A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
611 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
...New AVIATION...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 401 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Today and tonight...
Early morning global guidance shows a 988mb closed low centered just
north of the Four Corners region that will continue to track east
across the Great Plains later this morning then shifting northeast
towards the Great Lakes region later this afternoon. As the
aforementioned sfc low makes its way across the Plains today, the
tail end of this sfc low will attempt to push a cold front into NW
MS this evening, however surface ridging across our area will hang
tough. A breezy southeast to south winds will develop across our CWA
today. This will allow for an increase of sufficient moisture which
will be enough to support the development of a few isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms across our northwest zones this
afternoon. Went ahead and trimmed the gradient wind graphic slightly
to keep some areas northwest of the Natchez Trace included. Expect
afternoon highs to peak in the low to mid 80s. Heading into tonight,
the cold front will push into northern Mississippi as the ridge axis
exits our forecast area and slowly starts to track east towards
Alabama. This will help increase rain chances for areas north of I-
20. Expect overnight lows to be seasonably warm, some 5-10 deg. F
above normal, in the mid- upper 60s east of I-55 to low 70s to
the northwest. /CR/
Midweek through early next week (Wednesday-next Monday)...
Midweek (Wednesday-Thursday):
Synoptic & sfc pattern will consist of eastward building mean ridge
at the sfc & aloft, while low-level return flow will continue across
the area Wednesday. Vertically stacked cold core low aloft/sfc low
will be moving into the Great Lakes by midweek on Wednesday. Upper
low will weaken, leading to sfc low losing some punch in the Great
Lakes. Weak frontal zone is expected to swing southeast, bringing
some light rain & storm chances areas northwest of the Natchez Trace
to Hwy 82 corridor early morning before moving out through Wednesday
aftn. There will be some gradient wind around but not as much as
today. An additional shortwave trough/frontal ascent will occur
around Thursday, where some steeper lapse rates/vertical totals in
mid-upper 20s & 25-30kt flow in the 0-3km & 0-6km layers,
respectively, may support some organized stronger convection. Can't
rule out some isolated severe potential with hail being the main
concern during this time, but confidence is too low to introduce in
HWO graphics at this time. Seasonably warm conditions are expected
in the midweek timeframe, with highs some +5 deg. F above normal in
the low-mid 80s & lows some 10-15 deg. F above normal in the mid 60s
east of I-55 to mid-upper 60s to the northwest.
Late week-early next weekend (Friday-Sunday): The region will remain
on the northern fringe of the upper ridge over the Bay of Campeche
region while deep longwave trough/cold core spins over south-central
Canada. Westerly zonal flow will be persistent, with stationary
frontal boundary slowly sagging to the south late week into the
weekend. There could be multi-rounds of rain & storms into late week
& weekend, combined with bulk shear & lapse rates, support some
continued rain & storm potential. Isolated severe storms also can't
be ruled out during this time. Fcst elements consist of increased
rain & storm chances across the the northern half of the area Friday
before scattered rain & storm chances move in during the weekend.
Seasonably warm conditions are expected Friday with highs in the mid-
upper 80s, before cooling down into late weekend to seasonably cool
in the mid 60s northwest of the Natchez Trace to upper 60s to near
70 degrees F to the southeast by Sunday. Lows will be seasonably
warm both Friday & Saturday mornings in the low-mid 60s before front
moves in through the weekend & more seasonable in the mid to upper
50s by Sunday morning. As the front moves through & high
pressure/dry air settles in, expect some moderation of highs Monday
but seasonably cool, some 5-10 deg. F below normal, by Monday
morning. /DC/
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map,
[2nd Source TWC]
Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For TUNICA County
800 AM CDT TUE APR 16 2024
GREENVILLE MOSUNNY 71 65 81 S9 29.98R
OLIVE BRANCH MOSUNNY 68 64 88 S9G17 29.98R
OXFORD PTSUNNY 64 63 94 VRB5G14 30.02R
TUNICA PTSUNNY 68 67 95 S9 29.98R
WINONA PTSUNNY 66 64 90 SW3 30.02R
Current Temperatures,
Dewpoint,
RH,
Wind,
Regional Obs,
Surface 4-Panel
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Mississippi
Based on observations at 800am CDT, Tuesday April 16, 2024
Across Mississippi...temperatures are near 67 degrees north, near 69 degrees central, and near 72 degrees south. Current sky conditions are partly sunny north, cloudy central, and cloudy south. In the north, relative humidity is near 84%, and the dew point is near 62 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 86%, and the dew point is near 65 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 88%, and the dew point is near 68 degrees. Winds are from the south at 7 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 7 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 12 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 73 degrees at Gulfport. The lowest temperature is 67 degrees at Tupelo and Jackson Hawkins Field.
Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.
US Radar,
All NWS Radars (In near-real time),
Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI),
Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For TUNICA County
Hazardous report currently not available
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook
7-Day Forecast For TUNICA County, MS
316 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
TODAY
Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms this afternoon. Breezy with highs in the lower 80s.
South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of rain
20 percent.
TONIGHT
Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms. Breezy
with lows in the upper 60s. South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts
up to 30 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.
WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY
Mostly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. Temperature falling to
around 80 in the afternoon. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts
up to 25 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Showers likely, mainly in the evening. Lows in the mid 60s.
Chance of rain 70 percent.
FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms. A
slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers
in the afternoon. Cooler with highs in the lower 70s. Chance of
rain 30 percent.
FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Chance of
rain 40 percent.
SATURDAY
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. A slight
chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s. Chance of
rain 50 percent.
SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Chance of rain 50 percent.
SUNDAY
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with a slight
chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then partly sunny in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
SUNDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening, then clearing. Lows
in the mid 40s.
MONDAY
Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps,
TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast,
Fire Danger,
Day 1 Precip,
Day 2 Precip,
Days 1-5 Precip,
Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1,
Day 2
Medium & Long Range Outlook For Mississippi
MISSISSIPPI
---------------------------------------------
6 TO 10 DAY 8 TO 14 DAY 30 DAY 90 DAY
APR 21-25 APR 23-29 JUN JUN-AUG
----------- ----------- -------- ---------
Temperature: Below Above Below Above
Precipitation: Above Above Above Above
.... Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast,
6 to 10 Day ,
8 to 14 Day ,
Text,
30-Day Outook,
90-Day Outook,
120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information
Tuesday April 16, 2024 the 107th Day of Year
---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 10.670000
Distance 0.999719 AU
Rise 07:29 EDT Set 20:32 EDT
Transit Meridian 14:00 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:05 EDT Ends 20:56 EDT
Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy
Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
APRIL 16TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1851...
The famous "Lighthouse Storm" raged near Boston Harbor. Whole gales and
gigantic waves destroyed Minot Light with its two keepers still inside. The
storm resulted in great shipping losses and coastal erosion. (David Ludlum)
...1880...
A tornado near Marshall MO carried the heavy timbers of an entire home a
distance of twelve miles. (The Weather Channel)
...1933...
Franklin Lake NH was buried under 35 inches of snow. (Sandra and TI Richard
Sanders - 1987)
...1960...
A wind gust of 70 mph was measured at the Stapleton International Airport
in Denver CO, their highest wind gust of record. (The Weather Channel)
Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky
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