A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
National Weather Service Nashville TN
138 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 101 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Water vapor imagery this morning shows a strong upper-level low over
eastern CO. As this system tracks northeast into the Great Plains
today, cloud cover will increase over our area. Despite this,
temperatures should still warm nicely with highs forecast to reach
into the mid-80's once again. At this time, there are some light
showers over west TN approaching, but this light rain should quickly
clear out by mid-morning, leaving us dry for most of the day.
However, by late this evening, a line of showers and thunderstorms
will be approaching from the west. Latest model guidance holds off
on bringing this into western Middle TN until around midnight. As
these storms cross the Tennessee River, they should rapidly
weaken with little to no CAPE across Middle TN. Thus, the threat
for strong to severe storms tonight is very low.
On Wednesday, the aforementioned low passes well to our north with
its center tracking northeast over Iowa and Minnesota. With this
track so far north, so is the better forcing for severe weather.
However, there is a conditional threat for severe weather across
Middle TN Wednesday afternoon. As Tuesday night's showers clear
the area by mid-Wednesday morning, instability should rebound
with MLCAPE values ranging from 1500-2000 J/kg. Forecast soundings
also show steep mid-level lapse rates ranging from 7-9 C/km.
But these forecast soundings also show a large capping inversion
that looks to be slow to erode. If the cap can break and storms
are able to develop, then they will do so in an environment that
should be supportive of large hail and damaging winds. But most
model guidance actually keeps Middle TN clear Wednesday
afternoon. So it's also possible we get nothing on Wednesday. Any
severe weather risk looks to diminish after sunset.
 National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map,
[2nd Source TWC]
Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For PICKETT County
Issued at 100 AM CDT TUE APR 16 2024
...NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
CLARKSVILLE CLOUDY 69 60 73 SE3 29.99S
CROSSVILLE MOCLDY 66 57 72 VRB5 30.08S
DICKSON CLEAR 68 57 68 S8 30.00S
GALLATIN CLOUDY 66 63 88 CALM 30.04S
LEBANON N/A 68 59 73 S5 30.00R
LIVINGSTON CLEAR 68 57 68 SW6 30.04R
NASHVILLE MOCLDY 70 57 63 CALM 30.02R
PORTLAND MOCLDY 68 61 77 S7 30.00S
ROCKWOOD CLEAR 64 57 77 SW5 30.06F
SMYRNA MOCLDY 67 60 78 SE3 30.03S
SPARTA PTCLDY 57 57 100 CALM 30.04S
SPRINGFIELD PTCLDY 68 61 77 S3 29.99S
WEST NASHVILLE MOCLDY 70 59 68 CALM 29.99S
Current Temperatures,
Dewpoint,
RH,
Wind,
Regional Obs,
Surface 4-Panel
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Tennessee
Based on observations at 100am CDT, Tuesday April 16, 2024
Across Tennessee...temperatures are near 70 degrees west and near 70 degrees central. Current sky conditions are cloudy west and mostly cloudy central. In the west, relative humidity is near 70%, and the dew point is near 60 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 63%, and the dew point is near 57 degrees. Winds are from the south at 3 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are unavailable east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 70 degrees at Selmer, Nashville, and Memphis International Airport. The lowest temperature is 64 degrees at Paris, Lexington, and Bolivar.
Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.
US Radar,
All NWS Radars (In near-real time),
Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI),
Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For PICKETT County
Hazardous report currently not available
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook
7-Day Forecast For PICKETT County, TN
138 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
TODAY
Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers this
morning, then mostly sunny this afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers after midnight.
Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
25 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. A slight
chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest
winds around 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of rain
50 percent.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight.
Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up
to 25 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
THURSDAY
Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a chance of showers with a
slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then mostly cloudy
with showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms after
midnight. Lows in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent.
FRIDAY
Becoming partly sunny in the afternoon. A chance of
thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning. Highs in
the lower 70s. Chance of rain 70 percent.
FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Chance of
rain 50 percent.
SATURDAY
Partly sunny with a chance of showers with a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s. Chance of rain
30 percent.
SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of
thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a
chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the upper 40s. Chance
of rain 30 percent.
SUNDAY
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers, mainly in the
morning. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
SUNDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
MONDAY
Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps,
TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast,
Fire Danger,
Day 1 Precip,
Day 2 Precip,
Days 1-5 Precip,
Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1,
Day 2
Medium & Long Range Outlook For Tennessee
TENNESSEE
---------------------------------------------
6 TO 10 DAY 8 TO 14 DAY 30 DAY 90 DAY
APR 21-25 APR 23-29 JUN JUN-AUG
----------- ----------- -------- ---------
Temperature: Below Above Normal Above
Precipitation: Normal Above Above Above
.... Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast,
6 to 10 Day ,
8 to 14 Day ,
Text,
30-Day Outook,
90-Day Outook,
120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information
Tuesday April 16, 2024 the 107th Day of Year
---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 10.660000
Distance 0.999719 AU
Rise 07:11 EDT Set 20:22 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:46 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:45 EDT Ends 20:48 EDT
Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy
Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
APRIL 16TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1851...
The famous "Lighthouse Storm" raged near Boston Harbor. Whole gales and
gigantic waves destroyed Minot Light with its two keepers still inside. The
storm resulted in great shipping losses and coastal erosion. (David Ludlum)
...1880...
A tornado near Marshall MO carried the heavy timbers of an entire home a
distance of twelve miles. (The Weather Channel)
...1933...
Franklin Lake NH was buried under 35 inches of snow. (Sandra and TI Richard
Sanders - 1987)
...1960...
A wind gust of 70 mph was measured at the Stapleton International Airport
in Denver CO, their highest wind gust of record. (The Weather Channel)
Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky
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