Stability of the Atmosphere

Severe Weather Threat Index (SWEAT)

The SWEAT Index evaluates the potential for severe weather by combining several parameters into one index. These parameters include low-level moisture (850 mb dewpoint), instability (Total Totals Index), lower and middle-level (850 and 500 mb) wind speeds, and warm air advection (veering between 850 and 500 mb). Therefore, an attempt is made to incorporate kinematic and thermodynamic information into one index. As such, the SWEAT index should be utilized to assess severe weather potential, not ordinary thunderstorm potential.

    SWEAT = 12 [Td(850 mb)] + 20 (TT - 49) + 2 (f8) + f5 + 125 (S + 0.2)

where TT represents the total totals index value, f8 and f5 represent the 850 mb and 500 mb wind speed in knots, respectively, and S = sin (500 mb minus 850 mb wind direction), i.e., the sine of the angle between the 500 and 850 mb wind directions (the shear term).

The last term in the equation (the shear term) is set to zero if any of the following criteria are not met: 1) 850 mb wind direction ranges from 130 to 250 degrees, 2) 500 mb wind direction ranges from 210 to 310 degrees, 3) 500 mb wind direction minus the 850 mb wind direction is a positive number, and 4) both the 850 and 500 mb wind speeds are at least 15 kts. No term in the equation may be negative; if so, that term is set to zero.

SWEAT over 300:   Potential for severe thunderstorms.
SWEAT over 400:   Potential for tornadoes.

These are guidance values developed by the U.S. Air Force. Severe storms may still be possible for SWEAT values of 250-300 if strong lifting is present. In addition, tornadoes may occur with SWEAT values below 400, especially if convective cell and boundary interactions increase the local shear which would not be resolved in this index. The SWEAT value can increase significantly during the day, so low values based on 1200 UTC data may be unrepresentative if substantial changes in moisture, stability, and/or wind shear occur during the day. Finally, as with all indices, the SWEAT only indicates the potential for convection. There must still be sufficient forcing for upward motion to release the instability before thunderstorms can develop.

Source: NWS

Other UKAWC Stability Indices:
Lifted Index (LI) K-Index CIN Showalter Index SWEAT Total Totals

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky