Thu May 16 18:02:18 EDT 2024 Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 502 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Limited. AREA...Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...Ongoing Through Mid Evening. DISCUSSION... Shower and thunderstorm chances will continue across eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas through tonight ahead of a low pressure system approaching from the west. Some of the thunderstorms through mid evening, especially across northwest Arkansas, will have a limited potential to become strong to marginally severe. Large hail and strong winds are the main threats with the strongest storms. Severe potentials begin to weaken after sunset and continue to decrease overnight. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. SATURDAY...No Hazards. SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. WEDNESDAY...No Hazards. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Thunderstorm chances will persist Friday and Friday night, with a decreasing trend from west to east as the upper level storm system moves east of the area. The stronger storms Friday afternoon and evening could produce marginally severe hail and wind, especially across southeast Oklahoma into west-central Arkansas. Above normal temperatures return for the weekend. Both Sunday night and Monday night, the southern end of expected thunderstorm complexes to the north of the Kansas and Missouri borders may affect parts of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas as well. A cold front Tuesday should increase the shower and thunderstorm chances areawide. Severe weather is looking more likely with the Tuesday storms, although details are uncertain at this time. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.