Warren County, KY Weather And Climate Synopsis


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Palmer Drought Index



Crop Moisture Index
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NWS: Calculated Soil Moisture.
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


Updated Thursday Evening, October 14, 2021

Severe storms possible this evening/overnight

Storms are ramping up late this afternoon as a cold front approaches the area. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for mainly the Purchase area of Western KY, but others could be added as the evening progresses. Stay weather aware! The main threat is damaging winds, but an isolated tornado and/or large hail cannot be ruled out.

This frontal boundary will exit the area by tomorrow morning, leaving behind a dry weekend ahead. Saying that, temperatures will take an abrupt downward trend with highs limited to the 60s for both Saturday and Sunday. Some in the upper 50s. Sunday morning lows will likely dip into the low to middle 40s for most, but cannot rule out some low lying and sheltered locations making it into the upper 30s. Suppose a patchy frost cannot be ruled out for these locations.

Looking farther out, our next shot of rain looks to hold off until midweek.

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Regional Hourly Observations For WARREN County, Kentucky
Issued at 200 AM EDT MON OCT 18 2021
WESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
PADUCAH        CLEAR     44  41  89 CALM      30.19F                  
HENDERSON      CLEAR     49  42  77 SW3       30.20S                  
OWENSBORO      CLEAR     48  41  76 CALM      30.20S                  
HOPKINSVILLE   CLEAR     48  47  98 CALM      30.20F                  
BOWLING GREEN  CLEAR     48  42  80 CALM      30.21F                  
GLASGOW        CLEAR     44  44 100 CALM      30.21S                  

KY Round-up, Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, Rh, Wind, Regional Obs., Station Model, NWS Louisville
Meteograms: Paducah , Evansville , Bowling Green , Hopkinsville , Frankfort , Louisville , Lexington , Covington , Jackson , London , About Meteograms


Current Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Conditions in Kentucky
Based on observations at 200am EDT, Monday October 18, 2021

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 44 degrees west, near 48 degrees central, and near 49 degrees east. Current sky conditions are clear west, clear central, and clear east. In the west, relative humidity is near 89%, and the dew point is near 41 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 73%, and the dew point is near 40 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 68%, and the dew point is near 39 degrees. Current drying conditions are poor west, fair central, and fair east. Tobacco stripping conditions are favorable west, marginal central, and marginal east. Winds are calm west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the southwest at 5 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 54 degrees at Louisville International. The lowest temperature is 44 degrees at Paducah, London, and Fort Knox.

List of Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Observations in Kentucky


Radar:
UKAWC Radar, NWS Radar (NEW!), SPC Radar, SkyWarn, NEXRAD,
Hazardous Weather Outlook For WARREN County, Kentucky
308 PM EDT Sun Oct 17 2021 /208 PM CDT Sun Oct 17 2021/

 DAY ONE  Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For WARREN County, KY
207 PM CDT Sun Oct 17 2021

TONIGHT
Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest winds up to 5 mph.

MONDAY
Sunny. Highs around 70. West winds up to 5 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT
Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. South winds up to 5 mph.

TUESDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds up to 5 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. South winds up to 5 mph.

WEDNESDAY
Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.

FRIDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.

SATURDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s.

SUNDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s.

Day 1 Precip, Day 2, 5 Day Total, Days 1-5, ALL


Medium & Long Range Outlook For WARREN County, Kentucky
                             KENTUCKY                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   OCT 23-27 OCT 25-OCT 31    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above     Normal      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above       Normal      Above      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
TWC Jet, 15-Day Jet,Trend, Max/Mins
6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook


Drought Status For WARREN County, Kentucky
(Based on the latest Palmer Drought Severity and Crop Moisture Indices)
CENTRAL   KY CLIMATE DIVISION

Hydrological Drought (PDSI) Situation:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Long-term Hydrological Moisture Status: NEAR NORMAL           (PDSI=   0.84)
Rainfall Needed:  0.00 inches ABOVE NORMAL


Crop Moisture (CMI) Situation:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Short-term Crop Moisture Status: Favorable For Normal Growth And Fieldwork    (CMI=   0.63)
Change From Previous Week: DRIER      SOILS ( -0.44)

Note: Due to rainfall variability within each climate division, check Precip Reports/GIS Estimates and the Kentucky Climate Summary for the latest moisture information for this county.

Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page


Kentucky Climate Summary
Kentucky Climate Summary
For the Period 10-10-2021 to 10-16-2021

Temperatures for the period averaged 69 degrees across the state which was 10 degrees warmer than normal and 2 degrees cooler than the previous period. High temperatures averaged from 80 in the West to 78 in the East. Departure from normal high temperatures ranged from 7 degrees warmer than normal in the West to 7 degrees warmer than normal in the East. Low temperatures averaged from 61 degrees in the West to 60 degrees in the East. Departure from normal low temperature ranged from 13 degrees warmer than normal in the West to 16 degrees warmer than normal in the East. The extreme high temperature for the period was 89 degrees at HENDERSON 5E and the extreme low was 41 degrees at HARDINSBURG 5SW.

Precipitation (liq. equ.) for the period totaled 0.63 inches statewide which was 0.09 inches below normal and 87% of normal. Precipitation totals by climate division, West 0.68 inches, Central 0.61 inches, Bluegrass 0.74 inches and East 0.49 inches, which was -0.06, -0.13, 0.04 and -0.23 inches respectively from normal. By station, precipitation totals ranged from a low of 0.02 inches at CALHOUN 5NW to a high of 1.54 inches at BURLINGTON 4S.

Kentucky Climate Summaries: Last day, Last 3 days, 7 days, 14, 21, 30, 60, 90 days
Yesterday's Weather Data, Kentucky Climate in Review


Almanac Information
Monday October 18, 2021 the 291th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination -10.060000
Distance 0.999721 AU
Rise 07:51 EDT Set 18:56 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:23 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:25 EDT Ends 19:21 EDT

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Normal Max/Min Temperature for Today: 69 / 46
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Calculations made for central point in Kentucky
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Sunrise/Sunset/Moonrise/Moonset Computation (USN)
What the Moon looks like right now (USN)

On This Day In

Weather History...



//////////////////////////
OCTOBER 18TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1906...
A hurricane struck South Florida drowning 124 persons stranded in the
Florida Keys. (David Ludlum)
...1910...
Northeasterly winds as high as 70 mph (from a hurricane moving northward up
the Florida peninsula) carried water out of Tampa Bay and the Hillsboro
River. The water level lowered to nine feet below mean low water. Forty
ships were grounded.
(The Weather Channel)
...1930...
A big early season lake effect snowburst on the lee shores of Lake Erie and
Lake Ontario produced 47 inches at Governeur NY and 48 inches just south of
Buffalo. (David Ludlum)
...1987...
Thunderstorms in northeastern Texas produced golf ball size hail at
Atlanta, along with wind gusts to 86 mph, and four inches of rain. Damage
from the storm was estimated at more than a million dollars. Sunny and mild
weather continued across much of the rest of the nation. (The National
Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1988...
Eight cities in the southwestern U.S. reported record high temperatures for
the date, including Red Bluff CA with a reading of 96 degrees. (The
National Weather Summary)
...1989...
Unseasonably cold air began to invade the central and eastern U.S. Light
snow fell across northern Maine, and snow was also reported in the Great
Lakes Region, including the Chicago area. Bismarck ND was the cold spot in
the nation with a low of 9 degrees above zero. Five cities in Florida
reported record high readings for the date, as temperatures warmed above 80
degrees. Miami FL reported a record high of 90 degrees. (The National
Weather Summary)

UKAWC Briefing Page

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky