Thu May 16 14:05:57 EDT 2024 Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 105 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Limited. AREA...Southeast Oklahoma into Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...This Afternoon. DISCUSSION... Widely scattered thunderstorms across southeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas this afternoon could produce marginally severe hail and wind. The threat should end after sunset this evening. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. SATURDAY...No Hazards. SUNDAY thru WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Thunderstorm chances will persist into Friday and Friday night, with a decreasing trend from west to east as the upper level storm system shifts east of the area. The stronger storms Friday could produce marginally severe hail and wind, especially across southeast Oklahoma into west-central Arkansas. Above normal temperatures and dry weather will persist for the weekend. Both Sunday night and Monday night, the southern end of expected thunderstorm complexes to the north of the Kansas and Missouri borders may affect parts of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas as well. A cold front Tuesday should increase the shower and thunderstorm chances areawide. Severe weather is looking more likely with the Tuesday storms, although details are uncertain at this time. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.