Kentucky Climate Update
Date: Monday Feb 4 2019 Re: Palmer Drought (PDSI)/Crop Moisture (CMI) Indices WEST KY Long-term Hydrological Moisture status is: NEAR NORMAL CENTRAL KY Long-term Hydrological Moisture status is: VERY MOIST SPELL BLUEGRASS KY Long-term Hydrological Moisture status is: EXTREME MOIST SPELL EAST KY Long-term Hydrological Moisture status is: VERY MOIST SPELL WEST KY Crop Moisture status is: Favorable, Except Still Too Wet In Spots CENTRAL KY Crop Moisture status is: Favorable, Except Still Too Wet In Spots BLUEGRASS KY Crop Moisture status is: Favorable, Except Still Too Wet In Spots EAST KY Crop Moisture status is: Favorable, Except Still Too Wet In Spots Rainfall needed above normal to end the hydrological drought: West 0.00 inches, Central 0.00 inches, Bluegrass 0.00 inches and East 0.00 inches. WEEKLY PALMER DROUGHT AND CROP MOISTURE DATA FOR THE CLIMATE DIVISIONS IN THE CENTRAL REGION CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER, NCEP, NWS, NOAA WEEK 48 OF THE 2018 GROWING SEASON IS THE WEEK ENDING 2 FEB 2019 SOIL PCT MONTH PRELIM-P PRECIP MOISTURE FIELD CHANGE MOIST FINAL -F NEEDED UPPER LOWER CAP. POT RUN CROP FROM ANOM PALMER TO END TEMP PCPN LAYER LAYER END EVAP OFF MOIST PREV (Z) DROUGHT DROUGHT ST CD CLIMATE DIVISION (F) (IN) (IN) (IN) WEEK (IN) (IN) INDEX WEEK INDEX INDEX (IN) KY 1 WESTERN 30.9 0.06 1.00 8.00 100.0 0.00 0.06 1.03 -0.90 -0.49 1.40 P KY 2 CENTRAL 30.6 0.07 1.00 8.00 100.0 0.00 0.07 1.25 -1.10 -0.26 3.50 P KY 3 BLUEGRASS 26.2 0.09 1.00 8.00 100.0 0.00 0.09 1.16 -0.98 -0.06 4.15 P KY 4 EASTERN 29.2 0.06 1.00 5.00 100.0 0.00 0.06 1.34 -1.21 0.33 3.87 PNote: In the "Precip Needed to End Drought" column...that rainfall is needed ABOVE NORMAL./K. Thomas Priddy, UKAWC
for the entire list of ag. weather observations across Kentucky.
Updated Saturday, February 23, 2019
Widespread heavy rain is possible today, with strong storms this evening as a strong storm system affects the Ohio Valley. Strong and gusty west winds are expected on Sunday behind the departing system. Quiet weather and seasonable temperatures will follow Monday and Tuesday under sprawling high pressure. Periodic chances for light rain will return for the latter half of the upcoming week.
Area rivers will remain high from recent rainfall. See our webpage for the most recent updates to river flood advisories and flood warnings.
Heavy rain is likely today, with 1 to 2 inches of additional rainfall possible. Areal and renewed small stream flooding is likely where the heaviest rain falls, with localized flash flooding possible. Livestock producers should move animals to higher ground. Pet owners should also ensure pets are safe and moved from flood-prone and low-lying areas to higher ground.
Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible this evening as a strong cold front moves through the area. The strongest cells will be capable of producing locally damaging wind gusts and brief spin-up tornadoes, mainly along and west of I-65. Briefly torrential rainfall could result in additional flooding.
Kentucky Weather Forecast