396 FNUS52 KILM 171249 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 849 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024 .DISCUSSION... Rain chances will increase again this weekend as a new storm system advances eastward across the Southeast. As the low exits the Carolina coast Sunday, a cold front will push offshore bringing below normal temperatures Monday and Tuesday. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-180500- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 849 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 40 50 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 2 3 Max/Min Temp 84 66 84 Min/Max RH (%) 54 99 68 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5 Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var SW 7 Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.43 Precip Duration 0 2 2 Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/1000 1900 73/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 3200 Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 14 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44100 44800 ADI Early 30 Fair 16 Gen Poor 36 Fair ADI Late 46 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 46 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 6 7 Max LVORI Late 3 7 3 Min VSBY Early 1 Rain 7 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain Turner Stability A E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-180500- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 849 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 60 60 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 3 3 Max/Min Temp 85 67 83 Min/Max RH (%) 52 100 67 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.15 0.34 Precip Duration 0 3 5 Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/1000 1900 71/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 3200 Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 14 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45000 44800 ADI Early 34 Fair 15 Gen Poor 35 Fair ADI Late 54 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 45 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 6 8 Max LVORI Late 2 8 3 Min VSBY Early 1 Rain 7 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain Turner Stability A E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 52 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-180500- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 849 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 50 60 Precip Type Tstms Showers Tstms LAL 2 2 3 Max/Min Temp 85 68 84 Min/Max RH (%) 52 100 67 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 5 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.31 Precip Duration 0 2 3 Precip Begin 3 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/1000 1800 74/0900 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 3600 Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 SW 15 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39200 54000 ADI Early 31 Fair 15 Gen Poor 41 Gen Good ADI Late 43 Gen Good 7 Poor 55 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 7 7 Max LVORI Late 3 7 3 Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain Turner Stability A E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-180500- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 849 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 60 60 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 Max/Min Temp 84 67 83 Min/Max RH (%) 52 100 66 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 6 Precip Amount 0.01 0.11 0.17 Precip Duration 0 3 5 Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 71/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 3500 Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 W 17 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40000 59500 ADI Early 31 Fair 12 Poor 38 Fair ADI Late 46 Gen Good 7 Poor 69 Good Max LVORI Early 9 7 8 Max LVORI Late 2 8 3 Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 6 Rain 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 53 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$