UK Ag Weather Center Briefing Updater: Thu May 23 05:33:17 EDT 2019
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Summary of Kentucky Mesonet & NWS Weather Stations for various time periods for entire state:(Updated daily - Based on PM Obs.)



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For the forecasted weather conditions in Kentucky this coming week, click here. All Ky summaries here, Campus hourly forecast graph Forecast graphic: PAH, LEX JKL



Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Kentucky
Based on observations at 500am EDT, Thursday May 23, 2019

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 77 degrees west, near 70 degrees central, and near 69 degrees east. Current sky conditions are mostly cloudy west, fair central, and fair east. In the west, relative humidity is near 73%, and the dew point is near 68 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 65%, and the dew point is near 58 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 73%, and the dew point is near 60 degrees. Current drying conditions are fair west, fair central, and fair east. The livestock heat stress category is no stress west, no stress central, and no stress east. Winds are from the south at 7 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 8 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 77 degrees at Paducah and Louisville International. The lowest temperature is 63 degrees at London. Click here

  

Kentucky Weather Forecast

Western KY:
Central KY:
Eastern KY:

Specific and detailed farm-by-farm weather forecast information is available in your Point Ag Forecast. New County Ag Weather Page, Current Conditions:Kentucky
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St. Loius:
IND:
US:
Western KY:Tab1
Central KY:Tab1
Eastern KY:Tab1
Western KY:Tab3
Western KY:Tab2
Central KY:Tab2
Eastern KY:Tab2
Western KY:Tab4
Western TN:
Central TN:
East TN:

Across the Commonwealth for the next week...

Kentucky Medium & Long Range Outlook:

KENTUCKY --------------------------------------------- 6 TO 10 DAY 8 TO 14 DAY 30 DAY 90 DAY MAY 28-JUN 1 MAY 30-JUN 5 JUN JUN-AUG ----------- ----------- -------- --------- Temperature: Above Above Normal Above Precipitation: Above Above Normal Above .... Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
Click here for the outlook maps. 2

 


  

997 
FXUS63 KLMK 230728
AFDLMK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
328 AM EDT Thu May 23 2019

.Short Term...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 300 AM EDT Thu May 23 2019

Persistent high pressure remains over the Gulf Coast states while a 
deep, vertically stacked low that currently resides over Lake 
Superior will march eastward to Maine over the next 24 hours. This 
low will put a dent in the high pressure influence over the Ohio 
Valley allowing for scattered showers and storm chances throughout 
the short term. 

A line of showers and storms extending from MI to OK will weaken as 
it approaches southern Indiana and central Kentucky. Expect some 
showers to move through the area this morning, mainly in our 
southern Indiana counties and those northern KY counties along the 
Ohio River.  

The cold front to our west will begin to pivot from a SW-NE line to 
a NW-SE orientation as it rides over top the ridge. Models are good 
agreement with placing this boundary across southern IL/IN/OH and 
northern KY. Interesting dynamics take place during this period as 
an elongated jet max over the Great Lakes induces ageostrophic 
forcing, evident from the isentropic upglide on the 305K potential 
temperature surface. This forcing is coincident with ample moisture 
with precipitable water reaching the 90 percent daily max for BNA. 
Moisture and lift combined with remnant outflow boundaries and 
diurnal instability should realize scattered showers and chance of 
thunderstorms this afternoon into early evening, mainly north of 
I64. SPC's latest convective outlook places much of our forecast 
area within a marginal risk today as SBCAPE values are well over 
3000 J/kg, though kinematics aren't all that impressive (0-6km Bulk 
Shear values range from 25 to 30kts). Expect main threats with any 
potential storms to be locally gusty winds, though small hail is 
also possible. Southwest winds gusting into the 20mph range will 
help keep temperatures well above climo with max temps from the mid 
to upper 80s and even 90 in southern KY.

Convection will wane with the loss of diurnal heating, but CAMs 
agree that scattered light showers will continue across northern KY 
and southern Indiana through early Friday morning. Min temperatures 
Friday morning will be mild in the mid to upper 60s.

&&

.Long Term...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 325 AM EDT Thu May 23 2019

Any lingering early Friday morning shower activity should go away as 
an upper ridge builds across the region. Afternoon redevelopment 
should be limited to north and northeast of our region, central 
Indiana into southwest Ohio, along the periphery of that upper 
ridge. After the morning clouds give way, we should see a hot start 
to the Memorial Day weekend. The situation should be similar 
Saturday, but disturbances riding up the ridge should push it south 
and allow our area to be in that periphery for storm development 
Sunday and Memorial Day. 

A stronger trough moving into the Central Plains Tuesday should 
briefly reinvigorate the ridge over us, perhaps providing a drier 
warmer day. This pattern could hold into Wednesday, but given 
depiction by CMC/GEFS/GFS of a weaker ridge will allow higher pops 
for that day.

&&

.Aviation...(06Z TAF Issuance)
Updated at 145 AM EDT Thu May 23 2019

VFR conditions are expected throughout much of TAF period. A line of 
convection to our west will weaken as it approaches the forecast 
area this morning. LVX vertical wind profile shows borderline speed 
LLWS at SDF and HNB but most of the energy is to our north. Any 
shear conditions that do exist should diminish by mid to late 
morning with boundary layer mixing. Expect southwest winds sustained 
10-15kt with gusts into the low 20kt range by late morning and 
through the afternoon. A frontal boundary will reside just to our 
north allowing diurnal instability to flare up possible showers and 
thunderstorms, mostly at HNB, SDF, and LEX until sunset. Short range 
models suggest that scattered showers could continue into early 
Friday morning, especially at HNB and SDF.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

$$

Short Term...CG
Long Term...RJS
Aviation...CG


Fire Weather Outlooks

PAH

	

 

LMK

	

	
   
JKL


	
 
 

	




    

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Zones Forecasts

PAH

	
Thu May 23 04:31:55 EDT 2019

McCracken-
Including the city of Paducah
331 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

.TODAY...Partly sunny. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds around 10 
mph. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds
around 5 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. 
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers
after midnight. Lows in the upper 60s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent. 


LMK

	
Thu May 23 03:30:21 EDT 2019

Fayette-
Including the city of Lexington
330 AM EDT Thu May 23 2019

.TODAY...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph
with gusts to around 30 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds up to
5 mph. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds up
to 5 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. 
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. 
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. 
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 80s. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. 

    
JKL

	Thu May 23 04:00:55 EDT 2019

Breathitt-
Including the city of Jackson
400 AM EDT Thu May 23 2019

.TODAY...Warm. Partly sunny. Patchy valley fog early. A
20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then partly cloudy. Mostly cloudy
with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms near dawn.
Patchy valley fog late. Lows in the mid 60s. Light winds. Chance
of rain 20 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Warm. Partly sunny. Patchy valley fog early. A chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then a slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper
80s. Light winds. Chance of rain 30 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Light winds. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Light winds. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. 
.SUNDAY...Hot. Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. 
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. 
.TUESDAY...Hot. Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. 

   
 

Weather Discussions

LMK

	

997 
FXUS63 KLMK 230728
AFDLMK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
328 AM EDT Thu May 23 2019

.Short Term...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 300 AM EDT Thu May 23 2019

Persistent high pressure remains over the Gulf Coast states while a 
deep, vertically stacked low that currently resides over Lake 
Superior will march eastward to Maine over the next 24 hours. This 
low will put a dent in the high pressure influence over the Ohio 
Valley allowing for scattered showers and storm chances throughout 
the short term. 

A line of showers and storms extending from MI to OK will weaken as 
it approaches southern Indiana and central Kentucky. Expect some 
showers to move through the area this morning, mainly in our 
southern Indiana counties and those northern KY counties along the 
Ohio River.  

The cold front to our west will begin to pivot from a SW-NE line to 
a NW-SE orientation as it rides over top the ridge. Models are good 
agreement with placing this boundary across southern IL/IN/OH and 
northern KY. Interesting dynamics take place during this period as 
an elongated jet max over the Great Lakes induces ageostrophic 
forcing, evident from the isentropic upglide on the 305K potential 
temperature surface. This forcing is coincident with ample moisture 
with precipitable water reaching the 90 percent daily max for BNA. 
Moisture and lift combined with remnant outflow boundaries and 
diurnal instability should realize scattered showers and chance of 
thunderstorms this afternoon into early evening, mainly north of 
I64. SPC's latest convective outlook places much of our forecast 
area within a marginal risk today as SBCAPE values are well over 
3000 J/kg, though kinematics aren't all that impressive (0-6km Bulk 
Shear values range from 25 to 30kts). Expect main threats with any 
potential storms to be locally gusty winds, though small hail is 
also possible. Southwest winds gusting into the 20mph range will 
help keep temperatures well above climo with max temps from the mid 
to upper 80s and even 90 in southern KY.

Convection will wane with the loss of diurnal heating, but CAMs 
agree that scattered light showers will continue across northern KY 
and southern Indiana through early Friday morning. Min temperatures 
Friday morning will be mild in the mid to upper 60s.

&&

.Long Term...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 325 AM EDT Thu May 23 2019

Any lingering early Friday morning shower activity should go away as 
an upper ridge builds across the region. Afternoon redevelopment 
should be limited to north and northeast of our region, central 
Indiana into southwest Ohio, along the periphery of that upper 
ridge. After the morning clouds give way, we should see a hot start 
to the Memorial Day weekend. The situation should be similar 
Saturday, but disturbances riding up the ridge should push it south 
and allow our area to be in that periphery for storm development 
Sunday and Memorial Day. 

A stronger trough moving into the Central Plains Tuesday should 
briefly reinvigorate the ridge over us, perhaps providing a drier 
warmer day. This pattern could hold into Wednesday, but given 
depiction by CMC/GEFS/GFS of a weaker ridge will allow higher pops 
for that day.

&&

.Aviation...(06Z TAF Issuance)
Updated at 145 AM EDT Thu May 23 2019

VFR conditions are expected throughout much of TAF period. A line of 
convection to our west will weaken as it approaches the forecast 
area this morning. LVX vertical wind profile shows borderline speed 
LLWS at SDF and HNB but most of the energy is to our north. Any 
shear conditions that do exist should diminish by mid to late 
morning with boundary layer mixing. Expect southwest winds sustained 
10-15kt with gusts into the low 20kt range by late morning and 
through the afternoon. A frontal boundary will reside just to our 
north allowing diurnal instability to flare up possible showers and 
thunderstorms, mostly at HNB, SDF, and LEX until sunset. Short range 
models suggest that scattered showers could continue into early 
Friday morning, especially at HNB and SDF.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

$$

Short Term...CG
Long Term...RJS
Aviation...CG


JKL

	

908 
FXUS63 KJKL 230846
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
446 AM EDT Thu May 23 2019

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday)
Issued at 440 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2019

Early this morning, an upper level ridge was centered across the
southeastern Conus and extended west along the Gulf of Mexico and
encompassed much of the Gulf of Mexico. Meanwhile an upper level
low was working into northwest Ontario and Lake Superior area with
an associated shortwave trough approaching the southern Great
Lakes and lower OH Valley. At the surface, a ridge of high
pressure extended from off the coast of the mid Atlantic states 
into the southeastern Conus. Surface low pressure was approaching
western Lake Superior with an associated cold front trailing 
south into then southwest into the mid MS Valley and then further
southwest into the Plains. Convection is occurring in advance of 
the front from southwest lower MI to portions of the Plains. 
Locally, although there have been few or no observations of valley
fog, light observed winds and small dewpoint depressions on KY 
Mesonet observation suggest at least some patchy light valley fog 
is likely present. 

Today, the upper level low is expected to move across Ontario and
Quebec and open up while a shortwave trough passes by just north 
of the area. At the same time, upper ridging along the eastern 
seaboard is expected to flatten while the ridge becomes centered 
over AL with heights rising to the northwest of the center in the 
wake of the shortwave trough. The surface low is expected to 
generally track in tandem with the upper level low/shortwave 
trough reaching the Northeast Conus tonight. The trailing surface 
cold front should become more east to west oriented as it 
approaches the OH Valley today and southward progress slowing due
to the riding over the Southeast. There remains some uncertainty 
with the evolution of convection as it moves across the OH Valley.
Several of the convective allowing model runs bring some dying 
convection into the area this morning and possibly affecting the 
far north and then leaving an outflow boundary across the northern
counties. 

Some of the guidance develops convection near this boundary 
during peak heating while the far southwest portion of area 
remains dry closer to the center of the ridge and further removed 
from the limited forcing from the passing shortwave. At this 
point, we have carried slight chance to chance pops from around or
a tier of counties south of the Mountain Parkway east to Pike 
County with the highest pops nearer to the I 64 corridor and the 
WV border. Trends in the convection will be monitored and it is 
possible that pops might need to be adjusted further upward across
the areas previously noted. MLCAPE may reach 1000 to 1500 j/kg 
across at least portions of the north and far east this afternoon 
with bulk shear of around 30kt or so. Low level lapse rates are 
expected to be stronger than mid level lapse rates and the 
strongest storms could produce gusty winds and possibly some small
hail. SPC has placed much of the area in a marginal risk for 
severe thunderstorms and this has been highlighted in the HWO. 
Areas to the northeast of East KY should have a better combination
of CAPE and shear and thus a considerably higher risk. With the
boundary in the vicinity and possibly a outflow further south,
isolated showers or a storm or two cannot be ruled out into the
overnight hours tonight. 

The boundary should sag bit further south over the Central
Appalachians on Friday and be aligned from IL to near the KY and
OH border near the OH river and then southeast into southwestern
portions of WV. Daytime heating and the potential of weak passing
shortwaves with the boundary in the vicinity will lead to
continued small chances for showers and thunderstorms over the
northern and eastern portions of the area on Friday.

Temperatures will remain warm in the warm sector with highs
reaching or near record highs at both JKL and LOZ for today and
tomorrow. Overnight lows will again be mild in the mid an upper 
60s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 318 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2019

The recurring theme in the extended will be daily summer 
like temperatures and mainly afternoon and evening rain chances 
Saturday through Monday. The bulk of any rain we see will likely
occur north of the Hal Rogers Parkway. A large and strong ridge of
high pressure will expanded northward during the period, and
should keep any northern stream weather systems from penetrating
far enough south to gives us more than isolated to scattered
showers and storms any given day. We should see a break from any
rain Monday night through Wednesday morning, as the ridge makes a
more northern push. We may also see isolated to scattered showers
and storms from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday night. We
are expecting daily highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s and
nightly lows in the 60s across the area. It will feel like summer
for sure. With partly cloudy to mostly clear skies and light winds 
also on tap each night, incorporated terrain influenced low
temperatures into our valleys through out the period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
ISSUED AT 135 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2019

VFR conditions are expected to prevail across the period with a
couple of possible exceptions. Some river valley fog may form
through 10Z, but this may only produce MVFR to IFR vis reductions
if it materializes and is not expected to affect the TAF sites.
Isolated convection cannot be ruled out especially in the more
northern and eastern locations after 12Z. This could affect areas
such as KSYM, KJKL, and SJS but confidence Winds will be light 
and variable through 12Z to 15Z, before picking up at around 10KT 
for most locations as the pressure gradient tightens and some 
higher momentum form aloft is mixed down. Some gusts around 20kt 
are expected, especially in more western locations such as KSYM, 
KSME, and KLOZ. Winds should slacken from 22Z through the end of 
the period. 

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JP
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...JP

      
PAH

	
852 
FXUS63 KPAH 230731
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
231 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday night)
Issued at 230 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

Strong to severe convection to our northwest is active/ongoing,
and moving eastward. The environment in our FA is still moderately
unstable with MLCAPE to 3000 J/KG, though that is down from 4000
J/KG earlier, and should wane further to about 2500 in the next
1-3 hours. Sounding data reveals a fairly strong inversion at 700
MB, so we'll see if the capping can be overcome as the outflow's 
move nearer. CAM and short res models do move convection 
into/around the I-64 corridor late tonight-early this morning, 
with new SWODY1 outlook indicating a Marginal Risk for this zone.
These outflows could likewise serve to induce additional daytime
convection, and will act as the main focus for pops as the High 
pressure ridge aloft simultaneously builds stronger into our 
southern counties. It does so with such strength that by the time 
diurnal fueling is lost, H5 heights have risen to 591-593 DM, and 
effectively capped/shut off any lingering convection. This signals
the beginning of a drier/pcpn devoid trend that will finish out 
the remainder of the short term forecast.

Summer time heat/humidity is not changing, with upper 80s/near 90
for highs, upper 60s/near 70 for lows/dew points.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 230 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

Models show upper level ridging over the PAH forecast area will 
weaken by Sunday.  This will allow a frontal boundary to sink south 
into northern portions of our region on Sunday.  Showers and some 
thunderstorms will be possible in portions of southeast Missouri, 
southern Illinois and southwest Indiana Sunday morning, with chances 
spreading a little farther south Sunday afternoon.  ECMWF and 
Canadian lift the front back north Sunday night, and with loss of 
heating, give us dry conditions.  GFS lingers some convection across 
our northern half of counties into Sunday night.  Went with a dry 
forecast for Sunday night for now.

By Monday, models all have us dry, and then keep any convection 
north of the PAH forecast area through Tuesday morning. By Tuesday 
night into Wednesday, models show a cold front moving from the 
Central Plains into the middle Mississippi Valley.  Showers and a 
few thunderstorms will spread east across our region Tuesday night, 
with highest chances across our western half of counties.  Slight to 
low chances of showers and storms will continue into Wednesday. 

Winds will remain southerly Sunday through Wednesday.  This will 
keep temperatures 6 to 10 degrees above seasonal normals.  

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 230 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

S-SW winds will prevail, and increase in gustiness again during 
the daytime. While cigs/vsbys will remain largely VFR thru the
package, isolated thunderstorm chances in the I-64 corridor from 
KMVN to KEVV area may introduce restricted bases and/or vsbys, as 
an MCS like complex nears, and vicinity mentions were made to 
accommodate that potential. Otherwise expect another daytime cu 
field providing low VFR bases, scattered to broken, similar to 
yesterday.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

     
 

Across the Commonwealth for the next week...

Kentucky Medium & Long Range Outlook:

KENTUCKY --------------------------------------------- 6 TO 10 DAY 8 TO 14 DAY 30 DAY 90 DAY MAY 28-JUN 1 MAY 30-JUN 5 JUN JUN-AUG ----------- ----------- -------- --------- Temperature: Above Above Normal Above Precipitation: Above Above Normal Above .... Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
Click here for the outlook maps. 2

 


Click here for the PAH,LEX & JKL point ag cast.

Harzardous Weather Outlooks

PAH

	
Thu May 23 04:59:55 EDT 2019

Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
359 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A small chance of thunderstorms is forecast today and tonight. 
The best chance of storms will be along and north of Interstate 
64, in southern Illinois and southwest Indiana. There is a 
marginal risk a storm may become severe, with damaging winds and 
large hail as the primary severe weather hazards. Otherwise, 
locally heavy rain and lightning will be the primary storm 
hazards.

Refer to the latest river flood warnings and statements for
details on area river flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

There is an almost daily chance of thunderstorms during the period
from Saturday to Wednesday, with the main chance being during the
heat of the day. While an isolated strong storm capable of
producing gusty winds and hail cannot be ruled out, most storms
will have locally heavy rain and lightning as their primary
hazards.

Detailed information on area river flooding can be found on the
latest updated river flood warnings and statements.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.



LMK

	

	Thu May 23 03:45:45 EDT 2019

Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Harrison-
Floyd-Clark-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-
Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-
Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Mercer-Jessamine-Larue-Marion-Boyle-
Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-
Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-
Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Jasper, 
English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Lewisport, 
Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield, 
Elizabethtown, Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, 
Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana, 
Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle, 
Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, Winchester, 
Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, Morgantown, 
Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty, 
Stanford, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence, 
Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown, 
Burkesville, and Albany
345 AM EDT Thu May 23 2019 /245 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

An approaching cold front will bring chances of scattered storms 
this afternoon mainly north of I64 with locally gusty winds being the
main threat. 


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Isolated to widely scattered storms are forecast Friday afternoon 
through Tuesday. The best coverage appears to be on Friday morning and
then again on Sunday as a couple of frontal boundaries approach the 
region and provide focus for storm development. The main threats with
these storms will be brief heavy rainfall and gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.


  
JKL


Wed May 22 15:21:22 EDT 2019

Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, 
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, 
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, 
Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns, 
Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, 
Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, 
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, 
Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, 
Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, 
Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
321 PM EDT Wed May 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Thunderstorms will be possible, mainly during the afternoon and
evening hours, Thursday through Tuesday. A thunderstorm or two 
could produce strong gusty winds on Thursday, mainly north of the 
Mountain Parkway.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.



 


The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) divides the United States into 10 climate zones that vary at 10 degree farenheit increments based on average miniumum temperature.


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