A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
The main surface low is still near northwestern TN this afternoon,
with an occluded front stretched east-central Alabama with a
triple point surface low. From there a warm front stretches east
into Georgia and then the cold front stretches south. Expect the
warm and cold fronts to clear the area shortly, but the occluded
front will remain in the same general area for some time being as
the main upper level low remains stacked over the region. This
will continue to allow several lobes of energy to transfer around
the bottom of the upper low and will continue to spark showers
with each passing lobe. So will continue to mention scattered to
numerous showers in the north with isolated to scattered in the
south. These are very efficient rain makers so even a brief
shower could bring up to a tenth of inch of rain to the area. Most
of the activity will decrease in coverage during the evening with
the loss of the daytime heating.
Tuesday through Sunday.
The pesky vertically stacked upper low will continue to drift
eastward over Kentucky and Tennessee on Tuesday, finally pushing
away from the area as it crosses the Appalachians Tuesday night.
Wraparound low-level moisture and cool air aloft will continue to
promote scattered light showers across the area in a speckled
pattern. A spoke of energy/surface trough will be pushing eastward
across the northern counties during the morning hours Tuesday,
resulting in the best coverage of showers being over the northeast
counties, while daytime heating will promote additional development
by afternoon. Clouds will help keep temperatures in the upper 60s to
low 70s. CAMs indicate that isolated showers may linger into the
early evening, before deep layer north-northwesterly flow brings in
drier air. There will still be enough low-level moisture for low
clouds to hang around overnight Tuesday night, however.
The southern portion of a shortwave trough currently over the
northwestern CONUS will break off and move southeastward as a
compact/potent shortwave into Oklahoma Wednesday afternoon and move
towards the area Wednesday night. The cold front will remain
northwest of the area during the day on Wednesday, but increasing
mid and upper-level moisture could result in a few showers reaching
the ground across the northern counties. Dew points will remain in
the 50s ahead of the front, as surface winds remain northwesterly.
The best dynamics and moisture look to be post-frontal, so not
expecting anything strong/severe with this front.
Models are indicating that a weak wave of low pressure may develop
along the front, resulting in an area of light to moderate mainly
stratiform rainfall that moves through late Wednesday night and
Thursday aided by strong upper-level forcing. Therefore PoPs have
been increased during these periods and may need to be increased
further if ensemble spread decreases.
Another strong shortwave in the northwest flow aloft and associated
cold front moves through Friday, re-enforcing the eastern CONUS
trough. Moisture return looks very limited ahead of this wave, but
the dynamics may be enough to squeeze out some showers with nothing
strong to severe expected with this system either. Upper-level
ridging will build over much of the CONUS over the weekend ahead of
troughing along the West Coast and behind the departing eastern
CONUS trough. Thus it looks likely that we will see our first dry
weekend in a while with highs in the 70s and spectacular conditions
for outdoor activities.
Alabama Forecast Discussion (NWS)
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map,
[2nd Source TWC]
Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For PICKENS County
1200 PM CDT MON APR 23 2018
WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
TUSCALOOSA PTSUNNY 68 59 73 S8 29.93F
DEMOPOLIS PTSUNNY 63 54 72 SW7 29.94F
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Alabama
Based on observations at 1200pm CDT, Monday April 23, 2018
Across Alabama...temperatures are near 67 degrees north, near 65 degrees central, and near 70 degrees south. Current sky conditions are partly sunny north, light rain central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 72%, and the dew point is near 58 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 84%, and the dew point is near 60 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 51%, and the dew point is near 51 degrees. Winds are from the south at 9 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to light rain. Winds are from the southwest at 13 mph south, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 78 degrees at Ozark and Dothan. The lowest temperature is 65 degrees at Shelby County Airport and Birmingham.
Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.
U.S. Radar Map,
All NWS Radars (In near-real time),
Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI),
Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For PICKENS County, AL
903 AM CDT Mon Apr 23 2018
DAY ONE Outlook through Tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN Tuesday through Sunday.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Activation of storm spotters and emergency management is not
expected at this time.
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook
7-Day Forecast For PICKENS County, Alabama
1202 PM CDT Mon Apr 23 2018
Cloudy. Scattered showers late in the morning. Periods
of drizzle in the afternoon. Isolated showers late this
afternoon. Near steady temperature in the upper 60s. West winds
10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.
TONIGHT Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Lows
in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers in the morning,
then isolated rain showers in the afternoon. Highs in the upper
60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
TUESDAY NIGHT Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
WEDNESDAY Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers
in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to
WEDNESDAY NIGHT Cloudy. Chance of rain in the evening, then
rain likely after midnight. Lows in the mid 50s. Chance of rain
THURSDAY Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers. Highs around 70.
THURSDAY NIGHT Mostly cloudy in the evening then clearing.
Lows around 50.
FRIDAY Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the lower 70s.
FRIDAY NIGHT Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
SATURDAY Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
SATURDAY NIGHT Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.
SUNDAY Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps,
TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast,
Day 1 Precip,
Day 2 Precip,
Days 1-5 Precip,
Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1,
Medium & Long Range Outlook For Alabama
6 TO 10 DAY 8 TO 14 DAY 30 DAY 90 DAY
APR 28-MAY 2 APR 30-MAY 6 APR APR-JUN
----------- ----------- -------- ---------
Temperature: Below Normal Normal Above
Precipitation: Below Below Above Normal
.... Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast,
6 to 10 Day ,
8 to 14 Day ,
Monday April 23, 2018 the 113th Day of Year
Distance 0.999719 AU
Rise 07:08 EDT Set 20:25 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:46 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:43 EDT Ends 20:50 EDT
Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy
Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
The city of Denver CO was in the midst of a storm which produced 23 inches
of snow in 24 hours, and at Idaho Springs CO produced 32 inches of snow.
The temperature at the Civic Center in Los Angeles CA hit 100 degrees to
establish an April record for the city. (The Weather Channel)
Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky