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Letcher County, KY Weather And Climate Synopsis

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Soil Moisture Anomaly Loop



Current Spraying Conditions
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


From the UK Agricultural Weather Center, here is your Ag weather synopsis. 

Updated Thursday, July 02, 2015

...More Showers and Thunderstorms Today...

A nearly stationary frontal boundary will remain near the Ohio Valley through tonight, meanwhile several upper disturbances will pass through. These triggers combined with ample amounts of moisture will lead to numerous to widespread showers and storms today. As much as 2 to 4 inches could fall and a Flash Flood Watch is in effect.

Additional rounds of thunderstorms will be possible mainly each afternoon and evening through early next week.

Specific and detailed weather forecast information is available in your precision agriculture, lawn and garden forecast.

Western KY:
Central KY:
Eastern KY:

Specific and detailed farm-by-farm weather forecast information is available in your
Point Ag Forecast. Current Conditions Kentucky, U.S.

USDA's Ag Weather:National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary , Next Weather Event?
Current Surface Map, Regional, Composite, TWC, Yesterday's Highs, Lows ,
Upper Air


Regional Hourly Observations For LETCHER County, Kentucky
Issued at 200 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2015
SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
JACKSON        CLOUDY    70  67  90 VRB3      29.94S                  
LONDON         CLOUDY    75  64  68 SW8       29.94S                  
SOMERSET       NOT AVBL                                               
MIDDLESBORO    NOT AVBL                                               
MONTICELLO     MOCLDY    77  69  76 SW9       29.96S                  

KY Round-up, Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, Rh, Wind, Regional Obs., Station Model, Surface 4-Panel, NWS Louisville
Meteograms: Paducah , Evansville , Bowling Green , Hopkinsville , Frankfort , Louisville , Lexington , Covington , Jackson , London , Shelby Co. Weather , Spindletop Research Weather Station , Woodford Co. Research Weather Station , About Meteograms


Current Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Conditions in Kentucky
Based on observations at 200pm EDT, Thursday July 02, 2015

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 83 degrees west, near 76 degrees central, and near 70 degrees east. Current sky conditions are cloudy west, partly sunny central, and cloudy east. In the west, relative humidity is near 69%, and the dew point is near 72 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 79%, and the dew point is near 69 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 90%, and the dew point is near 67 degrees. Current drying conditions are fair west, fair central, and poor east. The livestock heat stress category is no stress west, no stress central, and no stress east. Winds are from the west at 8 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are variable at 5 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are variable at 3 mph east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 83 degrees at Paducah and Bowling Green. The lowest temperature is 70 degrees at Jackson.

List of Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Observations in Kentucky


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

UKAWC Radar, NWS Radar (NEW!), SPC Radar, Regional Radar, SkyWarn, NEXRAD, LSI Heat Index
Hazardous Weather Outlook For LETCHER County, Kentucky
Issued at: Thu Jul 2 04:36:10 EDT 2015


...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME STORMS MAY
BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND STRONG WINDS.

IN REGARDS TO THE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...ALREADY SATURATED SOILS IN
ADDITION TO THE FORECASTED HEAVY RAINS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. THOSE LOCATIONS AT GREATEST RISK WILL BE
THE ONES THAT SEE MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE
SAME AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES FROM FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN
FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...LEADING TO THE CONTINUED POSSIBILITY
OF FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN ANY REPORTS OF STORM
DAMAGE...EXCESSIVE RAIN...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


RDF forecast not available NEW NWS Experimental Weather Activity Planner: West, Central, East
NWS Experimental Point Forecasts (5 km x 5 km grid for Kentucky): West, Central, East

LETCHER County, Kentucky Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory

Updated: 1100 AM EST THU NOV 12 2009

TODAY (6AM-5PM)

Max Temperature...........................0 degrees.
Precipitation (liq. eq. )...................0.00 inches (No rainfall).
Precipitation area .........................0% of the county expected.
Dewpoints.......................................near 32 Degrees.
Min RH (Relative Humidity).........43%.
Wind Speed..........near 10 mph
Winds@4 .................................. at mph
Spraying Conditions....................favorable
Skies will be .
RH < 50%........................................ for 5 hours
RH > 80%.........................................for 0 hour
No. of Hours Temp <=32 .............0
No. of Hours Temp <= 20 .............0
No. of Hours Temp <= 0 ...............0

The high today (6am-5pm) in Letcher county, is expected to be near 0 degrees. No rainfall is expected. Temperature will be near 54 degrees. Dewpoints will be near 32 degrees. These dewpoints will combine with today (6am-5pm)'s temperatures resulting in relative humidity minimum of 43 minimum of 43%. Skies will be . Wind speed will be near 10 mph during the period. Winds at 4 will be out of the at mph, which is favorable spraying conditions in rain-free areas. Relative humidity will be less than 50% for 5 hours and greater than 80% for 0 hour

TONIGHT (6PM-5AM)

Min Temperature...........................0 degrees.
Precipitation (liq. eq. )...................0.00 inches (No rainfall).
Precipitation area .........................0% of the county expected.
Dewpoints.......................................near 32 Degrees.
Max RH (Relative Humidity)........43%.
Wind Speed..........near 10 mph
Winds@4 .................................. at mph
Spraying Conditions....................favorable
Sky Conditions
Sky Conditions
RH < 50%........................................ for 0 hour
RH > 80%.........................................for 4 hours
No. of Hours Temp <=32 .............0
No. of Hours Temp <= 20 .............0
No. of Hours Temp <= 0 ...............0

The low tonight (6pm-5am) in Letcher county, is expected to be around 0 degrees. No rainfall is expected. Temperature will be near 54 degrees. Dewpoints will be near 32 degrees. These dewpoints will combine with tonight (6pm-5am)'s temperatures resulting in relative humidity maximum of 43 maximum of 43%. Skies will be . Wind speed will be near 10 mph during the period. Winds at 4 will be out of the at mph, which is favorable spraying conditions in rain-free areas. Relative humidity will be less than 50% for 0 hour and greater than 80% for 4 hours

TOMORROW (6AM-5PM)

Max Temperature...........................0 degrees.
Precipitation (liq. eq. )...................0.00 inches (No rainfall).
Precipitation area .........................0% of the county expected.
Dewpoints.......................................near 32 Degrees.
Min RH (Relative Humidity).........43%.
Wind Speed..........near 10 mph
Winds@4 .................................. at mph
Spraying Conditions....................favorable

Sky Conditions
RH < 50%........................................ for 4 hours
RH > 80%.........................................for 1 hour
No. of Hours Temp <=32 .............0
No. of Hours Temp <= 20 .............0
No. of Hours Temp <= 0 ...............0

The high tomorrow (6am-5pm) in Letcher county, is expected to be near 0 degrees. No rainfall is expected. Temperature will be near 54 degrees. Dewpoints will be near 32 degrees. These dewpoints will combine with tomorrow (6am-5pm)'s temperatures resulting in relative humidity minimum of 43 minimum of 43%. Skies will be . Wind speed will be near 10 mph during the period. Winds at 4 will be out of the at mph, which is favorable spraying conditions in rain-free areas. Relative humidity will be less than 50% for 4 hours and greater than 80% for 1 hour

TOMORROW NIGHT (6PM-5AM)

Min Temperature...........................0 degrees.
Precipitation (liq. eq. )...................0.00 inches (No rainfall).
Precipitation area .........................0% of the county expected.
Dewpoints.......................................near 32 Degrees.
Max RH (Relative Humidity)........43%.
Wind Speed..........near 10 mph
Winds@4 .................................. at mph
Spraying Conditions....................favorable


RH < 50%........................................ for 0 hour
RH > 80%.........................................for 8 hours
No. of Hours Temp <=32 .............0
No. of Hours Temp <= 20 .............0
No. of Hours Temp <= 0 ...............0

The low tomorrow night (6pm-5am) in Letcher county, is expected to be around 0 degrees. No rainfall is expected. Temperature will be near 54 degrees. Dewpoints will be near 32 degrees. These dewpoints will combine with tomorrow night (6pm-5am)'s temperatures resulting in relative humidity maximum of 43 maximum of 43%. Skies will be . Wind speed will be near 10 mph during the period. Winds at 4 will be out of the at mph, which is favorable spraying conditions in rain-free areas. Relative humidity will be less than 50% for 0 hour and greater than 80% for 8 hours

72 HOUR SUMMARY

The temperature is expected to be in the range from 39 degrees and 71 degrees. Dewpoints will range from 31 to 45 degrees. No measurable precipitation is expected.


Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps:Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress


Extended Digital forecast not available
Current FORECAST not available TWC Forecast, NWS Maps, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2, 5 Day Total, Days 1-5
NGM 60 Hr Forecast Meteograms: Paducah , Evansville , Bowling Green , Hopkinsville , Frankfort , Louisville , Lexington , Covington , Jackson , London, All Kentucky Hourly Model Guidance, About NGM Forecast Meteograms

Kentucky Agricultural Weather Medium-Range Outlook (Based on the MEX Model)

MEDIUM RANGE AG FORECAST:

- Click here for Graphical Ag. Weather Forecast -

SATURDAY :
Highs across the state will range from 85 West and 86 Central, to 76 East. Dewpoints will range from 66 to 68 West, 64 to 63 Central, and 63 to 66 East throughout the day. Rainfall amounts of 0.00-0.01 inches over 30 % of the area West, 0.00-0.01 inches over 20 % of the area Central, and 0.01-0.09 inches over 50 % of the area East should be expected. Lows Saturday will fall to 66 West, 67 Central, and 64 East. Skies throughout the day will start out partly cloudy and end partly cloudy in the West, start cloudy and end partly cloudy Central, and start out cloudy and end cloudy East. The maximum livestock stress category will be no stress West, no stress Central, and no stress East. There will be 26 corn growing degree days West, 26 Central, and 20 East. Wind speeds in the morning and afternoon will be around 5 and 4 mph , respectively, West, 9 and 6 mph Central, and 3 and 4 mph East.

SUNDAY :
Highs across the state will range from 87 West and 88 Central, to 82 East. Dewpoints will range from 68 to 68 West, 65 to 63 Central, and65 to 65 East throughout the day. Rainfall amounts of 0.00-0.01 inches over 30 % of the area West, 0.00-0.01 inches over 20 % of the area Central, and 0.00-0.01 inches over 40 % of the area East should be expected. Lows Sunday will fall to 68 West, 69 Central, and 63 East. Skies throughout the day will start out partly cloudy and end partly cloudy in the West, start partly cloudy and end partly cloudy Central, and start out cloudy and end partly cloudy East. The maximum livestock stress category will be danger West, no stress Central, and no stress East. There will be 27 corn growing degree days West, 28 Central, and 22 East. Wind speeds in the morning and afternoon will be around 4 and 6 mph , respectively, West, 6 and 5 mph Central, and 2 and 1 mph East.

MONDAY :
Highs across the state will range from 88 West and 88 Central, to 86 East. Dewpoints will range from 69 to 70 West, 66 to 66 Central, and 64 to 67 East throughout the day. Rainfall amounts of 0.00-0.01 inches over 30 % of the area West, 0.00-0.01 inches over 10 % of the area Central, and 0.00-0.01 inches over 20 % of the area East should be expected. Lows Monday will fall to 69 West, 71 Central, and 66 East. Skies throughout the day will start out partly cloudy and end partly cloudy in the West, start clear and end clear Central, and start out clear and end clear East. The maximum livestock stress category will be danger West, danger Central, and no stress East. There will be 28 corn growing degree days West, 28 Central, and 26 East. Wind speeds in the morning and afternoon will be around 4 and 6 mph , respectively, West, 5 and 7 mph Central, and 1 and 1 mph East.

TUESDAY :
Highs across the state will range from 87 West and 87 Central, to 86 East. Dewpoints will range from 69 to 70 West, 68 to 69 Central, and65 to 68 East throughout the day. Rainfall amounts of 0.50-0.99 inches over 60 % of the area West, 0.01-0.09 inches over 40 % of the area Central, and 0.00-0.01 inches over 40 % of the area East should be expected. Lows Tuesday will fall to 71 West, 72 Central, and 68 East. Skies throughout the day will start out partly cloudy and end cloudy in the West, start clear and end cloudy Central, and start out clear and end partly cloudy East. The maximum livestock stress category will be danger West, danger Central, and no stress East. There will be 28 corn growing degree days West, 29 Central, and 27 East. Wind speeds in the morning and afternoon will be around 4 and 7 mph , respectively, West, 7 and 11 mph Central, and 1 and 1 mph East.

WEDNESDAY :
Highs across the state will range from 86 West and 86 Central, to 84 East. Dewpoints will range from 69 to 69 West, 68 to 67 Central, and 66 to 68 East throughout the day. Rainfall amounts of 0.00-0.01 inches over 40 % of the area West, 0.00-0.01 inches over 50 % of the area Central, and 0.00-0.01 inches over 50 % of the area East should be expected. Lows Wednesday will fall to 71 West, 72 Central, and 67 East. Skies throughout the day will start out cloudy and end cloudy in the West, start cloudy and end cloudy Central, and start out cloudy and end cloudy East. The maximum livestock stress category will be danger West, no stress Central, and no stress East. There will be 28 corn growing degree days West, 29 Central, and 26 East. Wind speeds in the morning and afternoon will be around 9 and 15 mph , respectively, West, 8 and 20 mph Central, and 1 and 4 mph East.

THURSDAY :
Highs across the state will range from 90 West and 88 Central, to 88 East. Dewpoints will range from 68 to 68 West, 68 to 65 Central, and 67 to 69 East throughout the day. Rainfall amounts of 0.00-0.01 inches over 40 % of the area West, 0.00-0.01 inches over 30 % of the area Central, and 0.00-0.01 inches over 50 % of the area East should be expected. Lows Thursday will fall to 70 West, 72 Central, and 69 East. Skies throughout the day will start out cloudy and end partly cloudy in the West, start partly cloudy and end cloudy Central, and start out cloudy and end cloudy East. The maximum livestock stress category will be danger West, danger Central, and danger East.There will be 28 corn growing degree days West, 29 Central, and 28 East. Wind speeds in the morning and afternoon will be around 11 and 10 mph, respectively, West, 14 and 12 mph Central, and 4 and 5 mph East.

Raw Data: MEX(west), MEX(central), MEX(east)

* NOTE: See specific site Ag Wx Data and Summary files for further information.

Graphic Regional Ag. Weather Outlook, Tabular data for the Medium Range Outlook


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Kentucky
                             KENTUCKY                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                    JUL 7-11     JUL 9-15   JUL        JUL-SEP                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below       Normal     Normal      Below                      
 Precipitation:      Above       Normal     Normal     Normal                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
UKAWC 8 Day Forecast Maps, TWC Jet, 15-Day Jet,Trend, Max/Mins (80k)
6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook


Precipitation Report: (liquid equivalent)

Total Precipitation and Deviation From Normal (in inches)
Valid May 27, 2012

The nearest available weather station for Letcher County is Cumberland Gap:

                      Past 7 days      Past 30 days   Jan 1 - Present
Station             Total     Dev     Total     Dev     Total     Dev
---------------     -----  ------     -----  ------    ------  ------
Cumberland Gap       0.53   -0.56      3.97   -0.61     21.31   -0.18
List of Kentucky Weather Stations (1st Order & Ag. stations) Rainfall
UKAWC Regional Ag Weather Summary (Select Format): Spring , Summer , Fall

Drought Status For LETCHER County, Kentucky
(Based on the latest Palmer Drought Severity and Crop Moisture Indices)
EASTERN   KY CLIMATE DIVISION

Hydrological Drought (PDSI) Situation:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Long-term Hydrological Moisture Status: NEAR NORMAL           (PDSI=  -1.75)
Rainfall Needed:  4.16 inches ABOVE NORMAL


Crop Moisture (CMI) Situation:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Short-term Crop Moisture Status: Prospects Improved But Rain Still Needed     (CMI=  -0.28)
Change From Previous Week: WETTER     SOILS (  0.22)

Note: Due to rainfall variability within each climate division, check Precip Reports/GIS Estimates and the Kentucky Climate Summary for the latest moisture information for this county.

Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page


Kentucky Climate Summary
normal. High temperatures averaged from 85 in the West to 81 in the East. Departure from normal high temperatures ranged from -4 degrees from normal in the West to -4 degrees from normal in the East. Low temperatures averaged from 67 degrees in the West to 62 degrees in the East. Departure from normal low temperature ranged from +2 degrees from normal in the West to -2 degrees from normal in the East.

Precipitation (liq. equ.) for the period totaled 1.71 inches statewide which was + 0.80 inches from normal. Precipitation totals by climate division, West 0.65 inches, Central 1.80 inches, Bluegrass 2.33 inches and East 1.91 inches, which was -0.22, + 0.86, + 1.43 and + 0.97 inches respectively from normal. By station, precipitation totals ranged from a low of 0.45 inches at Cape Girardeau to a high of 3.4 inches at Jackson.

Kentucky Climate Summaries: Last 3 days, 7 days, 14 days, 21 days, 30 days
Yesterday's Weather Data, Kentucky Climate Analysis, Kentucky Climate in Review (2005)


EUROPEAN CORN BORER not available
European Corn Borer Accumulation Map


GIS ESTIMATES FOR LETCHER COUNTY
Valid July 29, 2013

The GIS estimates are derived by ARC/INFO GIS software for a
central point in the county.  The estimates are calculated from
from 29 weather stations in the Kentucky area.

Precipitation Estimates

                     Last 3   Last 7   Last 14   Last 30     Since
                       Days     Days      Days      Days     Jan 1
_______________________________________________________________________________
Precip Total           0.43     0.98      2.45      6.88     35.08
Precip Deviation      -0.03    -0.12      0.27      2.27      8.06

Temperature Estimates

                     Last 3        Last 7       Last 14       Last 30
                       Days          Days          Days          Days
_____________________________________________________________________
Temp Average             71            73            75            74
Temp Deviation           -4            -2             0            -1

Soil Temperature Estimates

                                Yesterday
_________________________________________
Avg 4" Sod Soil Temp   	               76

European Corn Borer Degree Days Accumulations

Degree Days                      Forecasted Accumulations
      Total          550      610      750     1660     1740
____________________________________________________________
       1871         5/16     5/19     5/27      7/8     7/11

Almanac Information
Thursday July 02, 2015 the 183th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 22.980000
Distance 0.999715 AU
Rise 06:20 EDT Set 21:05 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:42 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 05:50 EDT Ends 21:35 EDT

---------------------------------------------------
Normal Max/Min Temperature for Today: 87 / 64
---------------------------------------------------


Calculations made for central point in Kentucky
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Sunrise/Sunset/Moonrise/Moonset Computation (USN)
TEMPERATURE is not available
Yesterday's U.S. Highs, Lows , KY's Highs/Lows/Precip, Daily Weather Data, Hourly Weather Data
Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
////////////////////////
JULY 2ND...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1833...
An unusually large New England tornado, one half to three quarters of a
mile wide, went from Salem Pond to Norton Pond VT, and then into Canada. It
"prostrated" nearly everything in its path. (The Weather Channel)
...1843...
An alligator reportedly fell from the sky onto Anson Street in Charleston
SC during a thunderstorm. (David Ludlum)
...1987...
Thunderstorms in Colorado produced hail as large as golf balls northwest of
Kiowa, which accumulated to a depth of twelve inches. Hail two and a half
inches in diameter was reported at Black Forest. Hail damaged 900 acres of
crops south of the town of Wiggins. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm
Data)
...1988...
Twenty-six cities in the eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for
the date. The morning low of 47 degrees at Roanoke VA broke the July record
set the previous day. (The National Weather Summary)
...1989...
Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the south central U.S., with 158
reports of large hail and damaging winds through the day. Evening
thunderstorms in northeastern Texas produced softball size hail which
caused more than five million dollars damage at Allen, and wind gusts to 90
mph at Dallas, which injured eight persons and caused seven million dollars
damage. Winnfield LA reported 29.52 inches of rain in six days, for a total
of 62.50 inches for the first six months of the year. Midland TX reported
an all-time record high of 112 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather
Summary)

UKAWC Briefing Page

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky