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Lincoln Parish, LA Weather and Climate Synopsis

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National Weather Service Shreveport LA
632 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday Night)
Issued at 202 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

A very diffuse frontal boundary continues to make very slow
progress across our southern zones attm with some very light rain
and/or drizzle continuing near the I-20 Corridor across N LA.
There will continue to be the possibility of an isolated
thunderstorm or two across our southern zones due to the
proximity of the boundary and diurnal heating but anything that 
forms should dissipate with the loss of daytime heating this 
evening. Then all eyes turn out west as an upper level disturbance
moves out of the Four Corners Region and into the Texas Hill 
Country during the day Saturday. Isentropic forcing in advance of 
the upper forcing in association with the upper trough itself will
result in increasing convective coverage near and north of the 
I-20 Corridor after midnight tonight. 

Likewise, ascent from the upper trough will only increase during
the day Saturday and especially Saturday Night with arrival of the
upper trough with widespread accumulating rainfall totals near 1-3
inches with isolated higher amounts. These kind of rainfall
amounts will likely be much more impactful to our area lakes,
rivers and bayous given how swollen they have been from previous
rainfall. Hourly Flash Flood Guidance Values across our region are
near 3 inches per hour and we should be nowhere near these kind of
rainfall rates for this event. Therefore, will not go out with a
Flood Watch with this package. Instead, we will issue a 
Hydrologic Outlook which highlights the likelihood of excessive 
heavy rainfall and its impacts on our waterways. Stayed close to
NBM MOS guidance temps throughout the short term portion of the
forecast. 

13

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Regional Hourly Observations For LINCOLN County

SWR not available
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Surface 4-Panel
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Louisiana
Based on observations at 600pm CDT, Friday April 19, 2024

Across Louisiana...temperatures are near 68 degrees north, near 84 degrees central, and near 80 degrees south. Current sky conditions are cloudy north, partly sunny central, and partly sunny south. In the north, relative humidity is near 83%, and the dew point is near 63 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 61%, and the dew point is near 70 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 74%, and the dew point is near 71 degrees. Winds are coming from the north at 9 mph in the north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are coming from the southeast at 7 mph in the central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are coming from the south at 12 mph in the south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 88 degrees at Baton Rouge. The lowest temperature is 66 degrees at DTN Shreveport.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this Parish will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For LINCOLN County, LA

630 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

 DAY ONE  Today and tonight.

A cold front will continue to shift across the region today, but any
thunderstorm activity should be isolated. The chance of thunderstorms 
will increase later tonight as an upper-level disturbance approaches
the region from the west, mainly after midnight through the predawn 
hours on Saturday. However, no hazardous weather is expected at this
time.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Saturday through Thursday.

An upper-level disturbance will continue to produce scattered storms
and more widespread showers with periods of heavy rainfall through 
Saturday night before the storm system moves east of our region on 
Sunday. Look for widespread rainfall amounts of one to three inches
with isolated higher amounts possible. This may result in additional
rises on area waterways through early next week. Low-lying and poor 
drainage areas will also be susceptible to localized flash flooding.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For LINCOLN Parish, LA
217 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms this evening, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Much cooler with lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

SATURDAY
A chance of thunderstorms. Showers. Much cooler with highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.

SUNDAY
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY
Sunny. Highs around 70.

MONDAY NIGHT
Clear. Lows in the mid 40s.

TUESDAY
Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Not as cool with lows in the mid 50s.

WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 80. Chance of rain 20 percent.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 20 percent.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


LINCOLN County, Louisiana Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory

Current Weather Advisory is NOT available

Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps:Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Louisiana

                            LOUISIANA                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   APR 25-29 APR 27-MAY 3    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:                                                                    
 Precipitation:                                                                    

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Friday April 19, 2024 the 110th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 11.710000
Distance 0.999719 AU
Rise 07:34 EDT Set 20:41 EDT
Transit Meridian 14:06 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:09 EDT Ends 21:05 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

APRIL 19TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1775...
The first engagement of the Revolutionary War took place under clear crisp
weather at Lexington-Concord. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)
...1941...
The temperature at Sodus NY soared to 95 degrees. The next day Albany NY
reported a record for April of 93 degrees. (The Weather Channel)
...1973...
Glenrock WY received 41 inches of snow in just 24 hours, and a storm total
of 58 inches, to establish two state records. (18th-20th) (David Ludlum)
(The Weather Channel)
...1976...
The northeastern U.S. was in the midst of an early season heat wave, and
the Boston Marathon took place in 90 degree heat. At Providence RI the
mercury hit 98 degrees. (David Ludlum)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky