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Caddo Parish, LA Weather and Climate Synopsis

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National Weather Service Shreveport LA
659 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday through Thursday)
Issued at 256 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Warm start for us ranging in the 60s under a blanket of stratocu 
over much of our Four-State area at 5-7kft. This is the wild card 
as it has wheels with scattering back edge crossing I-30 now. This
will likely affect our usual morning low cloud routine. There is 
a little scattering in the wake of the upper deck over NE TX and 
SE OK in the 2-3kft range. More of this lower deck may bloom 
around daybreak through mid morning or we may just see some light
fog develop with widely varied spreads of just a few degrees in 
some locales, but many with 5-10 degrees spreads out there too, 
where the low clouds are more likely than any light fog. 

Surface winds are light SW with our KSHV VAD indicating S/SW at 
25-30KT for the first couple of thousand feet. This will mix down 
quicker minus the clouds and temps could easily bust our high 
temp forecast, but as it stands we are going warmer than any 
guidance just based on yesterday's numbers. This upper deck of  
low clouds first emerged from late day TX dry line based 
convection with some subsident air in the wake of over N TX seen 
on water vapor fairly well. So how does all this work out if the 
HRRR is right with popping some showers right in the heart of the
ArkLaTex in the next few hours. Good question.
 
Afternoon heating will likely have at it too with a weak frontal 
boundary over E OK and W AR where 50 degree dew points are sinking
our way. The WPC even has QPF down over our Parishes later today 
and early this evening with this first push. So we are pretty much
lower 80s today and cooler low to mid 60s tomorrow morning as 
skies may end up fairer by this evening. The bigger bust comes if
they all go fast with SW winds and perhaps even a touch of 
compressional heating, mid 80s may arise starting this warm.
 
However, we should see some light E/NE dropping over AR into N LA
and with that we have capped highs in the upper 70s there. The 
models are running much drier tomorrow as this push today will 
wash away in the prevailing southerly winds. At some point our
surface winds are going to back to S/SE and become more gusty 
ahead of the next gradient push for the early long term. So 
suffice it to say, challenging day ahead from right now. In the 
absence of rain clouds tomorrow will warm in the low to mid 80s as
planned. The SPC has a General Risk for us today and the day 2 
persist the same, but edges a Marginal Risk in late from the west
associated with the second Friday push. /24/

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Hourly Observations For CADDO Parish
800 AM CDT WED APR 24 2024

NORTHWEST LOUISIANA
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
SHREVEPORT     CLOUDY    70  63  78 CALM      30.11R                  
BARKSDALE AFB  CLOUDY    67  63  87 SE5       30.10R                  
DTN SHREVEPORT CLOUDY    69  62  78 S5        30.11R                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Surface 4-Panel


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Louisiana
Based on observations at 800am CDT, Wednesday April 24, 2024

Across Louisiana...temperatures are near 68 degrees south. Current sky condition is mostly sunny south. In the south, relative humidity is near 75%, and the dew point is near 60 degrees. Winds are unavailable north. Winds are unavailable central. Winds are coming from the east at 5 mph in the south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 70 degrees at New Orleans Lakefront. The lowest temperature is 60 degrees at Slidell.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this Parish will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For CADDO County, LA

546 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

 DAY ONE  Today and tonight.

A weak cool front is drifting toward our I-30 corridor and could help
to develop some isolated thunderstorms later this morning and
through the afternoon and until about sunset down along I-20. The 
only real threat would be some lightning. So if thunder roars, go 
indoors season is upon us once again. Overnight should be quiet area 
wide. No other hazardous weather is expected with this weak front.


 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Thursday through Tuesday.

Severe thunderstorm activity will make a return to our Four-State 
area late on Friday afternoon and evening. Some isolated activity 
may continue overnight and into early Saturday with large hail the
primary threat. This second push of the Westerlies will weaken as an
upper level ridge blocks from the eastern seaboard. Finally, a third
frontal boundary late this weekend will be a little stronger and 
boost our chances for severe weather. More organized areas of 
thunderstorms with some severe activity will become likely Sunday 
afternoon, evening and overnight into early next week. Damaging 
winds will be possible with any bowing thunderstorm segments along 
with some large hail. A brief and very isolated tornado could 
possibly occur if a squall line can advance into our area before the 
upper low lifts too far away early Monday. This third frontal 
boundary will also become stationary and wash out in place with 
scattered showers and thunderstorms continuing into midweek.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation is not expected until late Friday at the earliest 
and then for more widespread thunderstorms late Sunday and overnight.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For CADDO Parish, LA
300 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

TODAY
Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

TONIGHT
Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

THURSDAY
Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Windy with highs in the lower 80s. South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. A chance of thunderstorms, mainly in the evening. Windy with lows in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 50 percent.

SATURDAY
Mostly cloudy in the morning, then partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Windy with highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 20 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Windy with lows around 70. Chance of rain 20 percent.

SUNDAY
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Windy with highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Thunderstorms likely. Showers likely. Locally heavy rainfall possible after midnight. Windy with lows in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent.

MONDAY
A chance of thunderstorms. Showers likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 70 percent.

MONDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

TUESDAY
Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 20 percent.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


CADDO County, Louisiana Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory

Current Weather Advisory is NOT available

Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps:Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Louisiana

                            LOUISIANA                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                APR 29-MAY 3  MAY 1-MAY 7    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above                                            
 Precipitation:      Above       Normal                                            

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Wednesday April 24, 2024 the 115th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 13.370000
Distance 0.999718 AU
Rise 07:28 EDT Set 20:44 EDT
Transit Meridian 14:05 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:04 EDT Ends 21:09 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

APRIL 24TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1899...
Two women and one son lived to tell the story of being picked up by a
tornado and carried more than a fourth of a mile, flying far above the
church steeples, before being gently set down again. The young boy and one
of the ladies said they had the pleasure of flying alongside a horse. The
horse "kicked and struggled" as it flew high above, and was set down
unharmed about a mile away. (The Weather Channel)
...1908...
Severe thunderstorms spawned eighteen tornadoes over across the Central
Gulf Coast States claiming the lives of 310 persons. The state of
Mississippi was hardest hit. A tornado near Hattiesburg MS killed 143
persons and caused more than half a million dollars damage. Four violent
tornadoes accounted for 279 of the 310 deaths. The deadliest of the four
tornadoes swelled to a width of 2.5 miles as it passed near Amite LA. The
tornado also leveled most of Purvis MS. (David Ludlum) (The Weather
Channel)
...1925...
Louisville's and Bowling Green's warmest April temperature: 91 and 96 
degrees, respectively. Also, Lexington's earliest 90 degree temperature (90 
degrees). (NWS Louisville)
...1980...
Three of eight helicopters were damaged in a sandstorm during a 
failed-attempt to rescue 52 American hostages held in Iran. The hostages 
were later released on January 20, 1981.
...2005...
The latest measurable snowfall on record occurred across parts of Kentucky 
last year. The snow was the result of cold air and moisture wrapping around 
an area of low pressure located over the northeast United States. 
Accumulating snow was mainly confined to the ridgetops and higher 
elevations of extreme east Kentucky but at least a few flakes were reported 
just about everywhere. Some amounts reported from across eastern and 
central Kentucky  include...0.6 inches in Booneville...1.0 inch at 
Jeremiah...1.2 inches at the Jackson Weather Office...1.5 inches at 
Cumberland...4.0 inches at Lynch...and 5.0 inches at Closplint. (NWS Jackson)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky