1st Responders/1st Detectors/Storm Spotters Weather Summary for Breathitt County, KY

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Breathitt County, KY Hazardous Weather Outlook Webcast
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UKAWC 1st Detectors/1st Responders Precision Weather Forecast For BREATHITT County, Kentucky
(based on the NWS County Digital Forecast)

ISSUED AT 22:00 UTC ON SUNDAY OCT 22 2017
DAY SUNDAY MONDAY
EDT 3HR 7P 8P 9P 10P 11P MIDN 1A 2A 3A 4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10A 11A NOON 1P 2P 3P 4P 5P 6P 7P
MAX/MIN 79° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 58° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 68°
TEMP 70° 72° 68° 67° 65° 63° 63° 61° 61° 61° 59° 58° 58° 58° 58° 58° 61° 63° 65° 67° 67° 68° 68° 68° 67°
SKY COVER 27% 36% 42% 48% 54% 61% 69% 76% 80% 84% 88% 90% 92% 95% 96% 98% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 94% 92% 90% 88%
Clouds
DEW PT 52° 52° 52° 54° 54° 54° 56° 56° 56° 56° 56° 56° 56° 56° 56° 58° 61° 61° 61° 61° 61° 61° 61° 58° 56°
RH 52% 48% 57% 62% 67% 72% 77% 80% 86% 87% 90% 92% 96% 96% 96% 100% 96% 93% 86% 84% 81% 78% 75% 70% 70%
POP 12HR -- 1% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 52% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
RAIN/SNOW (liq.equ) -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- 0.04in -- -- -- -- -- 0.66in -- -- -- -- --
SNOWFALL -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- --
WIND SPEED(MPH) 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 6 5 2 2 2 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6
WIND Gust(MPH) 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 8 9 10 9 8 7 7 7
WIND DIR S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S SW SW SW
DEW -- -- -- -- -- Lgt Dew Lgt Dew Mod Dew Mod Dew Hvy Dew Hvy Dew Hvy Dew -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
HeatIndex 70 72 68 67 65 63 63 61 61 61 59 58 58 58 58 58 61 63 65 67 67 68 68 68 67
Rain Showers -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Slight Chance Chance Chance Chance Likely Likely Definite Definite Definite Definite Definite Definite Definite Definite Definite Likely
Frost -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND CHILL -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
SPRAY COND
DRY COND
LIVESTOCK COLDSTRESS
LIVESTOCK HEATSTRESS 67.04 68.22 65.82 65.29 63.87 62.35 62.47 60.76 60.83 60.84 58.99 58.04 58.02 58.02 58.02 58.00 60.95 62.84 64.52 66.28 66.14 66.89 66.73 66.48 65.65



DAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY FRIDAY SATURDAY SUNDAY
EDT 6HR 8P 9P 10P 11P MIDN 1A 2A 3A 4A 5A 6A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
MAX/MIN -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 45° -- -- 59° -- -- -- -- 36° -- -- 50° -- -- 36° 61° -- -- 40° 68° -- -- 43° 59° -- -- 36° 58° --
TEMP 61° 58° 54° 54° 52° 52° 50° 49° 49° 49° 47° 45° 54° 58° 58° 49° 43° 41° 38° 36° 43° 49° 49° 43° 40° 38° 61° 50° 45° 41° 67° 58° 47° 43° 58° 54° 43° 36° 56° 47°
SKY COVER 87% 87% 87% 87% 73% 59% 45% 47% 51% 54% 56% 63% 59% 60% 69% 55% 37% 47% 50% 72% 69% 70% 61% 62% 30% 17% 12% 7% 10% 21% 23% 49% 67% 74% 65% 56% 53% 52% 49% 45%
Clouds
DEW PT 54° 54° 52° 52° 49° 49° 47° 45° 45° 45° 45° 43° 45° 43° 40° 38° 38° 36° 34° 34° 36° 36° 36° 36° 34° 32° 38° 40° 40° 40° 47° 45° 43° 41° 43° 40° 38° 34° 40° 38°
RH 78% 86% 93% 93% 89% 89% 86% 86% 89% 85% 88% 92% 74% 55% 53% 66% 79% 78% 85% 91% 75% 57% 61% 72% 76% 81% 43% 65% 85% 92% 46% 61% 89% 92% 55% 61% 79% 89% 55% 73%
POP 12HR 94% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 51% -- -- -- 29% -- -- -- 7% -- -- -- 12% -- 10% -- 1% -- 5% -- 12% -- 55% -- 53% -- 34% -- 34%
RAIN/SNOW (liq.equ) 0.35in -- -- -- -- -- 0.06in -- -- -- -- 0.03in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
SNOWFALL 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND SPEED(MPH) 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 6 7 7 5 2 2 2 2 6 7 7 2 1 1 5 1 2 2 7 5 5 2 5 5 2 2 5 2
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W W W W SW S SW S S S SW S SW SW W W SW S SW W
HeatIndex 61 58 54 54 52 52 50 49 49 49 47 45 54 58 58 49 42 40 36 34 40 49 49 42 40 38 61 50 43 40 67 58 47 42 58 54 42 34 56 47
Rain Showers Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Chance Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Slight Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Slight Chance Chance Chance Chance Slight Chance -- Slight Chance Chance Chance
Frost -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Areas of -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND CHILL -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 39° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
SPRAY COND
DRY COND
LIVESTOCK COLDSTRESS
LIVESTOCK HEATSTRESS 60.73 58.06 54.18 54.18 52.41 52.41 50.68 49.75 49.59 49.81 47.78 45.61 54.69 58.20 58.21 50.83 44.82 43.15 39.72 37.13 45.17 51.32 51.10 45.43 42.48 40.17 60.31 51.69 46.14 41.78 64.56 58.17 47.71 43.70 58.20 55.03 44.82 37.38 56.69 48.75

Click on individual weather variable above in left-hand column (ie., TEMP, RH, QPF 12HR) to view state forecast maps






NWS 48 Hr. Forecast Maps,

Regional Hourly Observations For BREATHITT County, Kentucky
Issued at 600 PM EDT SUN OCT 22 2017
...EASTERN KENTUCKY...
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
JACKSON        PTCLDY    73  49  42 CALM      30.17S                  
LONDON         PTCLDY    73  52  47 S5        30.15F                  
SOMERSET*      CLOUDY    72  54  53 SE5       30.13F                  
MONTICELLO*    CLOUDY    73  59  61 VRB6      30.13F                  
WILLIAMSBURG*  CLOUDY    72  55  56 SE5       30.15S                  
MIDDLESBORO*   CLEAR     72  55  54 CALM      30.17S                  
HARLAN APT*    MOCLDY    73  48  40 CALM      30.18S                  
PIKE CO APT*     N/A     73  48  41 CALM      30.18S                  
BIG SANDY APT* CLOUDY    70  54  56 CALM      30.17S                  
MOREHEAD APT*  CLOUDY    72  48  43 CALM      30.16F                  


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.


Fire Weather Forecast For BREATHITT County, KY
Provided by the National Weather Service:

Issued at: Sun Oct 22 18:05:01 EDT 2017

Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, 
and South Williamson
358 PM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A 
                    slight chance of rain showers. 
Min Temperature.....Around 58...except lower 50s in sheltered valleys. 
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........99 percent. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
ADI.................55 decreasing to 11 late. 
LVORI...............4. 
Prob of precip......30 percent. 
QPF (inches)........0.04 inches. 

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers. 
Max Temperature.....66-71. 
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........64-74 percent. 
   24 hr trend......33 percent wetter. 
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....South 10 to 20 mph. 
Dispersion Index....40. 
Vent Rate...........Fair (39900 knot-ft). 
ADI.................43. 
LVORI...............5. 
Prob of precip......90 percent. 
QPF (inches)........0.55 - 0.95 inches. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. 
Min Temperature.....44-49. 
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........96 percent. 
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
ADI.................30 decreasing to 19 late. 
LVORI...............6. 
Prob of precip......80 percent. 
QPF (inches)........0.10 - 0.39 inches. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. A chance of rain showers in the 
                    morning, then a slight chance of rain showers 
                    in the afternoon. 
Max Temperature.....57-62. 
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........44-52 percent. 
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier. 
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west 
                    around 20 mph early in the afternoon. 
Dispersion Index....70. 
Vent Rate...........Good (69900 knot-ft). 
ADI.................30 increasing to 53 in the afternoon. 
LVORI...............4. 
Prob of precip......20 percent. 
QPF (inches)........0.03 inches. 

SPC's Fire Weather Web Tool (Excellent!), SPC's Fire Weather Outlooks, NWS Fire Weather WEB, Fire Danger Class Map,
Keetch-Byram Drought Index, ROMAN Web, Haines Index ,
WFAS's 10-hr Dead Fuel Moist., WFAS's 100-hr Dead Fuel Moist., Probablity of Ignition, Visual blackness Map, Palmer Drought Index, HPC's Rainfall Forecast Maps


Hazardous Weather Outlook For BREATHITT County, Kentucky
355 PM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

 DAY ONE  Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Monday through Saturday.

Frost will be possible Thursday morning, particularly in the 
sheltered valley areas.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

Latest BREATHITT County, Kentucky Watches, Warnings and Advisories.
Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page, Kentucky Drought Watch


7-Day Forecast For BREATHITT County, KY

TONIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening, then mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers late. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers near dawn. Lows in the upper 50s. Light winds. Chance of rain 50 percent.

MONDAY
Showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Light winds. Chance of rain 90 percent.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the evening, then partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers near dawn. Lows in the upper 40s. Light winds. Chance of rain 50 percent.

TUESDAY
Partly sunny. A chance of showers in the morning, then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs around 60. West winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Light winds.

WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.

THURSDAY
Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.

FRIDAY
Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.

SATURDAY
Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 30s.

SUNDAY
Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 50s.

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky