Warren County, KY Weather And Climate Synopsis


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NWS: Calculated Soil Moisture.
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


Updated Tuesday Evening, July 14, 2020

...Heat & Humidity Into The Weekend With Storms Later Wednesday/Thursday...

Radar remains clear early this evening across the Bluegrass State with semi-comfortable temperatures in the middle to upper 80s. This changes tomorrow and through the rest of the week with high heat and daily storm chances in the forecast. Highs each day will hover in the upper 80s to low 90s. More moisture will make it feel more like around 100 at times during the heat of the afternoon. Hence, livestock heat stress will run in the danger to emergency category on a daily basis.

Producers should minimize moving livestock around the farmstead or transporting animals to the market during afternoon and early evening hours until animal heat stress decreases. Also provide animals plenty of cool water and shade. More info on mitigating heat stress can be found here. Do not forget about pets too!

Outlooks hint that this hot pattern will last through next week. While it will be hot, most days feature at least a chance for rainfall. Heavy rain, lightning, and occasional gusty winds will remain the main threats.

Weather Forecast Across The Commonwealth Of Kentucky

Western KY:
Central KY:
Eastern KY:

Specific and detailed farm-by-farm weather forecast information is available in your Point Ag Forecast. New County Ag Weather Page, Current Conditions:Kentucky
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Regional Hourly Observations For WARREN County, Kentucky
Issued at 1100 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2020
WESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
PADUCAH        CLEAR     75  68  78 SE6       29.99S                  
HENDERSON      CLEAR     68  67  96 CALM      30.02R                  
OWENSBORO      CLEAR     75  70  84 CALM      30.03R                  
HOPKINSVILLE   CLEAR     77  71  84 NE5       30.02S                  
BOWLING GREEN  CLEAR     77  70  79 CALM      30.04R                  
GLASGOW        CLEAR     72  69  89 CALM      30.05R                  

KY Round-up, Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, Rh, Wind, Regional Obs., Station Model, NWS Louisville
Meteograms: Paducah , Evansville , Bowling Green , Hopkinsville , Frankfort , Louisville , Lexington , Covington , Jackson , London , About Meteograms


Current Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Conditions in Kentucky
Based on observations at 1100pm EDT, Tuesday July 14, 2020

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 75 degrees west, near 71 degrees central, and near 75 degrees east. Current sky conditions are clear west, clear central, and clear east. In the west, relative humidity is near 78%, and the dew point is near 68 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 75%, and the dew point is near 63 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 61%, and the dew point is near 61 degrees. Current drying conditions are fair west, fair central, and fair east. The livestock heat stress category is no stress west, no stress central, and no stress east. Winds are from the southeast at 6 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 3 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 3 mph east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 80 degrees at Louisville International. The lowest temperature is 68 degrees at Henderson.

List of Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Observations in Kentucky


Radar:
UKAWC Radar, NWS Radar (NEW!), SPC Radar, SkyWarn, NEXRAD,
Hazardous Weather Outlook For WARREN County, Kentucky
311 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2020 /211 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2020/

 DAY ONE  Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Wednesday through Monday.

Afternoon heat index values near 100 degrees are possible Thursday 
through Monday. 

A complex of storms will come close to the Ohio Valley Wednesday 
night bringing the threat of locally gusty winds and heavy rainfall.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible each afternoon
and evening beginning on Thursday. The main threats with these 
storms will be locally gusty winds, cloud to ground lightning, and 
heavy rainfall.
 
 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation is not expected.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For WARREN County, KY
212 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2020

TONIGHT
Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds up to 5 mph.

WEDNESDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. South winds up to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

FRIDAY
Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s.

SATURDAY
Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.

SUNDAY
Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s.

MONDAY
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s.

MONDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s.

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.

Day 1 Precip, Day 2, 5 Day Total, Days 1-5, ALL


Medium & Long Range Outlook For WARREN County, Kentucky
                             KENTUCKY                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   JUL 20-24    JUL 22-28    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above     Normal      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Above      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
TWC Jet, 15-Day Jet,Trend, Max/Mins
6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook


Drought Status For WARREN County, Kentucky
(Based on the latest Palmer Drought Severity and Crop Moisture Indices)
CENTRAL   KY CLIMATE DIVISION

Hydrological Drought (PDSI) Situation:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Long-term Hydrological Moisture Status: NEAR NORMAL           (PDSI=   1.88)
Rainfall Needed:  0.00 inches ABOVE NORMAL


Crop Moisture (CMI) Situation:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Short-term Crop Moisture Status: Moisture Adequate For Present Needs          (CMI=   0.71)
Change From Previous Week: WETTER     SOILS (  0.90)

Note: Due to rainfall variability within each climate division, check Precip Reports/GIS Estimates and the Kentucky Climate Summary for the latest moisture information for this county.

Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page


Kentucky Climate Summary
Kentucky Climate Summary
For the Period 07-07-2020 to 07-13-2020

Temperatures for the period averaged 77 degrees across the state which was 0 degrees from normal and 2 degrees cooler than the previous period. High temperatures averaged from 89 in the West to 85 in the East. Departure from normal high temperatures ranged from 0 degrees from normal in the West to 2 degrees cooler than normal in the East. Low temperatures averaged from 70 degrees in the West to 65 degrees in the East. Departure from normal low temperature ranged from 2 degrees warmer than normal in the West to 2 degrees warmer than normal in the East. The extreme high temperature for the period was 95 degrees at CAPE GIRARDEAU ASOS and the extreme low was 0 degrees at MONTICELLO AWOS.

Precipitation (liq. equ.) for the period totaled 1.05 inches statewide which was 0.06 inches above normal and 106% of normal. Precipitation totals by climate division, West 1.19 inches, Central 1.13 inches, Bluegrass 0.93 inches and East 0.97 inches, which was 0.21, 0.13, -0.05 and -0.04 inches respectively from normal. By station, precipitation totals ranged from a low of 0.00 inches at CAPE GIRARDEAU ASOS to a high of 4.05 inches at HARRODSBURG 3N.

Kentucky Climate Summaries: Last day, Last 3 days, 7 days, 14, 21, 30, 60, 90 days
Yesterday's Weather Data, Kentucky Climate in Review


Almanac Information
Tuesday July 14, 2020 the 196th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 21.440000
Distance 0.999715 AU
Rise 06:28 EDT Set 21:01 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:44 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 05:59 EDT Ends 21:30 EDT

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Normal Max/Min Temperature for Today: 88 / 65
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Calculations made for central point in Kentucky
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Sunrise/Sunset/Moonrise/Moonset Computation (USN)
What the Moon looks like right now (USN)

On This Day In

Weather History...



///////////////////////////
JULY 14TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1936...
Extreme heat prevailed across the central U.S. as severe drought raged from
Texas to the Dakotas. Record high temperatures were established in sixteen
states that summer, including readings as high as 120 degrees in the Great
Plains Region. On this particular date, afternoon highs for 113 stations
across the state of Iowa averaged 108.7 degrees. (David Ludlum)
...1957...
Hail, with some stones up to an inch in diameter, covered the ground to a
depth of three inches ruining crops in the Bath area of New Hampshire. (The
Weather Channel)
...1987...
Severe thunderstorms in Iowa produced eight inches of golf ball size hail
near Grafton IA, completely stripping corn stalks in the area. Hail caused
more than a million dollars damage to crops in Worth County and Mitchell
County, and another million dollars damage in Ada County and Crawford
County. Unseasonably cool weather prevailed in the Great Plains Region.
Eight cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including
Duluth MN with a reading of 37 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)
(Storm Data)
...1988...
Severe thunderstorms produced large hail and damaging winds in the Northern
Atlantic Coast Region during the afternoon and evening hours. Thunderstorms
also spawned a rather strong tornado near Westtown NY, and drenched Agawam
MA with four inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1989...
Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather from eastern
New Mexico to central Nebraska. One hundred soldiers were injured by flying
debris and collapsing tents during a thunderstorm near Trinidad CO.
Thunderstorms in Colorado produced wind gusts to 77 mph at La Junta. Early
morning thunderstorms produced torrential rains over parts of Louisiana,
with 7.50 inches at Carencro, and 5.85 inches at Morgan City. (Storm Data)
(The National Weather Summary)
...2000...
A line of severe thunderstorms moved across Eastern Kentucky. Large hail 
or downed trees were reported in every Eastern Kentucky county. In 
Jackson county at Annville...an F1 tornado uprooted numerous trees... 
destroyed four homes and two barns and blew a tied down mobile home off 
its foundation and down a hill...seriously injuring a woman inside it. 
Other homes in the path of the tornado suffered roof damage and two 
homes had garages blown away. Damage totaled five hundred thousand dollars.
(NWS Jackson, KY Weather Office)

UKAWC Briefing Page

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky