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Letcher County, KY Weather And Climate Synopsis

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Soil Moisture Anomaly Loop



Current Spraying Conditions
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


Updated Wednesday Late Afternoon, November 14, 2018

...Wintery Mix Later Tonight & Thursday...

An early season winter storm will work through the area over the the next 24 hours. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from this evening into the morning hours of Thursday. A mixed bag of precipitation is possible with freezing rain being the dominant type across Central/Eastern Kentucky/Bluegrass and snow for Western Kentucky.

The event starts this evening as surface temperatures are expected to dip below freezing resulting in the rain changing to a wintry mix of freezing rain across much of central Kentucky. A wintry mix of freezing rain, sleet and some snow is expected across central and northern Kentucky. Locations between the Ohio River and the Cumberland Parkway will have the best chance of a tenth to a quarter of an inch of ice accumulation. South central Kentucky can expect little to no ice accumulation. A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for much of Kentucky. Click here for the latest Winter Warnings/Advisory.

For western Kentucky, snow, occasionally mixed with light freezing rain, will develop and spread north across the area. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 3 inches with isolated higher amounts, along with ice accumulations of up to around one tenth of an inch, are expected.

Temperatures will warm above freezing tomorrow morning, but some negative road impacts will be possible for the morning commute. Be sure to use caution if going outside.

Kentucky Weather Forecast

Western KY:
Central KY:
Eastern KY:

Specific and detailed farm-by-farm weather forecast information is available in your Point Ag Forecast. New County Ag Weather Page, Current Conditions:Kentucky
, U.S.

USDA's Ag Weather:National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary , Next Weather Event?
Current Surface Map, Regional, Composite, TWC, Yesterday's Highs, Lows ,
Upper Air


Regional Hourly Observations For LETCHER County, Kentucky
Issued at 100 AM EST THU NOV 15 2018
SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
JACKSON        RAIN      33  32  96 VRB6      30.13F FOG     WCI  28  
LONDON         LGT RAIN  37  36  96 NE5       30.10F WCI  33          
SOMERSET       LGT RAIN  34  34 100 N6        30.18S WCI  29          
MIDDLESBORO    RAIN      42  40  94 SE5       30.14F                  
MONTICELLO     LGT RAIN  36  36 100 VRB5G17   30.16F FOG     WCI  32  

KY Round-up, Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, Rh, Wind, Regional Obs., Station Model, Surface 4-Panel, NWS Louisville
Meteograms: Paducah , Evansville , Bowling Green , Hopkinsville , Frankfort , Louisville , Lexington , Covington , Jackson , London , Shelby Co. Weather , Spindletop Research Weather Station , Woodford Co. Research Weather Station , About Meteograms


Current Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Conditions in Kentucky
Based on observations at 100am EST, Thursday November 15, 2018

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 29 degrees west, near 33 degrees central, and near 33 degrees east. Current sky conditions are light snow west, freezing rain central, and rain east. In the west, relative humidity is near 89%, and the dew point is near 26 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 85%, and the dew point is near 29 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 96%, and the dew point is near 32 degrees. Current drying conditions are poor west, poor central, and poor east. Tobacco stripping conditions are favorable west, favorable central, and favorable east. There is patchy fog across the state. Winds are from the northwest at 5 mph west, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to light snow. The wind chill is near 24 degrees west. Winds are from the west at 5 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to freezing rain. The wind chill is near 29 degrees central. Winds are variable at 6 mph east, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to rain. The wind chill is near 28 degrees east. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category west, no stress category central, and no stress category east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 37 degrees at London. The lowest temperature is 29 degrees at Paducah.

List of Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Observations in Kentucky


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

UKAWC Radar, NWS Radar (NEW!), SPC Radar, Regional Radar, SkyWarn, NEXRAD, LSI Heat Index
Hazardous Weather Outlook For LETCHER County, Kentucky
Issued at: Wed Nov 14 17:28:02 EST 2018

Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, 
and South Williamson
435 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A brief period of mixed precipitation is possible into this
evening, before transitioning to all rain. No impacts are 
expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Light snow accumulation is possible late Thursday into early 
Friday for much of eastern Kentucky.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


RDF forecast not available NEW NWS Experimental Weather Activity Planner: West, Central, East
NWS Experimental Point Forecasts (5 km x 5 km grid for Kentucky): West, Central, East

LETCHER County, Kentucky Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory

Updated: 1100 AM EST THU NOV 12 2009

TODAY (6AM-5PM)

Max Temperature...........................0 degrees.
Precipitation (liq. eq. )...................0.00 inches (No rainfall).
Precipitation area .........................0% of the county expected.
Dewpoints.......................................near 32 Degrees.
Min RH (Relative Humidity).........43%.
Wind Speed..........near 10 mph
Winds@4 .................................. at mph
Spraying Conditions....................favorable
Skies will be .
RH < 50%........................................ for 5 hours
RH > 80%.........................................for 0 hour
No. of Hours Temp <=32 .............0
No. of Hours Temp <= 20 .............0
No. of Hours Temp <= 0 ...............0

The high today (6am-5pm) in Letcher county, is expected to be near 0 degrees. No rainfall is expected. Temperature will be near 54 degrees. Dewpoints will be near 32 degrees. These dewpoints will combine with today (6am-5pm)'s temperatures resulting in relative humidity minimum of 43 minimum of 43%. Skies will be . Wind speed will be near 10 mph during the period. Winds at 4 will be out of the at mph, which is favorable spraying conditions in rain-free areas. Relative humidity will be less than 50% for 5 hours and greater than 80% for 0 hour

TONIGHT (6PM-5AM)

Min Temperature...........................0 degrees.
Precipitation (liq. eq. )...................0.00 inches (No rainfall).
Precipitation area .........................0% of the county expected.
Dewpoints.......................................near 32 Degrees.
Max RH (Relative Humidity)........43%.
Wind Speed..........near 10 mph
Winds@4 .................................. at mph
Spraying Conditions....................favorable
Sky Conditions
Sky Conditions
RH < 50%........................................ for 0 hour
RH > 80%.........................................for 4 hours
No. of Hours Temp <=32 .............0
No. of Hours Temp <= 20 .............0
No. of Hours Temp <= 0 ...............0

The low tonight (6pm-5am) in Letcher county, is expected to be around 0 degrees. No rainfall is expected. Temperature will be near 54 degrees. Dewpoints will be near 32 degrees. These dewpoints will combine with tonight (6pm-5am)'s temperatures resulting in relative humidity maximum of 43 maximum of 43%. Skies will be . Wind speed will be near 10 mph during the period. Winds at 4 will be out of the at mph, which is favorable spraying conditions in rain-free areas. Relative humidity will be less than 50% for 0 hour and greater than 80% for 4 hours

TOMORROW (6AM-5PM)

Max Temperature...........................0 degrees.
Precipitation (liq. eq. )...................0.00 inches (No rainfall).
Precipitation area .........................0% of the county expected.
Dewpoints.......................................near 32 Degrees.
Min RH (Relative Humidity).........43%.
Wind Speed..........near 10 mph
Winds@4 .................................. at mph
Spraying Conditions....................favorable

Sky Conditions
RH < 50%........................................ for 4 hours
RH > 80%.........................................for 1 hour
No. of Hours Temp <=32 .............0
No. of Hours Temp <= 20 .............0
No. of Hours Temp <= 0 ...............0

The high tomorrow (6am-5pm) in Letcher county, is expected to be near 0 degrees. No rainfall is expected. Temperature will be near 54 degrees. Dewpoints will be near 32 degrees. These dewpoints will combine with tomorrow (6am-5pm)'s temperatures resulting in relative humidity minimum of 43 minimum of 43%. Skies will be . Wind speed will be near 10 mph during the period. Winds at 4 will be out of the at mph, which is favorable spraying conditions in rain-free areas. Relative humidity will be less than 50% for 4 hours and greater than 80% for 1 hour

TOMORROW NIGHT (6PM-5AM)

Min Temperature...........................0 degrees.
Precipitation (liq. eq. )...................0.00 inches (No rainfall).
Precipitation area .........................0% of the county expected.
Dewpoints.......................................near 32 Degrees.
Max RH (Relative Humidity)........43%.
Wind Speed..........near 10 mph
Winds@4 .................................. at mph
Spraying Conditions....................favorable


RH < 50%........................................ for 0 hour
RH > 80%.........................................for 8 hours
No. of Hours Temp <=32 .............0
No. of Hours Temp <= 20 .............0
No. of Hours Temp <= 0 ...............0

The low tomorrow night (6pm-5am) in Letcher county, is expected to be around 0 degrees. No rainfall is expected. Temperature will be near 54 degrees. Dewpoints will be near 32 degrees. These dewpoints will combine with tomorrow night (6pm-5am)'s temperatures resulting in relative humidity maximum of 43 maximum of 43%. Skies will be . Wind speed will be near 10 mph during the period. Winds at 4 will be out of the at mph, which is favorable spraying conditions in rain-free areas. Relative humidity will be less than 50% for 0 hour and greater than 80% for 8 hours

72 HOUR SUMMARY

The temperature is expected to be in the range from 39 degrees and 71 degrees. Dewpoints will range from 31 to 45 degrees. No measurable precipitation is expected.


Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps:Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress


Extended Digital forecast not available
Current FORECAST not available TWC Forecast, NWS Maps, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2, 5 Day Total, Days 1-5
NGM 60 Hr Forecast Meteograms: Paducah , Evansville , Bowling Green , Hopkinsville , Frankfort , Louisville , Lexington , Covington , Jackson , London, All Kentucky Hourly Model Guidance, About NGM Forecast Meteograms

Kentucky Agricultural Weather Medium-Range Outlook (Based on the MEX Model)

MEDIUM RANGE AG FORECAST:

- Click here for Graphical Ag. Weather Forecast -

FRIDAY :
Highs across the state will range from 49 West and 47 Central, to 47 East. Dewpoints will range from 28 to 37 West, 28 to 33 Central, and 30 to 31 East throughout the day. Rainfall amounts of 0.00-0.01 inches over 10 % of the area West, 0.00-0.01 inches over 20 % of the area Central, and 0.01-0.09 inches over 50 % of the area East should be expected. Lows Friday will fall to 29 West, 31 Central, and 31 East. Skies throughout the day will start out clear and end clear in the West, start partly cloudy and end partly cloudy Central, and start out cloudy and end partly cloudy East. The maximum livestock stress category will be no stress West, no stress Central, and no stress East. There will be 0 corn growing degree days West, 0 Central, and 0 East. Wind speeds in the morning and afternoon will be around 6 and 7 mph , respectively, West, 14 and 13 mph Central, and 9 and 7 mph East.

SATURDAY :
Highs across the state will range from 54 West and 49 Central, to 53 East. Dewpoints will range from 33 to 44 West, 31 to 38 Central, and33 to 34 East throughout the day. Rainfall amounts of 0.00-0.01 inches over 10 % of the area West, 0.00-0.01 inches over 10 % of the area Central, and 0.00-0.01 inches over 10 % of the area East should be expected. Lows Saturday will fall to 33 West, 34 Central, and 35 East. Skies throughout the day will start out partly cloudy and end partly cloudy in the West, start partly cloudy and end cloudy Central, and start out partly cloudy and end partly cloudy East. The maximum livestock stress category will be no stress West, no stress Central, and no stress East. There will be 2 corn growing degree days West, 0 Central, and 2 East. Wind speeds in the morning and afternoon will be around 3 and 7 mph , respectively, West, 6 and 5 mph Central, and 4 and 2 mph East.

SUNDAY :
Highs across the state will range from 48 West and 51 Central, to 52 East. Dewpoints will range from 37 to 37 West, 37 to 37 Central, and 35 to 38 East throughout the day. Rainfall amounts of 0.01-0.09 inches over 40 % of the area West, 0.01-0.09 inches over 40 % of the area Central, and 0.00-0.01 inches over 30 % of the area East should be expected. Lows Sunday will fall to 37 West, 40 Central, and 40 East. Skies throughout the day will start out partly cloudy and end cloudy in the West, start cloudy and end cloudy Central, and start out partly cloudy and end cloudy East. The maximum livestock stress category will be no stress West, no stress Central, and no stress East. There will be 0 corn growing degree days West, 0 Central, and 1 East. Wind speeds in the morning and afternoon will be around 5 and 8 mph , respectively, West, 5 and 7 mph Central, and 2 and 4 mph East.

MONDAY :
Highs across the state will range from 45 West and 47 Central, to 49 East. Dewpoints will range from 29 to 31 West, 30 to 25 Central, and34 to 29 East throughout the day. Rainfall amounts of 0.01-0.09 inches over 40 % of the area West, 0.00-0.01 inches over 40 % of the area Central, and 0.01-0.09 inches over 40 % of the area East should be expected. Lows Monday will fall to 31 West, 34 Central, and 38 East. Skies throughout the day will start out cloudy and end clear in the West, start cloudy and end clear Central, and start out cloudy and end partly cloudy East. The maximum livestock stress category will be no stress West, no stress Central, and no stress East. There will be 0 corn growing degree days West, 0 Central, and 0 East. Wind speeds in the morning and afternoon will be around 9 and 7 mph , respectively, West, 8 and 8 mph Central, and 3 and 3 mph East.

TUESDAY :
Highs across the state will range from 53 West and 49 Central, to 48 East. Dewpoints will range from 27 to 34 West, 26 to 28 Central, and 25 to 24 East throughout the day. Rainfall amounts of 0.00-0.01 inches over 10 % of the area West, 0.00-0.01 inches over 20 % of the area Central, and 0.00-0.01 inches over 20 % of the area East should be expected. Lows Tuesday will fall to 29 West, 31 Central, and 32 East. Skies throughout the day will start out clear and end clear in the West, start clear and end clear Central, and start out clear and end clear East. The maximum livestock stress category will be no stress West, no stress Central, and no stress East. There will be 2 corn growing degree days West, 0 Central, and 0 East. Wind speeds in the morning and afternoon will be around 4 and 8 mph , respectively, West, 6 and 8 mph Central, and 3 and 3 mph East.

WEDNESDAY :
Highs across the state will range from 56 West and 55 Central, to 53 East. Dewpoints will range from 36 to 36 West, 32 to 36 Central, and 27 to 29 East throughout the day. Rainfall amounts of 0.00-0.01 inches over 20 % of the area West, 0.00-0.01 inches over 30 % of the area Central, and 0.00-0.01 inches over 30 % of the area East should be expected. Lows Wednesday will fall to 38 West, 37 Central, and 35 East. Skies throughout the day will start out clear and end clear in the West, start clear and end partly cloudy Central, and start out clear and end clear East. The maximum livestock stress category will be no stress West, no stress Central, and no stress East.There will be 3 corn growing degree days West, 2 Central, and 2 East. Wind speeds in the morning and afternoon will be around 5 and 8 mph, respectively, West, 6 and 9 mph Central, and 3 and 5 mph East.

Raw Data: MEX(west), MEX(central), MEX(east)

* NOTE: See specific site Ag Wx Data and Summary files for further information.

Graphic Regional Ag. Weather Outlook, Tabular data for the Medium Range Outlook


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Kentucky
                             KENTUCKY                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   NOV 20-24    NOV 22-28    NOV   NOV18-JAN19                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:     Normal        Above      Below      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Below        Above      Above     Normal                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
UKAWC 8 Day Forecast Maps, TWC Jet, 15-Day Jet,Trend, Max/Mins (80k)
6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook


Precipitation Report: (liquid equivalent)

Total Precipitation and Deviation From Normal (in inches)
Valid May 27, 2012

The nearest available weather station for Letcher County is Cumberland Gap:

                      Past 7 days      Past 30 days   Jan 1 - Present
Station             Total     Dev     Total     Dev     Total     Dev
---------------     -----  ------     -----  ------    ------  ------
Cumberland Gap       0.53   -0.56      3.97   -0.61     21.31   -0.18
List of Kentucky Weather Stations (1st Order & Ag. stations) Rainfall
UKAWC Regional Ag Weather Summary (Select Format): Spring , Summer , Fall

Drought Status For LETCHER County, Kentucky
(Based on the latest Palmer Drought Severity and Crop Moisture Indices)
EASTERN   KY CLIMATE DIVISION

Hydrological Drought (PDSI) Situation:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Long-term Hydrological Moisture Status: UNUSUAL MOIST SPELL   (PDSI=   2.70)
Rainfall Needed:  0.00 inches ABOVE NORMAL


Crop Moisture (CMI) Situation:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Short-term Crop Moisture Status: Favorable For Normal Growth And Fieldwork    (CMI=   0.45)
Change From Previous Week: DRIER      SOILS ( -0.54)

Note: Due to rainfall variability within each climate division, check Precip Reports/GIS Estimates and the Kentucky Climate Summary for the latest moisture information for this county.

Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page


Kentucky Climate Summary
normal. High temperatures averaged from 45 in the West to 48 in the East. Departure from normal high temperatures ranged from -17 degrees from normal in the West to -10 degrees from normal in the East. Low temperatures averaged from 32 degrees in the West to 33 degrees in the East. Departure from normal low temperature ranged from -8 degrees from normal in the West to -3 degrees from normal in the East.

Precipitation (liq. equ.) for the period totaled 0.75 inches statewide which was -0.16 inches from normal. Precipitation totals by climate division, West 0.19 inches, Central 0.64 inches, Bluegrass 0.66 inches and East 1.29 inches, which was -0.81, -0.32, -0.17 and + 0.43 inches respectively from normal. By station, precipitation totals ranged from a low of 0.06 inches at Evansville to a high of 2.05 inches at Cumberland Gap.

Kentucky Climate Summaries: Last 3 days, 7 days, 14 days, 21 days, 30 days
Yesterday's Weather Data, Kentucky Climate Analysis, Kentucky Climate in Review (2005)


GIS ESTIMATES FOR LETCHER COUNTY
Valid July 29, 2013

The GIS estimates are derived by ARC/INFO GIS software for a
central point in the county.  The estimates are calculated from
from 29 weather stations in the Kentucky area.

Precipitation Estimates

                     Last 3   Last 7   Last 14   Last 30     Since
                       Days     Days      Days      Days     Jan 1
_______________________________________________________________________________
Precip Total           0.43     0.98      2.45      6.88     35.08
Precip Deviation      -0.03    -0.12      0.27      2.27      8.06

Temperature Estimates

                     Last 3        Last 7       Last 14       Last 30
                       Days          Days          Days          Days
_____________________________________________________________________
Temp Average             71            73            75            74
Temp Deviation           -4            -2             0            -1

Soil Temperature Estimates

                                Yesterday
_________________________________________
Avg 4" Sod Soil Temp   	               76

European Corn Borer Degree Days Accumulations

Degree Days                      Forecasted Accumulations
      Total          550      610      750     1660     1740
____________________________________________________________
       1871         5/16     5/19     5/27      7/8     7/11

Almanac Information
Thursday November 15, 2018 the 319th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination -18.720000
Distance 0.999723 AU
Rise 07:20 EST Set 17:26 EST
Transit Meridian 12:23 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 06:53 EST Ends 17:53 EST

---------------------------------------------------
Normal Max/Min Temperature for Today: 58 / 36
---------------------------------------------------


Calculations made for central point in Kentucky
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Sunrise/Sunset/Moonrise/Moonset Computation (USN)
TEMPERATURE is not available
Yesterday's U.S. Highs, Lows , KY's Highs/Lows/Precip, Daily Weather Data, Hourly Weather Data
Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
NOVEMBER 15TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1900...
A record lake-effect snowstorm at Watertown NY produced 45 inches in 24
hours. The storm total was 49 inches. (14th-15th) (David Ludlum) (The
Weather Channel)
...1967...
A surprise snow and ice coating paralyzed Boston during the evening rush
hour. (David Ludlum)
...1987...
Thunderstorms spawned twenty-two tornadoes in eastern Texas, Louisiana and
Oklahoma. A tornado moving out of northeastern Texas killed one person and
injured ninety-six others around Shreveport LA causing more than five
million dollars damage. Tornadoes in Texas claimed ten lives, and injured
191 persons. A tornado caused more than nineteen million dollars damage
around Palestine TX.
Severe thunderstorms spawned eighteen tornadoes in Mississippi and seven in
Georgia the next day, and thunderstorms in southeastern Texas produced wind
gusts to 102 mph at Galveston, and wind gusts to 110 mph at Bay City,
killing one person. There were a total of forty-nine tornadoes in the south
central U.S. in two days. The tornadoes claimed eleven lives, injured 303
persons, and caused more than seventy million dollars damage. (Storm Data)
(The National Weather Summary)
...2005...
Numerous tornadoes and severe thunderstorms ripped throught MO, IL, IN, TN and
West Kentucky, killing two people and injuring over 40. UKAWC
UKAWC Briefing Page

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky