Harlan County, KY Weather And Climate Synopsis


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Updated Saturday, February 23, 2019

...Flash Flood Watch Issued Through This Evening...
...Additional Heavy Rainfall & Strong To Severe Thunderstorms This Evening...
...Renewed Flood And River Flood Expected For Weekend And Into Next Week...

Widespread heavy rain is possible today, with strong storms this evening as a strong storm system affects the Ohio Valley. Strong and gusty west winds are expected on Sunday behind the departing system. Quiet weather and seasonable temperatures will follow Monday and Tuesday under sprawling high pressure. Periodic chances for light rain will return for the latter half of the upcoming week.

Area rivers will remain high from recent rainfall. See our webpage for the most recent updates to river flood advisories and flood warnings.

Heavy rain is likely today, with 1 to 2 inches of additional rainfall possible. Areal and renewed small stream flooding is likely where the heaviest rain falls, with localized flash flooding possible. Livestock producers should move animals to higher ground. Pet owners should also ensure pets are safe and moved from flood-prone and low-lying areas to higher ground.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible this evening as a strong cold front moves through the area. The strongest cells will be capable of producing locally damaging wind gusts and brief spin-up tornadoes, mainly along and west of I-65. Briefly torrential rainfall could result in additional flooding.

Kentucky Weather Forecast

Western KY:
Central KY:
Eastern KY:

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Regional Hourly Observations For HARLAN County, Kentucky
Issued at 200 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019
SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
JACKSON        PTSUNNY   55  53  93 S8        29.94F                  
LONDON         FAIR      53  52  96 S13G29    29.93F                  
SOMERSET       NOT AVBL                                               
MIDDLESBORO    RAIN      51  51 100 CALM      30.10F                  
MONTICELLO     CLOUDY    57  54  89 SE9       29.94F                  

KY Round-up, Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, Rh, Wind, Regional Obs., Station Model, NWS Louisville
Meteograms: Paducah , Evansville , Bowling Green , Hopkinsville , Frankfort , Louisville , Lexington , Covington , Jackson , London , About Meteograms


Current Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Conditions in Kentucky
Based on observations at 200pm EST, Saturday February 23, 2019

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 59 degrees west, near 58 degrees central, and near 55 degrees east. Current sky conditions are heavy rain west, cloudy central, and partly sunny east. In the west, relative humidity is near 89%, and the dew point is near 56 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 84%, and the dew point is near 53 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 93%, and the dew point is near 53 degrees. Current drying conditions are poor west, poor central, and poor east. There is patchy fog west. Winds are variable at 5 mph west, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to heavy rain. Winds are from the southeast at 9 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 8 mph east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category west, no stress category central, and no stress category east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 61 degrees at Fort Knox. The lowest temperature is 49 degrees at Covington.

List of Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Observations in Kentucky


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Hazardous Weather Outlook For HARLAN County, Kentucky
534 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING  

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky.

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight.

Due to recent rainfall, continued high water or flooding can be 
anticipated at some river locations in the Kentucky, Big Sandy, 
and Cumberland basins.

Additional rounds of moderate to heavy rainfall are expected 
through tonight. This could lead to new flooding or worsening of 
existing flooding on area creeks, streams, and rivers. Also, the 
threat for mud and rock slides will persist.

Strong thunderstorms are possible tonight, mainly west of
interstate 75, with strong wind gusts being the main threat. The 
soft, wet ground will make it easier for trees to be blown down.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Sunday through Friday.

Winds will gust near 40 mph over most of the area on Sunday. 
Because of the soft, wet ground, this could lead to downed trees. 

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotters are encouraged to report observed heavy rainfall and any
flooding through Sunday.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For HARLAN County, KY
1227 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019


FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

THIS AFTERNOON
Showers, then showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms late. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Locally heavy rainfall possible early. Highs in the mid 50s. Light winds becoming south around 10 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.

TONIGHT
Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms near dawn. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain 80 percent.

SUNDAY
Partly sunny. A 20 percent chance of showers late in the morning. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Cooler, clear. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds around 10 mph.

MONDAY
Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Light winds.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s.

TUESDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows around 30.

WEDNESDAY
Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 40s.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the lower 30s.

THURSDAY
Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 30s.

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the mid 50s.

Day 1 Precip, Day 2, 5 Day Total, Days 1-5, ALL


Medium & Long Range Outlook For HARLAN County, Kentucky
                             KENTUCKY                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                FEB 28-MAR 4  MAR 2-MAR 8    FEB       FEB-APR                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below     Normal      Below                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Above      Below                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
TWC Jet, 15-Day Jet,Trend, Max/Mins
6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook


Drought Status For HARLAN County, Kentucky
(Based on the latest Palmer Drought Severity and Crop Moisture Indices)
EASTERN   KY CLIMATE DIVISION

Hydrological Drought (PDSI) Situation:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Long-term Hydrological Moisture Status: VERY MOIST SPELL      (PDSI=   3.87)
Rainfall Needed:  0.00 inches ABOVE NORMAL


Crop Moisture (CMI) Situation:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Short-term Crop Moisture Status: Favorable, Except Still Too Wet In Spots     (CMI=   1.34)
Change From Previous Week: DRIER      SOILS ( -1.21)

Note: Due to rainfall variability within each climate division, check Precip Reports/GIS Estimates and the Kentucky Climate Summary for the latest moisture information for this county.

Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page


Kentucky Climate Summary
Kentucky Climate Summary
For the Period 02-16-2019 to 02-22-2019

Temperatures for the period averaged 38 degrees across the state which was 0 degrees from normal and 2 degrees cooler than the previous period. High temperatures averaged from 43 in the West to 46 in the East. Departure from normal high temperatures ranged from 8 degrees cooler than normal in the West to 4 degrees cooler than normal in the East. Low temperatures averaged from 32 degrees in the West to 34 degrees in the East. Departure from normal low temperature ranged from 2 degrees warmer than normal in the West to 8 degrees warmer than normal in the East. The extreme high temperature for the period was 61 degrees at BOONEVILLE 2S and the extreme low was 18 degrees at BURLINGTON 4S.

Precipitation (liq. equ.) for the period totaled 2.69 inches statewide which was 1.77 inches above normal and 292% of normal. Precipitation totals by climate division, West 2.53 inches, Central 2.81 inches, Bluegrass 1.94 inches and East 3.50 inches, which was 1.49, 1.82, 1.15 and 2.64 inches above normal. By station, precipitation totals ranged from a low of 0.87 inches at CARBONDALE ASOS to a high of 5.25 inches at ALBANY 1N.

Kentucky Climate Summaries: Last day, Last 3 days, 7 days, 14, 21, 30, 60, 90 days
Yesterday's Weather Data, Kentucky Climate in Review


Almanac Information
Saturday February 23, 2019 the 54th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination -9.550000
Distance 0.999723 AU
Rise 07:18 EST Set 18:26 EST
Transit Meridian 12:51 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 06:52 EST Ends 18:52 EST

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Normal Max/Min Temperature for Today: 50 / 27
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Calculations made for central point in Kentucky
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Sunrise/Sunset/Moonrise/Moonset Computation (USN)
What the Moon looks like right now (USN)

On This Day In

Weather History...



-----------------------------------------------------------------------
FEBRUARY 23RD...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS...WITH KENTUCKY HIGHLIGHS...
...1802...
A great snowstorm raged along the New England coast producing 48 inches
of snow north of Boston. Three large ships from Salem were wrecked
along Cape Cod. (David Ludlum)
...1936...
A severe blizzard in the Sierra Nevada Range closed Donner Pass. It
stranded 750 motorists and claimed seven lives. (David Ludlum)
---------- KENTUCKY CLIMATE HIGHLIGHTS ---------
...FEBRUARY 1899...
February.  "The month will go down in Kentucky history as 'the
cold February'.  From the 9th to the 14th was a period of
unprecedented cold; the temperature in many portions of the State
going to 20 to 30 degrees below zero," and to -33 degrees F at
Sandy Hook on 2/11/1899.  In at least one location, "the Kentucky
River, solidly frozen, was possible for team and wagon."
Priddy, UKAWC
...1996...
The mercury climbed to 79 degrees at the Jackson KY NWS Weather Office. This 
reading represents the warmest February temperature ever recorded at the Jackson 
Weather Office since climate records begin in 1981.
(NWS Jackson, KY)
UKAWC Briefing Page

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky