1st Responders/1st Detectors/Storm Spotters Weather Summary for Estill County, KY

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Estill County, KY Hazardous Weather Outlook Webcast
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UKAWC 1st Detectors/1st Responders Precision Weather Forecast For ESTILL County, Kentucky
(based on the NWS County Digital Forecast)

ISSUED AT 06:00 UTC ON SUNDAY FEB 18 2018
DAY SUNDAY
EDT 3HR 3A 4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10A 11A NOON 1P 2P 3P 4P 5P 6P 7P
MAX/MIN -- -- -- -- -- 34° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 54°
TEMP 38° 38° 36° 34° 34° 34° 34° 38° 40° 43° 45° 49° 52° 54° 54° 54° 50°
SKY COVER 74% 70% 66% 56% 46% 35% 36% 36% 36% 32% 28% 24% 20% 17% 13% 17% 22%
Clouds
DEW PT 36° 34° 34° 32° 32° 31° 31° 31° 32° 34° 34° 34° 34° 34° 34° 34° 34°
RH 92% 89% 92% 92% 95% 92% 88% 78% 75% 70% 63% 55% 50% 46% 45% 47% 52%
POP 12HR -- -- -- -- -- 23% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
RAIN/SNOW (liq.equ) -- -- -- -- -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- --
SNOWFALL -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- --
WIND SPEED(MPH) 5 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 5 5 5 6 6 6 5
WIND Gust(MPH) 6 6 6 6 6 2 2 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
WIND DIR W W W W NW NW N N E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
DEW Mod Dew Patchy Frost Patchy Frost Frost Frost Frost Frost Frost Frost Lgt Dew -- -- -- -- -- -- --
HeatIndex 35 35 33 32 31 34 34 38 37 41 45 49 52 54 54 54 50
Rain Showers -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Thunder Storm -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Fog Patchy Patchy Patchy Patchy Patchy -- Patchy -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND CHILL 35° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 43° -- -- -- -- -- --
SPRAY COND
DRY COND
LIVESTOCK COLDSTRESS



DAY MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY FRIDAY SATURDAY
EDT 6HR 8P 9P 10P 11P MIDN 1A 2A 3A 4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10A 11A NOON 1P 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
MAX/MIN -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 45° -- -- -- -- -- -- 74° -- -- -- -- 61° -- -- 81° -- -- 61° 68° -- -- 47° 56° -- -- 45° 65° -- -- 54° 65° --
TEMP 47° 47° 45° 45° 47° 49° 50° 52° 54° 54° 54° 56° 56° 58° 61° 63° 65° 68° 70° 72° 63° 63° 63° 63° 61° 70° 79° 79° 72° 67° 61° 67° 56° 49° 47° 56° 52° 49° 47° 63° 63° 59° 54° 65° 59°
SKY COVER 26% 33% 39% 46% 61% 76% 91% 90% 88% 87% 89% 92% 94% 92% 89% 87% 88% 89% 89% 80% 70% 55% 74% 71% 83% 56% 50% 47% 57% 69% 81% 91% 93% 99% 96% 94% 85% 73% 83% 86% 79% 77% 87% 86% 90%
Clouds
DEW PT 34° 36° 36° 38° 38° 40° 43° 45° 47° 49° 49° 49° 50° 52° 54° 54° 56° 56° 58° 58° 56° 56° 56° 56° 58° 59° 59° 59° 58° 58° 58° 58° 49° 47° 45° 47° 45° 45° 43° 56° 56° 56° 52° 54° 52°
RH 60% 65% 70% 73% 70% 73% 73% 74% 77% 80% 83% 80% 79% 77% 77% 74% 70% 65% 63% 61% 77% 80% 78% 80% 89% 70% 52% 50% 63% 75% 86% 70% 79% 89% 89% 71% 76% 85% 89% 78% 78% 86% 93% 67% 78%
POP 12HR 1% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 53% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 46% -- -- -- 1% -- -- -- 0% -- 24% -- 86% -- 88% -- 69% -- 11% -- 34% -- 36% -- 57%
RAIN/SNOW (liq.equ) 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- 0.08in -- -- -- -- -- 0.04in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
SNOWFALL 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND SPEED(MPH) 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 9 10 13 13 9 8 8 8 8 8 13 13 10 8 9 8 7 6 5 6 6 6 5 2 6 6 7 9 8 7
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S SW W N N NE NE NE E E S S S SW SW SW
HeatIndex 47 47 45 45 47 49 50 52 54 54 54 56 56 58 61 63 65 68 70 72 63 63 63 63 61 70 79 80 72 67 61 67 56 49 47 56 52 49 47 63 63 59 54 65 59
Rain Showers -- -- -- -- Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Chance Likely Definite Definite Likely Chance -- -- -- Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance --
Thunder Storm -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Slight Chance Chance Slight Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Fog -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND CHILL -- -- 42° 42° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
SPRAY COND
DRY COND
LIVESTOCK COLDSTRESS

Click on individual weather variable above in left-hand column (ie., TEMP, RH, QPF 12HR) to view state forecast maps






NWS 48 Hr. Forecast Maps,

Regional Hourly Observations For ESTILL County, Kentucky
Issued at 100 AM EST SUN FEB 18 2018
NORTHEAST KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LEXINGTON      MOCLDY    38  33  82 W9        30.23R WCI  31          
COVINGTON      CLOUDY    36  34  92 W13       30.20R WCI  27          
FRANKFORT      FAIR      38  32  79 W5        30.21R WCI  34          


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.


Fire Weather Forecast For ESTILL County, KY
Provided by the National Weather Service:

Issued at: Sun Feb 18 01:05:01 EST 2018

Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, 
Annville, Burnside, Somerset, Monticello, Sandy Hook, 
West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, 
Jackson, and Booneville
422 PM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in 
                    the evening. Patchy fog. 
Min Temperature.....Around 33. 
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. 
Max Humidity........99 percent. 
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
ADI.................24. 
LVORI...............6. 
Prob of precip......50 percent. 
QPF (inches)........0.08 inches. 

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max Temperature.....52-57. 
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........39-47 percent. 
   24 hr trend......42 percent drier. 
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph shifting to the 
                    southeast in the afternoon. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the southeast in 
                    the afternoon. 
Dispersion Index....20. 
Vent Rate...........Poor (20000 knot-ft). 
ADI.................26. 
LVORI...............4. 
Prob of precip......0 percent. 
QPF (inches)........None. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. A slight 
                    chance of rain showers in the evening, then a 
                    chance of rain showers. 
Min Temperature.....43-48. 
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........81-91 percent. 
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier. 
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
ADI.................10. 
LVORI...............4. 
Prob of precip......50 percent. 
QPF (inches)........0.06 inches. 

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the 
                    morning. 
Max Temperature.....Around 72. 
   24 hr trend......19 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........54-62 percent. 
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter. 
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....South 10 to 20 mph shifting to the southwest 
                    around 25 mph early in the afternoon. 
Dispersion Index....71. 
Vent Rate...........Good (71100 knot-ft). 
ADI.................23 increasing to 63 in the afternoon. 
LVORI...............4. 
Prob of precip......50 percent. 
QPF (inches)........0.01 - 0.12 inches. 

SPC's Fire Weather Web Tool (Excellent!), SPC's Fire Weather Outlooks, NWS Fire Weather WEB, Fire Danger Class Map,
Keetch-Byram Drought Index, ROMAN Web, Haines Index ,
WFAS's 10-hr Dead Fuel Moist., WFAS's 100-hr Dead Fuel Moist., Probablity of Ignition, Visual blackness Map, Palmer Drought Index, HPC's Rainfall Forecast Maps


Hazardous Weather Outlook For ESTILL County, Kentucky
733 PM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

 DAY ONE  Tonight.

Significant rises along portions of the Kentucky, Red, and 
Cumberland River basins are expected tonight.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Sunday through Friday.

High water is expected along portions of the Kentucky, Red, and 
Cumberland River basins Sunday into Monday. 

Thunderstorms are possible Wednesday into Wednesday evening. 

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

Latest ESTILL County, Kentucky Watches, Warnings and Advisories.
Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page, Kentucky Drought Watch


7-Day Forecast For ESTILL County, KY

TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Patchy drizzle in the evening. Patchy fog through the night. Lows in the mid 30s. West winds around 10 mph in the evening becoming light.

SUNDAY
Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early. Highs in the mid 50s. Light winds.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening, then a slight chance of showers. Cloudy with a chance of showers late. Lows in the mid 40s. Light winds. Chance of rain 50 percent.

WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers in the morning. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds around 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds around 10 mph.

TUESDAY
Hot. Partly sunny. Highs around 80.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s.

WEDNESDAY
Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 90 percent.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 90 percent.

THURSDAY
Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 70 percent.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s.

SATURDAY
Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky