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Here are the local conditions for central Kentucky and Lexington...



100 AM EST SUN FEB 18 2018
NORTHEAST KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LEXINGTON      MOCLDY    38  33  82 W9        30.23R WCI  31          
COVINGTON      CLOUDY    36  34  92 W13       30.20R WCI  27          
FRANKFORT      FAIR      38  32  79 W5        30.21R WCI  34          

Here are the regional conditions...Here.


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Lifted Index (LI) K-Index Cape CIN Showalter Index SWEAT Total Totals All

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Kentucky


Based on observations at 100am EST, Sunday February 18, 2018

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 33 degrees west, near 38 degrees central, and near 41 degrees east. Current sky conditions are fair west, mostly cloudy central, and cloudy east. In the west, relative humidity is near 88%, and the dew point is near 30 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 82%, and the dew point is near 33 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 89%, and the dew point is near 38 degrees. Current drying conditions are poor west, poor central, and poor east. There is patchy fog west. Winds are calm west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the west at 9 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The wind chill is near 31 degrees central. Winds are unavailable east. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category west, no stress category central, and no stress category east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 43 degrees at London. The lowest temperature is 32 degrees at Henderson.

All KY Obs., All Obs
The Past Weather Observations Graghics (MesoWest/NWS):
12 hr 24 hr 36 hr 2 day 3 day 7 Day 14 day 28 day

Updated Saturday Evening, February 17, 2018

...Rain Ending From West to East Tonight; Next Week Warming Trend ...

Precipitation will end from west to east this evening. High pressure will move in for Sunday providing a dry day. Temperatures will warm under a light southerly flow. The next rounds of precipitation will arrive early Monday in stronger southerly flow. Beginning on Monday and extending into next weekend, the state will see a prolonged period of rainfall, heavy at times, especially west.


Kentucky Weather Forecast

Western KY:
Central KY:
Eastern KY:

Specific and detailed farm-by-farm weather forecast information is available in your Point Ag Forecast. New County Ag Weather Page, Current Conditions:Kentucky
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825 
FXUS63 KLMK 180534
AFDLMK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1234 AM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

.Forecast Update...
Issued at 607 PM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

Several reports of 1 to 2 mile visibilities have been observed 
across southern Indiana, Illinois, and western Kentucky. Starting to 
see some sites along and north of the Ohio River drop under 3 miles, 
so have thrown in some patchy fog everywhere this evening until the 
drier air over eastern MO reaches us. 

With the drier air in place, we should see a break from the fog 
during the overnight hours. However, the fog may redevelop early 
tomorrow morning as skies clear and temperatures drop under 
radiational cooling. It looks like temperatures should cool enough 
to where T/Td spreads would support fog development. With light to 
calm winds anticipated tomorrow morning as well as high soil 
moisture from recent precipitation, have gone ahead and put in 
patchy fog for the whole CWA starting after 09z.

&&

.Short Term...(Today through Monday)
Issued at 320 PM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

Snow has ended across southern Indiana, and rain is quickly winding 
down along and west of I-65 in central Kentucky. Temperatures remain 
borderline in the Bluegrass region north of Lexington. Additional 
light snow will continue through 22z from Franklin County over to 
Nicholas County. These areas have seen a dusting thus far and 
wouldn't expect more than that. Could have a few slick spots to 
watch out for through this evening in that area. Back across 
southern Indiana, roads will likely remain slushy in areas that got 
heavier snow today. Moderate rain continues in the Lake Cumberland 
region, but that should be winding down around 22z as well. The 
Clinton County KY Mesonet site has recorded around 3/4 of an inch of 
rain thus far. 

A secondary impulse dropping southeast from Illinois could result in 
some drizzle this evening north of I-64. Otherwise, high pressure 
and dry air punching in from the west will result in improving 
conditions after midnight. As skies gradually scatter out from west 
to east early Sunday, patchy fog will likely develop. And further 
east in the Bluegrass region, low clouds may hold in long enough 
Sunday morning to prevent fog formation. 

Sunday looks relatively nice as high pressure shifts east of the 
area. Expect partly to mostly sunny skies and highs in the 50s.

&&

.Long Term...(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 313 PM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

...Increasing Potential For River Flooding Next Week...

Highly anomalous weather pattern is still poised to set up across 
the lower Ohio Valley next week bringing threats for heavy rain, 
river flooding, and potentially record warm temperatures to parts of 
Kentucky and southern Indiana. 

The first wave of precipitation will pass by Sunday night into 
Monday in association with a warm front. We should see temperatures 
rising Sunday night into Monday morning in response to the warm 
front, and by Monday afternoon, the front should clear the CWA. The 
precipitation will taper off by Monday afternoon, and afternoon 
highs will easily climb into the low to mid 70s. Overnight lows 
Monday will remain warm, only dropping into the low to mid 60s.

After the precipitation ends Monday, it looks like most of central 
Kentucky will see a break from the rain through at least Tuesday 
evening. The latest 12z model guidance is in pretty good agreement 
of keeping moderate to heavy rain just west of the CWA near a cold 
front, with only lighter showers clipping parts of southern Indiana 
Tuesday. Should this solution end up verifying, high temperatures 
Tuesday could end up being VERY warm by February standards. GFS MOS 
is currently predicting 82 for Louisville, 83 for Lexington, and 82 
for Bowling Green. Should these high temperatures occur, they would 
break the all time record highs for the month of February in 
Louisville and Lexington, and come close to tying for Bowling Green. 
Given how wet and moist it has been in the lower Ohio Valley, there 
are some doubts we could reach temperatures this high as 
evapotranspiration effects may limit temperatures from climbing too 
high. Still, have gone ahead and bumped up temperatures a bit, with 
several areas forecast to reach the 80 degree mark.

By Wednesday, the models show the front moving through Kentucky 
bringing widespread rain and possibly a few thunderstorms to the 
area. Total rainfall amounts forecast for Monday through Wednesday 
continue to come in lower across central Kentucky with totals around 
1  to 1.5 inches. Across southern Indiana, especially southwest 
Indiana, totals in excess of two inches are possible. Even though 
the forecast rainfall has dropped some over the past couple of days, 
it will still lead to further rises on small river basins, streams, 
and creeks and extend the rises on the main stem of the Ohio River 
which is forecast to rise into minor flood stage next week.

More rainfall could fall Thursday into next weekend as models show 
another frontal boundary stalling near the region. Still lots of 
time to hone in on where the heaviest axis of rain will fall, but 
the overall forecast regarding flooding is not very optimistic.

&&

.Aviation...(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1233 AM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

Stratus has been stubbornly redeveloping over the lower Wabash 
Valley over the past few hours, but the larger area of general 
cloudiness is still expected to gradually push off to the east over 
the next several hours. Dry air associated with high pressure 
centered near KPOF at 05Z will help to stave off widespread dense 
fog formation. However, shallow ground fog will still be a 
possibility, especially at HNB and somewhat at BWG, in the few hours 
either side of dawn. Will need to keep an eye out for this and 
possible AMDs to the TAFs.

During the daylight hours today that surface high will proceed from 
Kentucky to the Delmarva Peninsula, providing the TAF sites with VFR 
conditions and southeast breezes near 10 knots.

Tonight scattered warm advection showers are expected to develop, 
primarily after this TAF period.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

$$

Update...DM
Short Term...EBW
Long Term...DM
Aviation...13


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5 day rainfall totals,

And here's the UK Ag, Lawn and Garden Forecast...


And here's the Central Kentucky Forecast...

Sat Feb 17 20:59:12 EST 2018

Fayette-
Including the city of Lexington
859 PM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

.OVERNIGHT...Cloudy early in the evening then clearing. Scattered
sprinkles early in the evening. Patchy fog through the night.
Lows in the lower 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Patchy fog. Highs in the lower 50s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Temperatures rising into the 50s after midnight. South winds 5 to
15 mph. Chance of showers 60 percent. 
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower 70s.
South winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of showers 60 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
around 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs around 80. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 60s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Chance of
showers 70 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 50s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. 
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s. Chance of
showers 60 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 60s. Chance of
showers 70 percent. 


And the Medium- and long-Range Outlook for Kentucky...


                             KENTUCKY                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   FEB 23-27 FEB 25-MAR 3    FEB       FEB-APR                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above     Normal     Normal                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Above      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy

Click here for the extended outlook across the Commonwealth.


All GFS Forecast Maps