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Pontotoc County, MS Weather and Climate Synopsis

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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

729 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 259 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Tonight through early next week (Monday)...

Tonight-late week (Friday): A quiet night is expected across the 
region. Broad upper low centered across the Great Lakes to north 
near the Hudson Bay region is progged to sink southeast into the 
Mid Atlantic region by midweek. Some uptick in low-level moisture,
with still efficient radiational cooling overnight, will lead to
some river valley fog & psbl areas to dense fog. Added some river
valley fog potential but confidence in addition to HWO graphics is
too low to add at this time. This pattern will keep northwesterly
flow situated around the area, but as low-level/sfc high pressure
ridge build east, some uptick in moist ascent will occur. PWs 
will climb to near climatological norms, with a weak frontal zone 
diving down into Wednesday, bringing a few showers or isolated 
storm psbl. Confidence in storm coverage isn't that high. Expect
warm advection & moisture advection to pick up through the end of
the workweek, with best ascent from shortwave expected around
Thursday, where more scattered showers & some storms are psbl.
Expect moderation of temperatures, with highs near seasonable in
the upper 70s north of I-20 to low 80s to the south to seasonably
warm in the low-mid 80s by late week. Lows will be seasonably cool
tonight southeast of the Natchez Trace corridor in the low-mid 50s
while seasonable to the northwest in the upper 50s. As warm
advection picks up, highs will seasonable in the upper 50s east of
I-55 to low-mid 60s to west, especially by late week. With a
developing low pressure system in the Plains by late week,
gradient winds will be on the uptick.

This weekend-early next week (Saturday-next Monday): As H5 ridge
builds to nearly 590DM over the Gulf of Mexico, this will help
amplify the longwave pattern, with deep mean troughing for areas 
west of the MS River Valley. A strong cold core low/jet energy is
expected to eject late week into early weekend out of the High 
Plains into the Great Lakes & another strong spoke of energy/cold
core trough axis digging across the southwestern CONUS. Each are
expected to help strong lee side sfc low/deepening cyclogenesis 
to occur across the Plains, with strong tight gradient across the
Gulf Coast states. The most likely time of breakdown of the
ridging & skirting of these frontal disturbances look to be late
weekend into early next week, when the best rain & storm chances 
pick up across the area. There could be enough juxtaposition of
right entrance region/jet dynamics, mean bulk shear around
25-30kts & steep mid-level lapse rates around 7-7.5 deg C/km &
vertical totals near 27-29 deg C could support some severe 
weather potential. Can't rule out something trying to sink into 
the area late Sunday night but highest probs of some severe 
potential, per CSU machine learning probs, look to be early next
week. Right now confidence is too low to put anything in the
HWO graphics. Expect seasonably warm conditions, some +5 deg F 
above normal, in the mid 80s, while cooler by early next week, 
with lows well above climatology, some +10-15 deg F above normal, 
in the low 60s east of I-55 to mid-upper 60s along & west of the 
I-55 corridor. /DC/

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For PONTOTOC County
800 PM CDT TUE APR 23 2024
GOLDN TRIANGLE CLEAR     63  47  55 S6        30.05S                  
IUKA             N/A     65  42  42 CALM      30.04R                  
LOUISVILLE     CLEAR     66  45  45 CALM      30.08R                  
STARKVILLE     CLEAR     64  46  52 CALM      30.03R                  
TUPELO         CLEAR     69  42  37 SW3       30.04R                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Mississippi
Based on observations at 800pm CDT, Tuesday April 23, 2024

Across Mississippi...temperatures are near 69 degrees north, near 67 degrees central, and near 70 degrees south. Current sky conditions are clear north, partly cloudy central, and clear south. In the north, relative humidity is near 37%, and the dew point is near 42 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 48%, and the dew point is near 47 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 57%, and the dew point is near 54 degrees. Winds are from the southwest at 3 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 6 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 8 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 70 degrees at Biloxi. The lowest temperature is 60 degrees at Pascagoula.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For PONTOTOC County
Hazardous report currently not available
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For PONTOTOC County, MS
324 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

TONIGHT
Mostly clear this evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY
Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

THURSDAY
Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY
Partly sunny and breezy. Highs in the lower 80s.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy and breezy. Lows in the mid 60s.

SATURDAY
Mostly sunny and breezy. Highs in the lower 80s.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy and breezy. Lows in the mid 60s.

SUNDAY
Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Breezy with highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 20 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Breezy with lows in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent.

MONDAY
Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of rain 60 percent.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent.

TUESDAY
Mostly sunny with a chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Chance of rain 30 percent.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Mississippi
                          MISSISSIPPI                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                APR 29-MAY 3  MAY 1-MAY 7    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above                                            
 Precipitation:      Above       Normal                                            

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Tuesday April 23, 2024 the 114th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 13.040000
Distance 0.999718 AU
Rise 07:21 EDT Set 20:37 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:58 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:57 EDT Ends 21:01 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

APRIL 23RD
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1885...
The city of Denver CO was in the midst of a storm which produced 23 inches
of snow in 24 hours, and at Idaho Springs CO produced 32 inches of snow.
(David Ludlum)
...1910...
The temperature at the Civic Center in Los Angeles CA hit 100 degrees to
establish an April record for the city. (The Weather Channel)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky