902 FNUS54 KMAF 030839 FWFMAF Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 339 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024 .DISCUSSION... ERCs 90th percentile or higher west of Pecos River today through end of next week yield critically dry fuels. Extent and amount of rainfall today into Sunday determine eastward extent of fire danger next week. Rangeland Fire Danger Statement has been issued for this afternoon through evening for Sacramento Foothills into Chaves, Eddy and Lea Counties in New Mexico and Guadalupe Mountains into eastern Culberson County in West Texas. Poor overnight recovery and decreasing dew points, and min RH at or below critical 15% much of the area Monday afternoon into Thursday further dries out fuels. Near critical fire weather is expected west of Pecos River over southwesternmost Southeast New Mexico Plains and West Texas today and this weekend, and critical fire weather Monday into Thursday afternoons, before lighter northerly winds and increased RH and dewpoints next Friday behind a cold front decrease fire risk. && For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather Service Office. NMZ116-032115- Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains- 239 AM MDT Fri May 3 2024 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Precip Type None None Tstms Chance Precip (%) 0 0 10 Temp (24h trend) 85 (+3) 50 (-3) 77 RH % (24h trend) 7 (-3) 42 (+3) 15 Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 9 SW 15 NW 7 Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 17 SW 10 E 12 LAL 1 1 1 Haines Index 5 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 20 27 12 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12620 7660 Transport Wnd (kts) SW 24 SE 17 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 302880 130220 Vent Category Excellent Very good RFTI 6 6 0 RFTI Category Critical Critical Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 15 mph. $$ NMZ117-032115- Chaves Plains- 239 AM MDT Fri May 3 2024 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Type None None Tstms Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20 Temp (24h trend) 90 (+4) 52 (-3) 79 RH % (24h trend) 8 (-4) 91 (+11) 30 Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 11 S 16 E 9 Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 15 S 13 NE 11 LAL 1 1 3 Haines Index 4 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 22 28 23 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13510 4990 Transport Wnd (kts) S 22 E 17 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 297220 84830 Vent Category Excellent Good RFTI 4 4 0 RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest winds around 15 mph. $$ NMZ118-032115- Eddy Plains- 239 AM MDT Fri May 3 2024 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Type None None Tstms Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20 Temp (24h trend) 91 (+1) 56 (-1) 84 RH % (24h trend) 8 (-1) 87 (+25) 20 Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 10 S 15 SE 8 Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 15 SE 12 E 10 LAL 1 1 2 Haines Index 6 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 21 25 19 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13420 6790 Transport Wnd (kts) S 20 SE 15 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 268400 101850 Vent Category Excellent Very good RFTI 3 4 0 RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. $$ NMZ119-032115- Lea- 239 AM MDT Fri May 3 2024 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 0 10 40 Temp (24h trend) 89 (+1) 56 (0) 81 RH % (24h trend) 10 (0) 95 (+4) 34 Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 11 S 15 SE 10 Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 13 SE 13 SE 11 LAL 1 2 3 Haines Index 5 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 23 29 21 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12050 5980 Transport Wnd (kts) S 19 SE 19 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 228950 113620 Vent Category Excellent Very good RFTI 2 2 0 RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. $$ TXZ270-271-032115- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet- Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and Pine Springs 339 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024 /239 AM MDT Fri May 3 2024/ Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Precip Type None None Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 0 10 Temp (24h trend) 84 (+5) 55 (-2) 82 RH % (24h trend) 8 (0) 42 (+22) 9 Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 12 W 17 S 7 Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 19 NE 11 SW 13 LAL 1 1 1 Haines Index 5 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 14 19 10 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11980 10740 Transport Wnd (kts) SW 25 S 16 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 299500 171840 Vent Category Excellent Excellent RFTI 7 7 2 RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Elevated Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 15 to 25 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 20 mph. $$ TXZ272-273-275>282-032115- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine, Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin, Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon 339 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20 Temp (24h trend) 93 (+4) 55 (-5) 93 RH % (24h trend) 6 (-1) 87 (+63) 6 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 8 S 13 SE 7 Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 12 E 12 S 10 LAL 1 1 1 Haines Index 6 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 12 15 19 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11950 10810 Transport Wnd (kts) SW 16 S 17 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 191200 183770 Vent Category Excellent Excellent RFTI 2 2 2 RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Elevated Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds around 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-032115- Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving- Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos- Terrell-Reeves County Plains- Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews, Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa, Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake, Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos 339 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 10 20 50 Temp (24h trend) 92 (-1) 61 (0) 87 RH % (24h trend) 18 (+9) 100 (+20) 32 Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 9 SE 15 SE 9 Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 11 SE 14 SE 11 LAL 2 3 3 Haines Index 6 5 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 17 19 24 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8650 5750 Transport Wnd (kts) SE 17 SE 20 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 147050 115000 Vent Category Very good Very good RFTI 0 0 0 RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. $$