1st Responders/1st Detectors/Storm Spotters Weather Summary for Nelson County, KY

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Nelson County, KY Hazardous Weather Outlook Webcast
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UKAWC 1st Detectors/1st Responders Precision Weather Forecast For NELSON County, Kentucky
(based on the NWS County Digital Forecast)

ISSUED AT 01:00 UTC ON SUNDAY JAN 20 2019
DAY SATURDAY SUNDAY
EDT 3HR 10P 11P MIDN 1A 2A 3A 4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10A 11A NOON 1P 2P 3P 4P 5P 6P 7P
MAX/MIN -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 16° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 23°
TEMP 38° 34° 31° 29° 27° 25° 22° 22° 20° 18° 20° 16° 16° 14° 16° 18° 20° 22° 23° 22° 22° 20°
SKY COVER 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 91% 86% 69% 52% 36% 30% 24% 17% 22% 27% 32% 39% 46%
Clouds
DEW PT 36° 32° 29° 27° 23° 20° 18° 16° 16° 13° 13° 13° 11° 11° 11°
RH 92% 91% 92% 91% 88% 84% 84% 80% 83% 76% 76% 83% 79% 84% 76% 70% 65% 56% 54% 56% 59% 61%
POP 12HR -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 92% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
RAIN/SNOW (liq.equ) -- -- -- -- 0.33in -- -- -- -- -- 0.10in -- -- -- -- -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- --
SNOWFALL -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 1in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- --
WIND SPEED(MPH) 16 21 22 21 21 18 18 17 15 16 15 15 15 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 10 8
WIND Gust(MPH) 23 32 38 38 38 37 35 32 30 29 23 22 21 18 18 17 17 17 18 17 15 14
WIND DIR N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N
DEW -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
HeatIndex 28 23 19 15 13 11 8 7 5 4 5 2 1 0 1 4 7 10 11 11 10 9
Snow -- -- Definite Definite Definite Likely Likely Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Rain Definite Definite -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Freezing Rain -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Slight Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Ice Pellets -- Slight Chance Slight Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND CHILL 29° 23° 18° 16° 14° 12° 10° 11° 10° 11° 11°
SPRAY COND
DRY COND
LIVESTOCK COLDSTRESS



DAY MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY FRIDAY SATURDAY
EDT 6HR 8P 9P 10P 11P MIDN 1A 2A 3A 4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
MAX/MIN -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 11° -- -- -- 27° -- -- -- -- 20° -- -- 47° -- -- 40° 47° -- -- 27° 34° -- -- 23° 32° -- -- 16° 31° --
TEMP 18° 18° 18° 18° 16° 16° 14° 13° 13° 13° 13° 11° 11° 13° 16° 23° 27° 22° 22° 22° 23° 25° 36° 45° 47° 40° 47° 47° 38° 36° 29° 27° 34° 32° 29° 23° 32° 27° 20° 18° 29° 27°
SKY COVER 53% 62% 58% 55% 52% 49% 46% 40% 34% 28% 32% 37% 41% 41% 38% 44% 49% 44% 21% 38% 16% 32% 30% 53% 86% 90% 98% 98% 97% 94% 83% 74% 48% 54% 64% 58% 55% 60% 60% 61% 68% 74%
Clouds
DEW PT 11° 11° 13° 13° 22° 27° 29° 31° 40° 40° 36° 31° 25° 23° 25° 25° 25° 20° 20° 16° 14° 13° 18° 20°
RH 67% 58% 64% 67% 70% 73% 76% 79% 76% 80% 80% 79% 79% 87% 73% 49% 46% 56% 62% 59% 64% 59% 56% 47% 49% 67% 73% 76% 92% 85% 84% 84% 69% 72% 84% 84% 58% 65% 76% 80% 60% 74%
POP 12HR 1% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 0% -- -- -- -- 1% -- -- -- 2% -- -- -- 8% -- 84% -- 84% -- 42% -- 7% -- 11% -- 10% -- 24% -- 34%
RAIN/SNOW (liq.equ) 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- 0.00in -- -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
SNOWFALL 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND SPEED(MPH) 7 6 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 13 15 15 15 15 14 8 8 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 7 7 8 7 8
WIND DIR N N N N N N N N N N N N N NE NE E E E E SE SE SE S S S S S SW W W NW NW W W W W W W W SW W NW
HeatIndex 8 11 11 11 9 10 9 8 8 7 7 5 5 7 9 16 20 13 13 14 15 16 27 45 47 33 47 47 32 29 23 21 27 26 21 14 25 18 11 6 22 18
Snow -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Chance Slight Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Slight Chance Chance Chance Chance
Rain -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Chance Definite Definite Likely Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Freezing Rain -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Ice Pellets -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND CHILL 10° 11° 11° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 16° 20° 14° 14° 14° 15° 17° 28° 38° -- 32° -- -- 32° 30° 23° 21° 28° 26° 22° 15° 25° 20° 11° 22° 19°
SPRAY COND
DRY COND
LIVESTOCK COLDSTRESS

Click on individual weather variable above in left-hand column (ie., TEMP, RH, QPF 12HR) to view state forecast maps






NWS 48 Hr. Forecast Maps,

Regional Hourly Observations For NELSON County, Kentucky
Issued at 800 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2019
NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LOUISVILLE/SDF FLURRIES  36  32  85 N24G37    29.53R WCI  24          
LOUISVILLE/LOU LGT SNOW  37  32  82 N13G36    29.53R WCI  29          
FORT KNOX      CLOUDY    34  33  96 NW18G25   29.53R WCI  23          


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.


Fire Weather Forecast For NELSON County, KY
Provided by the National Weather Service:

Issued at: Sat Jan 19 20:05:01 EST 2019

427 AM EST Fri Jan 18 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Sat          

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Frz Rain     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          
TEMP (24H TREND)      42 (-2)      35 (+1)      48           
RH % (24H TREND)      72 (-16)     93 (-6)      78           
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   Lgt/Var                   E  7         
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   Lgt/Var      E  5         NE 10 G22    
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.25         0.99         
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2507                      1685         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  2                      N 26         
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     7452                      43227        
DISPERSION            Poor                      Fair         
DSI                   STBL         STBL         STBL         
LAL                   1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2            
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      12 POOR      20 GEN POOR  
ADI LATE              11 POOR      19 GEN POOR  34 FAIR      
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            5            
MAX LVORI LATE        4            4            5            

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.        
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.SUNDAY...Rain showers with possible freezing rain and snow
showers. Lows around 16. Highs in the lower 20s. North winds
around 10 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 10. Highs in the upper 20s.
North winds around 5 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 40s. South
winds 5 to 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Rain showers and snow showers. Colder. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph. 

SPC's Fire Weather Web Tool (Excellent!), SPC's Fire Weather Outlooks, NWS Fire Weather WEB, Fire Danger Class Map,
Keetch-Byram Drought Index, ROMAN Web, Haines Index ,
WFAS's 10-hr Dead Fuel Moist., WFAS's 100-hr Dead Fuel Moist., Probablity of Ignition, Visual blackness Map, Palmer Drought Index, HPC's Rainfall Forecast Maps


Hazardous Weather Outlook For NELSON County, Kentucky
314 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 /214 PM CST Sat Jan 19 2019/

 DAY ONE  Tonight

Cold air will filter into the region with temperatures falling 
into the 20s overnight. A band of snow is expected to move through
the region and will bring significant snowfall to southern 
Indiana and parts of Kentucky. The area at most risk for 
significant snowfall will be in areas west of I-65 and north of 
I-64. Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories have 
been issued for the outlook area. Please see the Winter Weather 
Message product for more details.

Very hazardous driving conditions are expected late this evening
and into the overnight period.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Sunday through Friday

The next weather system to affect the region looks to arrive 
around Wednesday bringing a round of rain and snow to the area.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotters are asked to report precipitation type and snowfall 
amounts tonight and Sunday morning.

Latest NELSON County, Kentucky Watches, Warnings and Advisories.
Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page, Kentucky Drought Watch


7-Day Forecast For NELSON County, KY


WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY

TONIGHT
Breezy, colder. Rain possibly mixed with snow and sleet in the evening, then light snow possibly mixed with freezing rain after midnight. Snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches. Lows around 17. North winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts to around 40 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.

SUNDAY
Colder. Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 20s. North winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. Wind chill readings 2 below to 8 above zero.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows around 12. North winds around 5 mph.

MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 20s. East winds around 5 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY
Not as cool. Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Rain. Lows around 40. Chance of rain 80 percent.

WEDNESDAY
Rain. Highs in the upper 40s. Temperatures falling into the 30s in the afternoon. Chance of rain 80 percent.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of light snow possibly mixed with rain. Lows in the mid 20s.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 30s.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s.

FRIDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 30s.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of light snow. Lows around 17.

SATURDAY
Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of light snow. Highs in the lower 30s.

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky