763 
NZUS97 KILN 041837
WRKAFD

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...

This period will feature unsettled weather thanks to disturbances 
containing plentiful moisture on a persistent southwest flow aloft. 

The first mid level short wave due to arrive on Monday will 
interact with a warm front, producing the likelihood for showers and 
thunderstorms, mainly over the southern half of the ILN area. Two 
potent surface lows will bring the categorical threat for showers 
and thunderstorms Tuesday and Wednesday, with stronger winds 
enhancing storm strength and structure, resulting in a chance for 
severe thunderstorms each day. A few additional disturbances will 
provide chances for showers and thunderstorms Thursday through 
Saturday. Heavy rain will be possible through the period as well, 
thanks in part to precipitable water values remaining above an 
inch. 

Temperatures will stay above normal through most of the period, 
before falling below normal next weekend under an decreasing 
geopotential heights and a northwesterly low level flow.
Highs are forecast to range from the upper 60s to mid 70s Monday, 
rising to the low 80s by Wednesday, before falling to the mid 60s to 
low 70s on Friday. All locations may be limited to the 60s on 
Saturday.


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