1st Responders/1st Detectors/Storm Spotters Weather Summary for Nelson County, KY

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Nelson County, KY Hazardous Weather Outlook Webcast
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UKAWC 1st Detectors/1st Responders Precision Weather Forecast For NELSON County, Kentucky
(based on the NWS County Digital Forecast)

ISSUED AT 06:00 UTC ON THURSDAY NOV 15 2018
DAY THURSDAY
EDT 3HR 3A 4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10A 11A NOON 1P 2P 3P 4P 5P 6P 7P
MAX/MIN -- -- -- -- -- 29° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 38°
TEMP 32° 34° 34° 34° 34° 34° 36° 36° 38° 38° 38° 38° 38° 38° 36° 36° 34°
SKY COVER 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 99% 99% 98% 98% 97% 97% 97% 97% 97% 97% 98% 98%
Clouds
DEW PT 31° 31° 32° 32° 32° 34° 34° 36° 36° 36° 36° 36° 36° 34° 34° 34° 32°
RH 92% 92% 92% 92% 92% 96% 96% 96% 95% 96% 92% 95% 91% 88% 92% 92% 91%
POP 12HR -- -- -- -- -- 100% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
RAIN/SNOW (liq.equ) -- -- -- -- -- 0.44in -- -- -- -- -- 0.06in -- -- -- -- --
SNOWFALL -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- --
WIND SPEED(MPH) 8 7 7 7 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 7
WIND Gust(MPH) 13 10 10 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 10 10 13 13 13 10
WIND DIR NE E E E E SE SE S SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
DEW -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
HeatIndex 25 27 28 29 29 31 32 32 33 33 34 32 32 31 30 29 28
Snow -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Slight Chance Slight Chance
Snow Showers -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Rain Definite Definite Definite Definite Likely Likely Likely Likely Likely Likely Likely Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance
Rain Showers -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Freezing Rain -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND CHILL 25° 28° 28° 28° 29° 30° 32° 31° 34° 34° 33° 33° 33° 32° 30° 30° 28°
SPRAY COND
DRY COND
LIVESTOCK COLDSTRESS



DAY FRIDAY SATURDAY SUNDAY MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY
EDT 6HR 8P 9P 10P 11P MIDN 1A 2A 3A 4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10A 11A NOON 1P 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
MAX/MIN -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 27° -- -- -- -- -- -- 47° -- -- -- -- 29° -- -- 52° -- -- 34° 49° -- -- 31° 45° -- -- 27° 47° -- -- 31° 50° --
TEMP 34° 32° 32° 32° 31° 31° 31° 31° 31° 29° 29° 27° 27° 29° 31° 34° 38° 41° 45° 47° 40° 34° 31° 29° 31° 38° 49° 50° 43° 36° 36° 49° 43° 40° 31° 45° 38° 29° 29° 47° 41° 34° 34° 49° 43°
SKY COVER 95% 94% 91% 89% 87% 82% 80% 75% 64% 59% 53% 40% 34% 31% 24% 21% 20% 18% 17% 16% 17% 13% 20% 16% 24% 23% 31% 30% 38% 66% 87% 88% 89% 90% 62% 20% 12% 11% 24% 27% 18% 14% 20% 20% 17%
Clouds
DEW PT 32° 31° 31° 31° 31° 29° 29° 29° 29° 29° 27° 27° 27° 29° 29° 31° 31° 34° 34° 36° 36° 32° 31° 29° 29° 36° 40° 41° 38° 36° 36° 41° 40° 38° 31° 31° 29° 25° 25° 31° 31° 29° 29° 36° 36°
RH 96% 96% 96% 92% 95% 92% 92% 96% 92% 95% 95% 99% 100% 100% 96% 88% 78% 72% 67% 65% 82% 92% 100% 99% 95% 88% 73% 71% 85% 96% 96% 73% 85% 96% 99% 57% 69% 85% 84% 55% 67% 81% 84% 60% 75%
POP 12HR 61% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 21% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 1% -- -- -- 2% -- -- -- 2% -- 4% -- 12% -- 53% -- 7% -- 2% -- 4% -- 7% -- 4%
RAIN/SNOW (liq.equ) 0.02in -- -- -- -- -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
SNOWFALL 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND SPEED(MPH) 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 8 9 10 10 10 9 7 5 2 1 2 2 5 5 5 2 2 2 5 2 5 6 6 5 2 2 6 5 5 6 6 5
WIND DIR W W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W SW S SE S SW SW N E NE W N NW N NW NW NE SE SW SW SW SW SW S
HeatIndex 27 25 25 25 24 24 24 23 22 21 20 20 20 20 22 25 30 35 39 47 38 32 31 26 27 35 49 50 41 34 34 49 42 36 26 41 34 26 25 47 39 31 28 49 40
Snow -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Snow Showers Slight Chance Slight Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Rain -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Rain Showers -- Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Chance Chance Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Freezing Rain -- -- -- -- Slight Chance Slight Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND CHILL 28° 26° 25° 25° 24° 25° 25° 25° 24° 21° 21° 20° 20° 21° 23° 26° 31° 35° 40° -- 37° -- -- -- -- 35° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 37° 25° 42° 35° -- -- -- 38° 30° 29° -- 40°
SPRAY COND
DRY COND
LIVESTOCK COLDSTRESS

Click on individual weather variable above in left-hand column (ie., TEMP, RH, QPF 12HR) to view state forecast maps






NWS 48 Hr. Forecast Maps,

Regional Hourly Observations For NELSON County, Kentucky
Issued at 100 AM EST THU NOV 15 2018
NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LOUISVILLE/SDF FRZ RAIN  33  30  88 E8        30.19F WCI  26          
LOUISVILLE/LOU FRZ RAIN  34  28  79 NE9G21    30.19F WCI  27          
FORT KNOX      FRZ RAIN  31  31  97 CALM      30.16F                  


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.


Fire Weather Forecast For NELSON County, KY
Provided by the National Weather Service:

Issued at: Thu Nov 15 01:05:01 EST 2018

334 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu          

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       
PRECIP TYPE           None         Snow/rain    Frz Rain     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          80           
TEMP (24H TREND)      36 (0)       30 (+5)      40           
RH % (24H TREND)      49 (-25)     98 (+13)     87           
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   NE  7                     SE  5        
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   NE  9 G18    NE 10 G21    Lgt/Var      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.46         0.11         
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2164                      1749         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 17                      S 10         
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     33808                     19085        
DISPERSION            Marginal                  Poor         
DSI                   STBL         STBL         STBL         
LAL                   1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          4            3            2            
ADI EARLY             38 FAIR      19 GEN POOR  16 GEN POOR  
ADI LATE              40 FAIR      17 GEN POOR  12 POOR      
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            5            
MAX LVORI LATE        2            5            6            

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.        
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain and light
freezing rain. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Light winds. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s. North winds up to 5 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows in the upper 20s.
Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Southwest winds up to 5 mph. 

SPC's Fire Weather Web Tool (Excellent!), SPC's Fire Weather Outlooks, NWS Fire Weather WEB, Fire Danger Class Map,
Keetch-Byram Drought Index, ROMAN Web, Haines Index ,
WFAS's 10-hr Dead Fuel Moist., WFAS's 100-hr Dead Fuel Moist., Probablity of Ignition, Visual blackness Map, Palmer Drought Index, HPC's Rainfall Forecast Maps


Hazardous Weather Outlook For NELSON County, Kentucky
339 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 /239 AM CST Wed Nov 14 2018/

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM EST /5 AM CST/ THURSDAY  

This hazardous weather outlook is for southern Indiana and much of
central Kentucky.

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight.

Rain is expected to develop across the region this afternoon. This
evening, surface temperatures are expected to dip below freezing
resulting in the rain changing to a wintry mix of freezing rain
across much of central Kentucky. A wintry mix of freezing rain, sleet
and some snow is expected across southern Indiana.

For further detailed information on the wintry weather please see the
Winter Weather Message product.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotters are encouraged to report precipitation type and
accumulations to the National Weather Service in Louisville this
evening and overnight. 

Latest NELSON County, Kentucky Watches, Warnings and Advisories.
Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page, Kentucky Drought Watch


7-Day Forecast For NELSON County, KY


WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY

TONIGHT
Rain and freezing rain in the evening, then rain possibly mixed with freezing rain and sleet after midnight. Little or no sleet accumulation. Ice accumulation of up to one quarter of an inch. Near steady temperature in the lower 30s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.

THURSDAY
Rain likely. Highs around 40. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with chance of light freezing rain and rain showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

FRIDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Southwest winds up to 5 mph.

SATURDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.

SUNDAY
Cloudy. Chance of sprinkles. Highs around 50.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers possibly mixed with freezing rain and snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s.

MONDAY
Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of light freezing rain. Highs in the mid 40s.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s.

TUESDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s.

WEDNESDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky