A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1228 PM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1020 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
This morning's showers have moved out of the CWA and satellite
imagery shows cloud cover diminishing as the boundary layer sees
better mixing. Temperatures are lagging behind by 2-3 degrees
from where they were at this time yesterday. There is a large
break in cloud cover that has developed W of I-65 and is expanding
E. This should allow for better heating leading to our highs
today still reaching the low to mid 80s. This evening, cloud cover
will increase once again ahead of a developing front associated
with a surface low over Nebraska. As this front marches E, shower
activity is expected to increase over Middle TN late tonight into
early Wednesday morning.
We have been monitoring the threat for severe weather on
Wednesday, and overall, the threat is looking minimal for Middle
TN at this time. Latest SPS outlook has shifted the slight risk N,
leaving TN with a marginal risk. There are a few issues with the
overall set up. One being the location of the surface low. The low
is currently over Nebraska and is forecasted to track NE into
Iowa and then Michigan. This keeps the best forcing N of TN.
Additionally, the front itself looks to bring very little moisture
into TN with some of the latest CAMs showing no precipitation at
all moving through. Taking a look at the 500mb level, there is
some diffluent flow Wednesday morning, but quickly becomes mostly
zonal by Wednesday afternoon/evening limiting upward motion. Some
pros, Wednesday afternoon, CAMs forecast sufficient CAPE values
around 1500-2000 J/kg, good mid-level lapse rates from 7-9 C/km,
and sufficient deep layer shear along with storm helicity values
between 150-290. That said, these things don't matter if storms
don't develop. This will ultimately be the question and something
that will have to be monitored through the day Wednesday. If
storms do develop, some could become severe with he greatest
threat being wind and hail at this time.
 National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map,
[2nd Source TWC]
Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For UNION County
Current Temperatures,
Dewpoint,
RH,
Wind,
Regional Obs,
Surface 4-Panel
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Tennessee
Based on observations at 200pm CDT, Tuesday April 16, 2024
Across Tennessee...temperatures are near 79 degrees west and near 85 degrees central. Current sky conditions are partly sunny west and partly sunny central. In the west, relative humidity is near 57%, and the dew point is near 63 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 28%, and the dew point is near 49 degrees. Winds are from the south at 21 mph with gusts at 31 mph west, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are from the south at 15 mph with gusts at 29 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are unavailable east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 85 degrees at Nashville. The lowest temperature is 77 degrees at Selmer and Savannah.
Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.
US Radar,
All NWS Radars (In near-real time),
Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI),
Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For UNION County,TN
341 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024 /241 PM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024/
DAY ONE This Afternoon and Tonight
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN Wednesday through Monday
A few strong thunderstorms possible Wednesday. Strong winds and
possible severe hail may occur.
Southwesterly winds will be gusty Wednesday with gusts up to 30 mph
possible in most locations and slightly higher in the mountains.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not needed at this time.
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook
7-Day Forecast For UNION County, TN
259 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024
TONIGHT
Mostly sunny this afternoon, then becoming mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 10 mph or less.
WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning
and early afternoon, then a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms late. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers
until early morning. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
THURSDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.
THURSDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the evening, then mostly cloudy with showers
likely with a chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds 10 mph or less. Chance of rain 70 percent.
FRIDAY
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Chance of rain 90 percent.
FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
SATURDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs around 70.
SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
SUNDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 60s.
SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers in
the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows in the lower
40s. Chance of rain 20 percent.
MONDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s.
TUESDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps,
TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast,
Fire Danger,
Day 1 Precip,
Day 2 Precip,
Days 1-5 Precip,
Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1,
Day 2
Medium & Long Range Outlook For Tennessee
TENNESSEE
---------------------------------------------
6 TO 10 DAY 8 TO 14 DAY 30 DAY 90 DAY
APR 21-25 APR 23-29 JUN JUN-AUG
----------- ----------- -------- ---------
Temperature: Below Above Normal Above
Precipitation: Normal Above Above Above
.... Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast,
6 to 10 Day ,
8 to 14 Day ,
Text,
30-Day Outook,
90-Day Outook,
120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information
Tuesday April 16, 2024 the 107th Day of Year
---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 10.660000
Distance 0.999719 AU
Rise 07:11 EDT Set 20:22 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:46 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:45 EDT Ends 20:48 EDT
Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy
Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
APRIL 16TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1851...
The famous "Lighthouse Storm" raged near Boston Harbor. Whole gales and
gigantic waves destroyed Minot Light with its two keepers still inside. The
storm resulted in great shipping losses and coastal erosion. (David Ludlum)
...1880...
A tornado near Marshall MO carried the heavy timbers of an entire home a
distance of twelve miles. (The Weather Channel)
...1933...
Franklin Lake NH was buried under 35 inches of snow. (Sandra and TI Richard
Sanders - 1987)
...1960...
A wind gust of 70 mph was measured at the Stapleton International Airport
in Denver CO, their highest wind gust of record. (The Weather Channel)
Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky
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