rather active weather pattern to start December. Through the 8th, the state has averaged 1.39 inches. Attention now turns to another round of showers and storms tomorrow and Saturday. Altogether, another half to 1.5 inches will be on the table. Coverage will start tomorrow scattered in nature. Highs will jump into the 60s across much of the area behind breezy southerly winds. Shower/storm coverage and intensity then increases tomorrow night and into Saturday morning. A line of storms is expected with damaging winds as the main threat, but tornadoes also very much possible. Heavy rain also presents a flooding threat, especially for low lying areas. Now is the time to get animals out of those spots. Bottom line, this will present an overnight threat, so please have a way to get warning (highly suggest a NOAA Weather Radio).

After a brief cool down for the latter half of the weekend, temperatures go on the uphill climb next week. Outlooks hint the warm air will hang around the area through the third full week of December. Any additional rain chances look to hold off until late workweek.


 Across the Commonwealth...
Western KY .TODAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Central KY .TODAY...Warmer, sunny. Highs around 70. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Eastern KY .TODAY...Areas of frost with patchy valley fog early. Sunny, warmer with highs in the upper 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
Across the Commonwealth for the next week...

WESTERN KY AREA (including Paducah):

     
Fri Mar 29 06:46:39 EDT 2024

McCracken-
Including the city of Paducah
544 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024

.TODAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Sunny in the morning, then becoming partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up
to 30 mph. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy and breezy. Lows in the mid 60s. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy in the morning, then partly sunny with a
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in
the upper 70s. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of thunderstorms. Showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Chance of rain 80 percent. 
.TUESDAY...A chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Partly sunny
with a chance of showers. Near steady temperature around 60.
Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 60s. 


 

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CENTRAL KY AREA (including Louisville and Lexington):

  
   
Fri Mar 29 04:03:50 EDT 2024

Fayette-
Including the city of Lexington
403 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

.TODAY...Warmer, sunny. Highs around 70. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TONIGHT...Not as cool. Partly cloudy in the evening then
becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers
after midnight. Lows in the lower 60s. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
evening, then showers and chance of thunderstorms after midnight.
Lows around 60. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms in the
morning, then rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon. Highs around 70. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Colder. Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms
in the evening, then chance of rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight. Lows around 40. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Cooler. Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of
rain showers. Highs in the lower 50s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain
showers in the evening. Lows in the lower 30s. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. 


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EASTERN KY AREA (including Jackson):

  
Fri Mar 29 04:01:19 EDT 2024

Breathitt-
Including the city of Jackson
401 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

.TODAY...Areas of frost with patchy valley fog early.
Sunny, warmer with highs in the upper 60s. West winds 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming partly
cloudy. Not as cool with lows in the lower 40s valleys and in the
lower 50s ridges. West winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph,
becoming southwest late. 
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly
sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 25 mph. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Not as cool with lows in the upper 50s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. A chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the
evening, then a slight chance of showers overnight. Lows in the
lower 60s. Chance of rain 30 percent. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the
morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms. A
chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely overnight.
Lows in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.TUESDAY...A chance of thunderstorms. Showers. Highs in the lower
70s. Chance of rain 80 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Showers likely in the evening, then a chance of showers
overnight. Much cooler with lows in the lower 40s. Chance of rain
60 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Partly
cloudy with a chance of rain. Much cooler with highs in the lower
50s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain in the
evening, then a slight chance of rain overnight. Areas of frost
late. Cooler with lows in the lower 30s. Chance of rain
40 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Widespread frost early. Partly sunny with a
20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 50s. 


Kentucky Medium & Long Range Outlook:

KENTUCKY --------------------------------------------- 6 TO 10 DAY 8 TO 14 DAY 30 DAY 90 DAY APR 3-APR 7 APR 5-APR 11 JUN JUN-AUG ----------- ----------- -------- --------- Temperature: Normal Above Normal Above Precipitation: Below Above Above Above .... Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy

 

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WEST - Hazardous Weather
Fri Mar 29 04:23:01 EDT 2024 Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 322 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024 /422 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Fire danger will heighten this afternoon, mainly for western Kentucky from the Land Between the Lakes eastward, where relative humidity values drop into the 20s percentile amidst very dry conditions. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday A chance of storms returns to the forecast late this weekend into early next week. The best chance for stronger storms is with a cold front's approach and passage late Monday through Tuesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters should stay tuned to the latest forecasts and updates.
CENTRAL - Hazardous Weather
Fri Mar 29 03:59:20 EDT 2024 Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Dubois-Crawford-Perry- Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio- Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby- Franklin-Scott KY-Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette- Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY- Larue-Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green- Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe- Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-Clinton- 359 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024 /259 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Indiana, south central Indiana, east central Kentucky, north central Kentucky, northwest Kentucky, and south central Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible this weekend. A couple of storms could be strong north of Interstate 64 on Sunday. The main threat Sunday would be some large hail and lightning. Storm chances increase late Monday and through Tuesday. Strong to severe storms will be possible Monday night and continuing into Tuesday. It appears the most concentrated period of strong to severe storms would be on Monday night. Confidence is low due to the complexity of the incoming systems and the exact timing of various features, so stay tuned to the forecast as it is updated over the next few days. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is possible Sunday and especially Monday afternoon through Tuesday.
EAST - Hazardous Weather
Fri Mar 29 05:07:27 EDT 2024 Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle- Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan- Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott- Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike- Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson 507 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. The combination of low relative humidity and gusty west southwest to west winds will allow for a heightened risk of wildfires this afternoon. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Thunderstorms will be possible at times from Sunday afternoon through Tuesday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.



WEST - Fire Weather
Fri Mar 29 09:05:01 EDT 2024 Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-Livingston- Marshall-Calloway- 325 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Type None None None Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 High Temperature(F) 68-72 72-76 Minimum RH(%) 26-31 43-48 Low Temperature(F) 52-56 Maximum RH(%) 62-67 Temp (24h trend) 71 (+7) 54 (+12) 75 RH % (24h trend) 29 (+2) 65 (-10) 46 Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 6-10 G24 S 8-12 G29 SW 10-14 G33 Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 7-11 G26 S 9-13 G29 SW 8-12 G27 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1710 1190 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5600 3890 1700'Mix Hgt Temp 63 66 Transport Wnd (kts) SW 18 SW 18 Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 9 SW 9 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 15390 10710 Dispersion Index Very Good Good LAL 1 1 1 Haines Index 5 5 3 DSI MOD UNSTBL SLGT UNSTBL Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds around 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 15 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
CENTRAL - Fire Weather
Fri Mar 29 09:05:01 EDT 2024 Franklin-Scott KY-Harrison KY-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon- Nicholas-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY- Including the cities of Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, and Winchester 358 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024 Today Tonight Sat CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Pcldy PRECIP TYPE None None Showers CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 TEMP (24H TREND) 70 (+13) 48 (+10) 72 RH % (24H TREND) 26 (-7) 65 (-12) 45 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) W 9 G20 SW 13 G23 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 10 G19 SW 6 SW 14 G23 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)8587 5296 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 23 SW 28 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 188914 142992 DISPERSION Excellent Excellent DSI MOD UNSTBL SLGT UNSTBL SLGT UNSTBL LAL 1 1 2 HAINES INDEX 4 5 4 ADI EARLY 62 GOOD 12 POOR 78 GOOD ADI LATE 93 GOOD 15 GEN POOR 81 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 4 2 2 MAX LVORI LATE 1 2 1 REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 10 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 15 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. .TUESDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 70. Southwest winds around 15 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Cooler. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.
EAST - Fire Weather
Fri Mar 29 09:05:01 EDT 2024 Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike- Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson 449 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None Temp (24H TREND) 65-68 (+14) 37-53 (+18) 71-74 Rh % (24H TREND) 20-29 (+5) 45-100 (+20) 26-36 20ftwnd-AM(mph) W 6-10 G21 SW 8-12 G24 20ftwnd-PM(mph) W 7-11 G22 Lgt/Var SW 8-12 G24 Precip duration Precip begin Precip end Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 LAL 1 1 1 Haines Index (MID) 5 3 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 7700 5700 Transport wnd (mph) W 23 W 28 Vent rate (kt-ft) 154000 136800 ADI Early 115 4 100 ADI Late 118 6 108 Max LVORI Early 5 3 3 Max LVORI Late 2 4 2 Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



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