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Boone County, IN Weather And Climate Synopsis

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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
842 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023

.Mesoscale Update...
Issued at 842 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023

Deep closed low is currently located over eastern Nebraska and is 
moving eastward now. Intense DCVA and associated strong forcing will 
primarily track over the northern portion of the area into the 
southern Great Lakes and this should be where a more 
intense/widespread wind threat should evolve, from the line of 
convection in northwest Illinois. Further south, trailing more 
positively tilted vort maxima and still appreciable midlevel height 
falls will likely still be sufficient for linear evolution with 
time. Another factor favoring at least a quasi-linear trend is 
veered low level flow and generally straight hodographs supporting 
splits and cell mergers which have been observed over western 
Illinois the last hour or two. 

0-3-km shear vector orientation is more parallel to these 
southernmost segments that will impact much of central Indiana into 
the evening, somewhat limiting the QLCS mesovortex/tornado threat
some. Nevertheless, any embedded mesocyclones or localized surges
and resultant line reorientations will need to be watched closely
for tornado potential. Even if shear vector orientations aren't 
optimal, the magnitude of shear is particularly high and can 
compensate. 

Latest ACARS from IND shows a trend toward stronger ascent with 
cool/moist PBL below capping EML deepening as CIN decreases. Near-
term model guidance continues to show a fairly narrow corridor of 
enhance instability and little/no inhibition ahead of the QLCS. In 
fact, thermodynamic profiles may be quite favorable for deep 
coupling with stronger momentum aloft, and strong winds (locally 
significant). Wind damage continues to be the main threat.

NWS Weather Discussion
National Ag. Weather Outlook (Repair this link), International Highlights ,International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For BOONE County
Issued at 900 PM EDT FRI MAR 31 2023
CENTRAL INDIANA
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LAFAYETTE      CLOUDY    66  58  75 S14G31    29.44F                  
KOKOMO*        CLOUDY    61  59  93 S22       29.50F                  
MARION*        CLOUDY    60  57  91 S23       29.53F                  
MUNCIE*        CLOUDY    63  56  78 S21G31    29.55F                  
INDIANAPOLIS   MOCLDY    63  57  81 S17       29.53F                  

Hourly Obs., Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, Rh, Wind, Regional Obs., Station Model, Surface 4-Panel
Meteograms: South Bend , Fort Wayne , Lafayette , Indianapolis , Evansville


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Indiana
Based on observations at 900pm EDT, Friday March 31, 2023

Across Indiana...temperatures are near 62 degrees north, near 63 degrees central, and near 70 degrees south. Current sky conditions are cloudy north, mostly cloudy central, and mostly cloudy south. In the north, relative humidity is near 83%, and the dew point is near 57 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 81%, and the dew point is near 57 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 73%, and the dew point is near 61 degrees. Winds are from the south at 21 mph with gusts at 33 mph north, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are from the south at 17 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are from the south at 30 mph with gusts at 48 mph south, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 70 degrees at Evansville. The lowest temperature is CLOUDY degrees at Warsaw and Kokomo.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

U.S. Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), LSI Heat Index, Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For BOONE County,IN

319 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023

 DAY ONE  Through Tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible through the
afternoon. A few severe storms will be possible during the afternoon
hours.

A line of severe thunderstorms is expected to move through central
Indiana this evening between the hours of 9 PM and midnight. Damaging
winds to 75 mph and the threat of a few brief tornadoes will 
accompany this line of storms.

Strong winds gusts up to 50 mph are possible this evening even 
outside of thunderstorms. 

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Saturday through Thursday.

Strong wind gusts up to 50 mph are likely on Saturday. 

There is a chance of thunderstorms Monday afternoon through 
Tuesday night. Severe storms are possible during this period, 
primarily Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation is expected late this afternoon into tonight.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For BOONE County, IN
Issued at 828 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023


WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY


TORNADO WATCH 98 IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT SATURDAY

REST OF TONIGHT
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms through midnight, then clear toward daybreak. Some thunderstorms may be severe with damaging winds. Breezy with lows in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph. Gusts up to 50 mph, decreasing to 40 mph toward daybreak. Chance of rain near 100 percent.

SATURDAY
Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Windy and much cooler with highs in the upper 40s. West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy through midnight, then clearing. Much colder with lows in the mid 20s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph, becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph toward daybreak.

SUNDAY
Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear through midnight, then becoming partly cloudy. Not as cool with lows in the mid 40s. South winds around 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

MONDAY
Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Warmer with highs in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent.

MONDAY NIGHT
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Not as cool with lows in the mid 50s. Chance of rain 80 percent.

TUESDAY
Showers likely. A slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 60 percent.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Breezy with lows in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 80 percent.

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Breezy with highs in the mid 60s.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. A chance of showers through midnight, then a slight chance of showers toward daybreak. Much cooler with lows in the mid 30s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

THURSDAY
Mostly sunny. Cooler with highs in the lower 50s.

THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s.

12-48 Hr ETA Surface, 12-48 Hr ETA 500mb/Sfc, 24 Hr. Comparsion, TWC Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip
NGM 60 Hr Forecast Meteograms: South Bend , Fort Wayne , Lafayette , Indianapolis , Evansville , Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Indiana
                              INDIANA                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                APR 6-APR 10 APR 8-APR 14    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below      Above      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Below      Above      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Total Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day, 120-Day

Almanac Information
Friday March 31, 2023 the 90th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 4.450000
Distance 0.999720 AU
Rise 06:30 EDT Set 19:09 EDT
Transit Meridian 12:49 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:04 EDT Ends 19:35 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Yesterday's Highs , Lows
Sunrise/Sunset/Moonrise/Moonset Computation (USN)

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
MARCH 31ST
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1890...
Saint Louis MO received 20 inches of snow in 24 hours. It was the worst
snowstorm of record for the St Louis. (David Ludlum)
...1954...
The temperature at Rio Grande City TX hit 108 degrees, which for thirty
years was a U.S. record for the month of March. (The Weather Channel)
...1962...
A tornado struck the town of Milton FL killing 17 persons and injuring 100
others. It was the worst tornado disaster in Florida history. (David
Ludlum)
...1973...
A devastating tornado took a nearly continuous 75 mile path through north
central Georgia causing more than 113 million dollars damage, the highest
total of record for a natural disaster in the state. (The Weather Channel)
...2011... 
March 2011 ended on the chilly side. For 8 consecutive days the Jackson Weather 
Office recorded daytime highs anywhere from 8 to 23 degrees below normal. Above 
normal daytime highs were not forecast until around Sunday April, 3rd. If the 
forecast worked out...that would be 12 consecutive days with daytime high lower 
than normal. This maybe traumatizing to some...however it doesn't match the 19 
consecutive days with below normal high temperatures that occurred during March 
and April 1992.   

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky