Sun Jun 16 05:22:59 EDT 2024

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422 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

There are two primary weather concerns, one that is of higher 
confidence than the other. 

Starting with heat concerns:
Confidence is high that today will be rather hot, with afternoon 
and early evening heat index readings topping out between 100 and 
104 degrees in most places, especially in north central Kansas and
in Nebraska counties from around the Tri Cities and farther 
southward and eastward from there. These heat index readings 
currently appear just short of justifying a formal Advisory. 

Turning to thunderstorm potential: 
This is a lower confidence forecast situation. On one hand, it is
possible that the entire area remains storm-free due to warm air 
aloft acting as a cap. However, given plentiful heat and humidity,
it is also possible that a few storms manage to develop late this
afternoon into tonight, particularly in Nebraska counties from 
around the Tri Cities and farther northward and westward from 
there. Should this occur, storms could become severe quickly, 
capable of producing hail to at least golf ball size and wind 
gusts to around 60 MPH. Any possible severe storm risk would be 
most favored between 4 PM and Midnight. 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Focusing first on Monday into Monday night:
First, Monday will be another hot day, with afternoon and early
evening heat index readings topping out in the upper 90s to around
100 degrees in most places. In addition, Monday afternoon into
Monday night will also be unusually windy for this time of year,
with southerly speeds sustained 25 to 35 MPH and gusting up to
around 45 MPH. Finally, while most of the area will likely remain
thunderstorm-free Monday into Monday night, there are small
chances for spotty weak storms during the morning, and then small
chances for storms mainly north of Interstate 80 during the
evening, which could be severe if they manage to form.

Turning to Tuesday through Saturday: 
Although day-to-day details are plenty uncertain, each and every
day and night period currently carries at least small chances for
thunderstorms for at least portions of the area...some of which
could occasionally be severe. The overall-highest chances for the
most widespread storm activity within the area as a whole favors
the Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday night time frame. Heavy
rainfall and localized flooding may occur during this time, as
well.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Should any severe thunderstorms manage to develop late this 
afternoon into this evening, spotters are encouraged to report any
possible hail and/or wind gusts around 55 MPH or higher...along 
with any damage. 

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings