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Shelby County, TN Weather And Climate Synopsis

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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

National Weather Service Nashville TN
527 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 205 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024

Surface high in place across the deep south this morning. Ridging 
extends ne across eastern TN. Skies are clear with light winds. 
Temperatures have dropped and range from the upper 30s south to 
lower 40s north. Spreads are rather low so we could pick up on 
some patchy frost especially across our south come sunrise. Will 
need to add some patchy frost across our south with the upcoming 
grids/zones issuance. 

Today, look for that surface high to move eastward with the upper 
level trough pulling eastward as well. This will equate to a 
substantial warmup and those winds will swing around to the ssw.

The upper pattern will quickly morph toward a zonal regime with a 
west to east frontal boundary camping out a good distance to our 
north. A strong upper system will begin to dig across the western 
U.S. by Sunday. This will prompt some upper ridging across our area 
with temps getting warmer. At any rate that boundary should remain 
locked up to our north. 

For the near term temps, a definitive warming trend is upcoming. 
We'll get into the 70s the next 2 days. Then, we could see close to 
80 degrees for Sunday. By that time, low temps will climb back into 
the 50s. 

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Regional Hourly Observations For SHELBY County
Issued at 500 AM CDT FRI MAR 29 2024

WEST TENNESSEE
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
MEMPHIS INTL   CLEAR     49  34  56 S7        30.15S                  
NWS MEMPHIS      N/A     43 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
JACKSON        CLEAR     36  33  89 CALM      30.16S                  
DYERSBURG      CLEAR     44  36  73 CALM      30.16R                  
SOMERVILLE     PTCLDY    45  34  65 S5        30.16R                  
COVINGTON      CLEAR     41  41 100 SE5       30.16R                  
UNION CITY     CLEAR     43  37  81 S6        30.13S                  
BOLIVAR        CLOUDY    36  34  93 CALM      30.16R                  
PARIS          CLOUDY    41  32  70 CALM      30.14R                  
HUNTINGDON     PTCLDY    39  37  93 CALM      30.14R                  
LEXINGTON      CLEAR     36  34  93 CALM      30.17R                  
SELMER         PTCLDY    41  30  65 CALM      30.16S                  
SAVANNAH       CLEAR     37  37 100 CALM      30.16R                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Tennessee
Based on observations at 500am CDT, Friday March 29, 2024

Across Tennessee...temperatures are near 49 degrees west and near 42 degrees central. Current sky conditions are clear west and clear central. In the west, relative humidity is near 56%, and the dew point is near 34 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 67%, and the dew point is near 32 degrees. Winds are from the south at 7 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are unavailable east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 49 degrees at Memphis International Airport. The lowest temperature is 36 degrees at Lexington, Jackson, and Bolivar.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For SHELBY County
Hazardous report currently not available
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For SHELBY County, TN
348 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024

TODAY
Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy in the evening, then clearing. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

SATURDAY
Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds around 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.

SUNDAY
Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.

MONDAY
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Breezy with highs in the upper 70s. Chance of rain 20 percent.

MONDAY NIGHT
Showers likely. A slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Breezy with lows in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent.

TUESDAY
Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Temperature falling into the lower 60s in the afternoon. Chance of rain 50 percent.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Much cooler with lows in the mid 40s. Chance of rain 20 percent.

WEDNESDAY
Sunny, cooler with highs around 60.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.

THURSDAY
Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Tennessee
                            TENNESSEE                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                 APR 3-APR 7 APR 5-APR 11    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Above     Normal      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Below        Above      Above      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

Almanac Information

Friday March 29, 2024 the 89th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 3.970000
Distance 0.999720 AU
Rise 06:36 EDT Set 19:07 EDT
Transit Meridian 12:51 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:11 EDT Ends 19:32 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

MARCH 29TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1886...
Atlanta GA was drenched with a record 7.36 inches of rain in 24 hours. (The
Weather Channel)
...1920...
Clear Spring MD received 31 inches of snow in 24 hours to establish a state
record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)
...1921...
The temperature in Washington D.C. dropped from 82 degrees to 26 degres
thus ending an early spring. (David Ludlum)
...1935...
A severe duststorm blanketed Amarillo TX for 84 hours. During one six hour
period the visibility was near zero. (28th-31st) (The Weather Channel)
...1945...
Providence RI hit 90 degrees to establish a March record for the New
England area. (The Weather Channel)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky